Tipps Maccabi Netanya Hapoel Haifa Ligat 28/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Maccabi Netanya wins the match

1. Maccabi Netanya has a better home record than Hapoel Haifa on the road. Indeed, in their respective last 5 matches, Maccabi Netanya wins or draws in 80% of cases, compared to only 80% for Hapoel Haifa (20% wins and 60% draws).

2. The calculated probabilities also favor Maccabi Netanya winning or drawing, with a success probability of 69.02%, higher than that of Hapoel Haifa winning or drawing (61.96%).

3. Maccabi Netanya has shown greater offensive strength at home than Hapoel Haifa on the road, scoring an average of 1 goal per home match, compared to only 1.2 goals for Hapoel Haifa away. Furthermore, the offensive potential of Maccabi Netanya is assessed at 36%, higher than that of Hapoel Haifa with 43%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics of Maccabi Netanya show that the team scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game. This suggests a low offensive potential and a strong defensive potential, thereby reducing the chances of a high-scoring match.

2. Examining the recent performances of Hapoel Haifa, it is evident that they only score an average of 1.2 goals per game and concede an average of 0.6 goals per game in their away matches. This is also a relatively low score that points towards a low-scoring match.

3. Focusing on the probability of success percentage, it is noted that for a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, the probability is given imprecisely but given the context, it seems plausible. Moreover, it is statistically more probable to have fewer than 3.5 goals with a rate of 74.46%, which strengthens the previous argument in favor of fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The recent performances of both teams show that they both have a ability to score goals. Maccabi Netanya has scored 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Hapoel Haifa has scored 2 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams show that they can both concede goals. Maccabi Netanya has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Hapoel Haifa has conceded 3 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is high, at 59.78%. This figure is supported by statistics showing offensive and defensive potential for both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Maccabi Netanya 1-1 Hapoel Haifa

1. The offensive and defensive potential: On one side, Maccabi Netanya shows an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 50%, indicating they are likely to score and concede at least one goal. On the other side, Hapoel Haifa has an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 21%, also suggesting they are capable of scoring at least one goal during the match.

2. Previous match results: Maccabi Netanya often draws at home and Hapoel Haifa achieves a draw in 60% of cases away. Additionally, there are past matches with 1-1 scores, such as Maccabi Netanya against Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Haifa against Ironi Tiberias, implying a tendency for draws with a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Probability of the event occurring: The draw is the second most probable outcome after Maccabi Netanya’s victory, with a 30.98% probability. Furthermore, there is a high likelihood of both teams scoring with a probability rate of 59.78%, supporting the hypothesis of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Over their last 5 home matches, Maccabi Netanya has won 2 games, drawn 2, and scored 9 goals. Their 40% win rate shows a trend.

On the other hand, Hapoel Haifa has won 20% of their away matches, with a tendency to draw (60%). Their attacking line lacks shine, with only 2 goals in their last 5 away matches.

Maccabi Netanya has an average of 1 goal per match, but concedes more (1.4 goals per match). Their defensive potential is thus a point of concern.

Hapoel Haifa averages 1.2 goals per match, but maintains a clean sheet (0.6 goals conceded per match) in their away matches.

In terms of probabilities, the safest options are a draw or Maccabi Netanya winning the match, with a success probability of 69.02% (odds at 1.33).

Regarding goals, there is a 75.54% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match (odds at 1.25), and a high chance of under 3.5 goals in the match (74.46%, odds at 1.38).

Finally, both teams are expected to score according to statistics (59.78%, odds at 1.62).

In conclusion, this match could lean towards Maccabi Netanya or end in a draw, with a potential score of over 1.5 goals and likely goals from both teams.

The potential number of goals

Maccabi Netanya has a mixed performance at home, with a 40% win and draw rate. They have an average of 1 goal per match, with 9 goals scored recently. Their defense is average, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Hapoel Haifa struggles away from home. They have only won 20% of their matches and drawn 60% of the time. Their attack is weak, scoring only 2 goals in 5 matches. However, their defense is strong, conceding only 0.6 goals on average.
The probabilities suggest that the match could swing in favor of Maccabi Netanya with a 38.04% chance of winning. The draw has a probability of 30.98%.
The option ‘Draw or Maccabi Netanya wins the match’ has a high probability of success at 69.02%. In terms of goals, there is a 75.54% probability that the match will have over 1.5 goals, indicating a potentially offensive game.
Taking all this information into account, a relevant prediction would be to bet on ‘Draw or Maccabi Netanya wins’ with a few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Considering the performances of both teams, Maccabi Netanya appears to have a notable advantage with better home performance, slightly higher offensive potential, and a higher probability of winning or a draw. However, Hapoel Haifa should not be underestimated, as they have also shown a strong ability to score in their away matches despite their overall poor results.

For bettors seeking profitability, a draw bet seems to be the most interesting in terms of value bets. With an attractive odds of 3.50 and a relatively high probability of occurring, the risk is judiciously measured in relation to the expected return.

In terms of exact score, it seems plausible that Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Haifa could end up with a 1-1 result. This prediction is supported by the past performances of both teams and their tendency towards draws, in addition to the average goals scored and conceded per match for each team.

In conclusion, although the match seems to favor Maccabi Netanya, several indicators suggest a likely draw with some goals on the scoreboard. A conscientious prediction should therefore take these variables into account.