Tipps Machida Zelvia Shonan Bellmare J1 League 11/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shonan Bellmare wins the match

1. Shonan Bellmare has shown a very good performance away from home with a victory in 40% of matches and a draw in the same percentage, indicating good stability for the team when playing on the road.
2. Shonan Bellmare has an average of 2.2 goals scored per match away from home, which is higher than the average goals scored by Machida Zelvia at home (0.6 goals per match). This suggests that Shonan Bellmare’s attack is more effective and efficient.
3. Compared to Machida Zelvia, who has a 29% defensive performance at home, Shonan Bellmare has shown a superior defensive performance away from home with a defensive potential of 21%. This means that Shonan Bellmare has less chance of conceding goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Statistically, Machida Zelvia plays defensively at home, with an average of 0.6 goals per match and an offensive potential of 21%, which favors a bet on Under 2.5 goals.
2. Shonan Bellmare, when playing away, has a normal goal scoring average per match (2.2) and a relatively high offensive potential (79%) but against a defensive home team like Machida Zelvia, goals may not come easily.
3. The record of goals conceded and scored by both teams in their previous matches does not exceed an average of 2.5 goals, confirming a trend towards low-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics reveal that “Shonan Bellmare” is a particularly offensive team in their away matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. This suggests that they are very likely to score at least one goal in this match.

2. Although “Machida Zelvia” doesn’t have as strong an offensive performance as “Shonan Bellmare” (with an average of 0.6 goals scored per game), it is worth noting that they have managed to score in three of their last five home matches.

3. Looking at the defense, “Machida Zelvia” has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game at home, while “Shonan Bellmare” has conceded 0.6 goals per game away. These high concession rates strongly suggest that each team could concede a goal in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“The both teams do not score.”

Bet on the exact result

Machida Zelvia 1-2 Shonan Bellmare

1. Shonan Bellmare has superior form: By observing the recent performances of both teams, Shonan Bellmare has better form by winning 40% of their away matches compared to Machida Zelvia’s 20% at home.
2. Offensive capabilities of Shonan Bellmare: Shonan Bellmare’s offensive potential is on average higher than that of Machida Zelvia. Shonan Bellmare scores an average of 2.2 goals per away match compared to Machida Zelvia’s 0.6 goals per home match.
3. Trend towards higher scores in Shonan Bellmare’s matches: The last 5 away matches of Shonan Bellmare have all seen more than 1.5 goals scored. Therefore, a scoreline of 1-2 is plausible given that Machida Zelvia has also scored in 60% of their last 5 home matches.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Machida Zelvia struggles at home, winning only 20% of their recent matches. With an average of 0.6 goals per game, their attack lacks firepower. Additionally, they concede more goals than they score, averaging 0.8 goals per game.

On the other hand, Shonan Bellmare shines away from home, securing victories in 40% of their away games. They also have an efficient attack, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. However, their defense can be leaky, conceding 1.1 goals per game on average.

In the last 5 home matches for Machida, they scored in only 60% of their games. For Shonan, away from home, they scored in all their matches.

It appears that the conditions favor Shonan Bellmare, especially due to their strong offensive form away from home, contrasting with Zelvia’s home struggles. This could be a decisive factor in this match.

Unfortunately, a precise prediction of the match result is not available. However, considering Bellmare’s strong offensive potential and Zelvia’s fragile defense, one could expect at least 1.5 goals in the match.

Nevertheless, it should be noted that the prediction also shows a 100% probability that both teams will not score. This could suggest that although Bellmare has a high offensive potential, Zelvia might manage to maintain a solid defense, making the match result uncertain.

The potential number of goals

Machida Zelvia, at home, has a low win rate of 20%. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4 in 5 matches. Draws are common at 40%.

Shonan Bellmare, away, wins 40% of the time. They have an impressive scoring record, with 8 goals in 5 matches but have conceded 11 goals.

Machida Zelvia only averages 0.6 goals scored per match. Their defense is slightly better, conceding 0.8 goals per match.

Shonan Bellmare is offensive, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match. Their defense is weaker, conceding 0.6 goals per match.

The win probability for both teams is 0%.

The match trend seems to favor a low score with a 100% probability for under 3.5 goals in the match and under 4.5 goals in the match.

Both teams to score – 100% probability of success.

Based on these facts, the prediction would suggest a match with a low number of goals, likely under 3.5.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and recent performances of both teams, this match seems to favor Shonan Bellmare. This team not only shows good form away from home but also a superior attacking ability compared to Machida Zelvia. It is recommended to bet on a match where Shonan Bellmare would win, possibly with a score of 2-1.

However, despite Shonan Bellmare’s attacking trend and Machida Zelvia’s defensive form, the probabilities suggest a match likely to be low-scoring, with some bettors preferring to bet on “Under 2.5 goals.” Statistics also indicate that both teams are likely to score, although the prediction shows a strong likelihood that this may not happen for one or both teams.

What matters most for a bettor before placing a bet is their personal perception of the match, based on their analysis and understanding of the game and team factors. It is always recommended to conduct a thorough analysis before implementing a betting strategy.