Tipps Macara Independiente del Valle Liga Pro 26/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Independiente del Valle wins the match

1. Independiente del Valle has a better away win ratio in the last 5 matches (40%) than Macara’s home win ratio (20%).
2. Independiente del Valle has a higher offensive potential away (36%) compared to Macara’s defensive potential at home (29%).
3. The calculated probability of Independiente del Valle winning the match is the highest (45.64%) compared to a draw (31.28%) or a Macara win (23.08%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Recent match statistics show that Macara, when playing at home, has a weak offensive performance, with an average of 0.4 goals per match and an offensive potential of only 14%. This means they struggle to score, limiting the total number of goals in the match.

2. Independiente del Valle, in their away matches, also has a fairly limited offensive performance, with an average of 1 goal per match and an offensive potential of 36%. Combining these two average scores doesn’t even reach 2.5 goals per match.

3. Recent results from both teams indicate that their matches tend to have a low score. For example, Macara’s last three home matches only produced a single goal. Independiente del Valle had a similar performance in their away matches, with three of their last five matches not reaching the 2.5 goals mark.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. By analyzing the statistics for the last 5 matches, we can see that Independiente del Valle has an average of 1 goal scored per match and an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. This indicates that when playing away, Independiente del Valle regularly scores but is also prone to conceding goals.

2. Macara, despite having a 14% lower offensive potential, has shown that they can score goals at home, as evidenced by the 4 goals scored in their last 5 home matches.

3. Looking at the recent individual matches of each team, there have been games where both teams scored. For example, in the match Universidad Catolica 2 – 2 Independiente del Valle, both teams scored; likewise, Macara and Barcelona SC both scored in their encounter (Macara 1 – 1 Barcelona SC).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Macara 1-1 Independiente del Valle

1. The past performances of both teams show a tendency for draws. Macara had a 20% draw rate at home and Independiente del Valle 20% away in their respective last 5 matches. In addition, the probability rate for a draw is the second highest according to the provided statistics (31.28%).

2. Over the last 5 matches, Macara has scored an average of 4 goals at home and Independiente del Valle has scored an average of 6 goals away. The exact score of 1-1 would fit these data, as both teams have an average goals per match around 1.

3. Based on the provided probabilities, “Both teams to score” has a 51.79% rate and “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has a 74.87% chance of success. These two indicators are consistent with a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Macara, at home, has shown mixed results. They have won 1 out of 5 matches, with 2 draws. With only 4 goals scored, their attack seems weak.

Independiente del Valle has performed well away from home. They have won 2 matches out of 5 and have secured a draw. They have scored a total of 6 goals, which is 2 more than Macara.

Macara has an offensive potential of 14% and a defensive potential of 29%. Independiente del Valle, on the other hand, have a higher offensive potential at 36% and a defensive potential of 43%.

The probability of Macara winning the match is 23.08%, compared to 45.64% for Independiente del Valle. Furthermore, a draw has a probability of 31.28%.

There is a higher probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match at 74.87%. The probability of both teams scoring is 51.79%.

In conclusion, Independiente del Valle seems to have the advantage based on the recurring statistics. However, football is unpredictable and anything can happen during the match.

The potential number of goals

Macara, in their last 5 home matches, have only won 20% and drawn 20%. They scored 4 goals but also conceded 4. Their average score per match is 0.4 goals, with an offensive strength of 14% and defensive strength of only 29%.

On the other hand, Independiente del Valle has won 40% of their last 5 away matches. They have drawn in 20% of the cases. They scored 6 goals and conceded 8. They score an average of 1 goal per match, with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 43%.

The probability of Macara winning the match is 23.08%, while there is a 45.64% chance of Independiente del Valle winning.

The match could have less than 1.5 goals during the game, with a probability of 68.21%.

Looking at the last matches, both teams have a chance of scoring, with a probability of 51.79%.

In summary, Independiente del Valle seems to have a slightly better performance away than Macara at home. With better offensive and defensive performance, they might come out on top. However, the number of goals could be low.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and current form of both teams suggest a slight superiority in favor of Independiente del Valle. However, football being an inexact science, the potential for surprise remains present. With the low average goals of both teams, the corrective bet seems to be a match with less than 2.5 goals. Nevertheless, both teams have shown the ability to score, making it plausible that each of them scores at least one goal during the match. Bet prudently considering the level of risk associated with these predictions.