Tipps Mafra Feirense Segunda Liga 14/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Mafra wins the match.

1. Mafra’s Home Statistics: Mafra has a stronger performance at home with a 20% win rate and a 40% draw rate. In addition, Mafra scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per home match, showing some solidity both in attack and defense.

2. Feirense’s Away Weakness: Feirense has shown a weak performance away from home, with no wins or draws. They have scored an average of fewer goals (0.8) and conceded more goals (2) per match, indicating that they are generally less effective on the road.

3. General Match Probabilities: The probability of Mafra winning the match or there being a draw is 79.17%, which is significantly higher than the probability of Feirense winning the match (20.83%). This indicates that Mafra is more likely to win the match or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics show a low average of goals for both teams. Mafra scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Feirense scores an average of 0.8 goals per away match. The sum of these two averages is less than 2.5.

2. The recent performances of both teams indicate a tendency for low-scoring matches. In Mafra’s last 5 home games, the total goals exceeded 2.5 only once. For Feirense away matches, the total goals also exceeded 2.5 only once in the last 5 games.

3. Finally, Feirense’s offensive potential is quite weak (only 29% away) which decreases the probability of seeing a high number of goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Based on the statistics of the last five matches, Mafra has scored in 60% of the matches (3 out of 5) while Feirense has scored in 80% of the matches (4 out of 5), indicating that both teams have offensive capabilities and tend to score in their matches under the given conditions.

2. Based on the offensive and defensive potentials, Mafra has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 50%. Feirense has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 71%. This means that Mafra has a strong chance of scoring, as well as Feirense has a strong chance of conceding a goal. These pieces of information show that the conditions could favor a match where both teams score.

3. Finally, the prediction indicator for “Both teams to score” shows approximately a 52% probability. This stat indicates that there is a higher likelihood of both teams scoring in this match. The previous statistics support this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Mafra wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Mafra 1-0 Feirense

1. Mafra has shown a better performance at home than Feirense away. In their last 5 matches, Mafra managed to win or draw in 60% of the cases, unlike Feirense who has shown no wins or draws in their away games.

2. Feirense has a defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while Mafra scores an average of 1.4 goals per home game. Additionally, Mafra’s offensive potential at home is higher (50%) than Feirense’s away from home (29%).

3. The statistical analysis suggests a low-scoring match. In fact, the option of under 1.5 goals in the match is also available, and the option of under 3.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 82.81%. This reinforces the prediction of a match with only one goal scored by Mafra.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Mafra, at home, has won only one out of five matches. Balance in defense and attack with 1.4 goals on each side. Mafra’s chances of winning stand at 48.44%. Less than 3.5 goals in most matches, with a probability of 82.81%.

Feirense, away from home, has not managed to win or draw: 0% success rate. Their attackers are in mediocre form, scoring 0.8 goals per match; their defense is weak, conceding 2 goals per match. Feirense has a 20.83% chance of winning.

Mafra seems to have more control at home than Feirense does away. I predict a match with less than 3.5 goals, with a strong likelihood of Mafra not losing, given Feirense’s recent performance.

The potential number of goals

Mafra has not been very successful at home, winning only 20% of their matches. However, they tend to limit the damage, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Their defensive potential of 50% is noteworthy.

On the other hand, Feirense has not won any of their last five away matches. With averages of 0.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match, their respective offensive and defensive potentials of 29% and 71% are rather weak.

According to the probabilities, a victory for Mafra (48.44%) or a draw (30.73%) are more likely outcomes than a triumph for Feirense (20.83%). Betting on ‘Mafra wins or draw’ has a success probability of 79.17%.

In terms of goals, there is an 82.81% probability of less than 3.5 goals. Furthermore, there is a 74.48% probability of more than 1.5 goals but only a 43.75% probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals.

Therefore, it seems that the match could unfold with a low goal production, and Mafra has better chances of not losing.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on all the data collected and analyzed, it appears that Mafra has a significant advantage in this home match against Feirense. Considering their past performances, offensive and defensive efficiency, and overall form at home, Mafra seems better positioned to win or at least secure a draw. Therefore, the recommended bet is a double chance (draw or Mafra win).

On the other hand, given the average number of goals scored by each team, the Over/Under bet could be profitable by selecting “under 2.5 goals” in the match. Additionally, considering each team’s tendency to score, the “Both teams to score: Yes” bet could be an interesting option.

Finally, for bettors looking for a riskier but higher-reward bet, the predicted exact score for this match is Mafra 1-0 Feirense. As always, it’s important to remember that while detailed analysis can provide valuable insights into the likely outcome of a match, the final result remains uncertain and sports betting should always be done responsibly.