Tipps Lyon Strasbourg Ligue 1 30/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lyon OL wins the match.

1. Recent performances of Lyon: By analyzing Lyon’s recent performances at home, we can see that they have an advantage over Strasbourg. In their last 5 matches, they won 40% of the time and drew 40% of the time. In terms of offensive efficiency, they scored 10 goals in these matches.

2. Weaknesses of Strasbourg away from home: Strasbourg, on the other hand, has shown poor performance on the road. In their last 5 away matches, they haven’t won any games and only drew 20% of the time. Additionally, their defense conceded 7 goals in these matches.

3. Statistical probabilities: In terms of probabilities, the scenario where Lyon wins or draws has a success probability of 80.61%, much higher than Strasbourg’s winning probability (19.39%). This statistic reinforces the idea that Lyon is more likely not to lose this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Offensive statistics: Looking at the offensive statistics of these two teams, we can see that they have an average ability to score goals in their respective matches. Lyon OL has an offensive potential of 29% and scores an average of 0.8 goals per match at home; Strasbourg has an offensive potential of 50% and scores an average of 1.4 goals per match away.

2. Defensive statistics: Defensive statistics also suggest a high-scoring match. Lyon OL concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home and Strasbourg concedes an average of 2 goals per match away.

3. Previous meetings: The last two encounters between Lyon and Strasbourg have ended with over 2.5 goals (Lyon OL 2 – 1 Strasbourg and Lyon OL 7 – 0 Chassieu Décines). This implies that matches between these two teams are generally high-scoring.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Team performance: Both teams have shown an ability to score goals in their previous matches. Lyon OL has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home games, while Strasbourg has scored 4 goals in their last 5 away games.

2. Weak defensive potential: Both teams have weak defensive potential; Lyon OL has a defensive potential of 50% while Strasbourg has a defensive potential of 71%. Weak defenses increase the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Betting probabilities: The “Both teams to score” bet has a success probability of 61.73%, which is quite high, indicating that both teams are more likely to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Strasbourg wins the match – 1.92

Bet on the exact result

Lyon OL 1-1 Strasbourg

1. Past statistics: Lyon OL and Strasbourg have a tendency to draw in 40% and 20% of cases in their last 5 matches respectively. Furthermore, in their previous encounter, Lyon OL narrowly won by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be assumed that the two teams could neutralize each other.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Lyon OL and Strasbourg have defensive weaknesses with defensive potentials of 50% and 71% respectively. OL scores an average of 0.8 goals per home match while Strasbourg scores an average of 1.4 goals per away match. A 1-1 scoreline seems plausible.
3. Betting market probabilities: The betting market assigns a 31.63% probability to a draw in this match, which is significant. Furthermore, with a 61.73% probability of both teams scoring and an 82.65% probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, a 1-1 scoreline aligns with these forecasts.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lyon OL showed a mediocre performance at home recently, with a win in 40% of their last 5 matches and a draw in 40% of cases. They scored 10 goals and conceded 11.

On the other hand, Strasbourg struggled away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches, only one draw (20%). They scored 4 goals and conceded 7.

Detailed performance analysis shows that Lyon averages 0.8 goals per game at home but concedes 1.4. Their offensive potential is at 29% while defense is at 50%.

Away from home, Strasbourg scores more – averaging 1.4 goals per game but also concedes more – 2 goals. Their offensive potential stands at 50%, with defense at 71%.

The likelihood of a Lyon win is highest at 48.98%, followed by a draw at 31.63%. Strasbourg has only a 19.39% chance of winning.

Likewise, the most probable outcome of the match is either a Lyon OL win (80.61%) or a draw with 82.65% chance for over 1.5 goals scored in the game.

Finally, there is a 61.73% chance of both teams scoring.

Overall, it seems Lyon OL is the favorite based on all these data. However, in football, anything can happen.

The potential number of goals

Lyon OL had a mixed performance at home, with 2 wins and 2 draws out of 5 matches. Their offense is average, scoring 10 goals, while their defense is a bit weak, conceding 11 goals.

Strasbourg is struggling away from home, with no wins and only 1 draw out of 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 7, indicating issues both in attack and defense.

Lyon OL’s offensive potential is at 29% while their defense is stronger at 50%. On the other hand, Strasbourg has a higher offensive potential at 50%, despite a weak defensive potential at 71%.

The odds favor Lyon OL with a winning chance of 48.98% at odds of 1.90, followed by a draw at 31.63% with odds of 3.70. Strasbourg’s chances are lower at 19.39% with odds of 3.95.

The previous meeting between Lyon OL and Strasbourg in Lyon saw the former team emerge victorious. Based on these factors, the prediction leans more towards Lyon OL.

In terms of goals, the probabilities are higher for over 1.5 goals at 82.65% and under 4.5 goals at 89.8%. There is also a strong likelihood of both teams scoring, with a probability of 61.73% at odds of 1.70.

From this, one could predict that the match would likely be in favor of Lyon OL, with 2 to 3 goals in total. The data suggests that it would be advisable to bet on Lyon OL or a draw, and over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics and probabilities tend to favor Olympique Lyonnais, especially when playing at home. However, even though Strasbourg struggles in away games, it is important to remember that football is an unpredictable sport. According to the statistics, the safest bet seems to be on Lyon to win or draw coupled with a total of over 2.5 goals in the match. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring seems probable. For bettors looking for value, predicting a draw or a Strasbourg win could offer an interesting return. As for the anticipated exact score, a 1-1 draw appears to be a possibility. We would recommend carefully studying these predictions and monitoring any potential changes in the days leading up to the match.