Tipps Machida Zelvia Avispa Fukuoka J1 League 22/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Machida Zelvia wins the match

1. Machida Zelvia has a better home win rate compared to Avispa Fukuoka’s away performances, with a 40% win rate in their recent home games versus 60% for Avispa Fukuoka in their recent away matches. Despite a slightly lower potential for victory, Machida Zelvia’s win/loss ratio ensures some stability in performance at home.

2. Machida Zelvia’s attacking potential at home is strong enough to overpower their opponent. With an average of 2 goals scored per home match, Machida Zelvia shows an offensive output capable of destabilizing the opposing defense. Even though Avispa Fukuoka averages 3 goals per away match, the home team’s defense could make the difference.

3. The study of probabilities favors Machida Zelvia, with a 52.15% chance of winning the match compared to the predicted 17.74% probability for Avispa Fukuoka. This significant difference demonstrates greater confidence in Machida Zelvia’s performance for this home match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. Generally speaking, both teams have a strong offensive capability. Machida Zelvia scores an average of 2 goals per home match, while Avispa Fukuoka scores an average of 3 goals per away match.

2. Both teams also have a tendency to concede goals. Machida Zelvia concedes an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while Avispa Fukuoka concedes an average of 0.6 goals per away match.

3. Looking at the last 5 matches of each team, it is evident that most matches end with over 2.5 goals, indicating a general trend for these teams to be involved in high-scoring games.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Machida Zelvia’s home offensive performance is impressive with an average of 2 goals scored per match and an offensive potential of 71%. Similarly, Avispa Fukuoka has an average of 3 goals scored per match in their away games, with an offensive potential of 107%. These statistics demonstrate a strong ability for both teams to score goals.

2. Both teams have shown clear defensive weaknesses. Machida Zelvia has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match at home with a defensive potential of 57%, while Avispa Fukuoka has conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match away, with a defensive potential of 21%. This leaves ample room for a scenario where both teams score.

3. Considering the results of their recent matches, it is clear that both teams are able to score during their games. For example, in Machida Zelvia’s last five home matches, the team scored in each game. Similarly, Avispa Fukuoka scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Avispa Fukuoka wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Machida Zelvia 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka

1. The statistics from previous matches show that Machida Zelvia at home and Avispa Fukuoka away have a tendency to score and concede multiple goals. Machida Zelvia has scored 11 goals and conceded the same amount in their last 5 home matches, while Avispa Fukuoka has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 in their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is fairly balanced. Machida Zelvia has a 71% offensive potential and a 57% defensive potential at home, while Avispa Fukuoka has a 107% offensive potential and a 21% defensive potential away. These high scores suggest that both teams have a strong likelihood of scoring, thus supporting the prediction of a 2-2 draw.

3. The success probabilities for different match outcomes also support this prediction. According to the probabilities, there is a 30.11% chance of a draw, and the probability of both teams scoring is 50.54%. Additionally, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 40.32%. These figures align with their exact score prediction of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Machida Zelvia has had mixed results at home, with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 11 goals while conceding the same. The team shows an offensive potential of 71% with an average of 2 goals per match.
On the other hand, Avispa Fukuoka seems to perform better away, with a 60% win rate, scoring 8 goals and conceding 10. They have an offensive potential of 107% and a defensive potential of 21%, showing a real attacking threat but weaknesses in defense.
According to the odds, Machida Zelvia has a 52.15% chance of winning the match (odds 1.75). The potential for a draw is evaluated at 30.11% (odds 3.40). On the other hand, Avispa Fukuoka only has a 17.74% chance of winning (odds 5.00).
Regarding the number of goals, there is a 71.51% chance that the match will see more than 1.5 goals (odds 1.45). The chances drop to 40.32% for more than 2.5 goals (odds 2.40).
Both teams have a 50.54% chance of both scoring during the match (odds 2.20).
In conclusion, Machida Zelvia has a home advantage but Avispa Fukuoka can be dangerous. The probabilities point towards a match with a relatively high total goal score.

The potential number of goals

Machida Zelvia, at home, has won 40% of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals. However, their defense is lacking, conceding 11 goals as well.

Avispa Fukuoka, playing away, has a 60% win rate in the last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 10.

In terms of attacking capabilities, Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka average 2 and 3 goals per game, respectively. Defensively, Avispa has a clear advantage, conceding only 0.6 goals per game compared to 1.6 for Machida.

The highest probability of victory is for Machida Zelvia at 52.15%, even though Avispa has a higher offensive potential. The “Draw or Machida Zelvia Win” option shows an impressive 82.26% success rate.

Regarding the number of goals, it is more likely to have over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 71.51%. However, the prediction leans towards under 3.5 goals with a probability of 85.48%.

Lastly, the probability of both teams scoring is 50.54%. It is therefore very close to predict whether or not both teams will score.

In conclusion, with a strong likelihood of victory for Machida Zelvia despite a weak defense and a clear trend towards under 3.5 goals, interesting bets could be a win for Machida Zelvia or a match with under 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, this match presents an interesting betting dynamic. Machida Zelvia’s strong home performance suggests they are the favorites to win the match, supported by the odds, despite Avispa Fukuoka’s more impressive offensive performance away from home.

Furthermore, statistical analysis strongly indicates a match where the number of goals will be over 2.5, confirming the offensive potential of both teams and their defensive weaknesses. It is also likely that both teams will manage to score a goal given their recent performances.

However, a value bet could be placed on an Avispa Fukuoka victory due to their offensive performances on the road and an attractive odds.

As for exact score betting, a 2-2 draw seems most plausible, respecting the offensive capabilities and defensive weaknesses of both teams.

Finally, the safest bets for this match appear to be a Machida Zelvia victory, over 2.5 goals scored in the match, and both teams scoring a goal, while keeping in mind the associated risks of each bet.