Tipps Makhachkala Arsenal Tula Premier League 24/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the provided statistics, although Arsenal Tula has shown solid away results, Makhachkala’s home performance is slightly better. With that being said, the prediction would be: Draw or Makhachkala wins the match.

1. Home match history of Makhachkala: Over the last 5 home matches, Makhachkala has shown a strong performance by winning 60% of the cases. They have also managed to score 7 goals, indicating a strong offensive potential.

2. Weak performance of Arsenal Tula away from home: Despite a 40% win rate in away matches, Arsenal Tula has scored more goals on the road than at home. However, they have also conceded an equal number of goals scored, which indicates a less effective defense away from their own turf.

3. Balance of power: Looking at the statistics of goals scored and conceded, it can be seen that Makhachkala has a better average of goals at home (1.4) than Arsenal Tula away (0.8). Additionally, Makhachkala concedes fewer goals at home (0.6) than Arsenal Tula away (0.8). This suggests a possible advantage for Makhachkala.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Makhachkala has a relatively low home goal average (1.4 goals per match) and Arsenal Tula has a similar away score (0.8 goals per match). This suggests that both teams struggle to score, so we can expect less than 2.5 goals.
2. Makhachkala’s defensive statistics are also strong at home, conceding only an average of 0.6 goals per match. Arsenal Tula’s defense performs similarly away, conceding just 0.8 goals per match. These numbers indicate that there will likely be few goals in this match, hence the anticipation of under 2.5.
3. Recent home matches for Makhachkala have generally been low-scoring, with most scores staying below 3. Arsenal Tula’s away matches show a similar trend, with most matches also having fewer than 3 goals. Once again, this supports the prediction of a total of goals less than 2.5 in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Past data shows a clear trend where Makhachkala at home demonstrates a strong defense, conceding on average only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 matches.
2. Arsenal Tula is not particularly prolific away from home, scoring on average only 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 outings. This reduces the probability of them scoring.
3. Analysis of the teams’ recent matches often shows games where only one of the two teams scores. This reinforces the prediction that ‘both teams will not score.’

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Makhachkala wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Makhachkala 1-1 Arsenal Tula

1. The recent performances of both teams are comparable: Arsenal Tula has shown a decent performance in their last away matches, with two draws and two victories; Makhachkala has also displayed a decent performance in their last home matches, with three wins, one draw, and one loss. With similar numbers of goals scored and conceded, a draw seems plausible.

2. Both teams have a solid defense but a moderate attack: Makhachkala concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match at home while Arsenal Tula concedes 0.8 goals per match away; moreover, Makhachkala scores an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, whereas Arsenal Tula only scores 0.8 on average away. These statistics indicate that both teams may neutralize each other in attack, further supporting the idea of a final score of 1-1.

3. The tendency of both teams to draw matches: in their respective last 5 matches, Makhachkala drew in 20% of cases while Arsenal Tula drew in 40% of cases. Therefore, there is a significant possibility that the match will end in a draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

By assessing recent performances, Makhachkala has shown strength at home with a 60% win rate. They average 1.4 goals per match but have conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (7).

On the other hand, Arsenal Tula has a more mixed record away from home with only a 40% win rate. Their goal difference is balanced at 8, but their offensive and defensive potential remains modest at 29% each.

Historical match data indicates a trend of less than 3.5 goals per match for Makhachkala at home and for Arsenal Tula away. Furthermore, the highest probability is that both teams will not score.

In this analysis, the key indication would be: Bet on under 3.5 goals in the match with a 100% success rate probability. Therefore, the match is likely to be more defensive.

The potential number of goals

Makhachkala has had a strong home performance lately, with a 60% win rate. Offensively, they have scored 7 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.4 per game. However, their defense leaves something to be desired, having conceded 8 goals, which raises questions about their defensive potential.

On the other hand, Arsenal Tula has had a solid away performance, winning 40% of their matches and drawing 40% as well. They have scored and conceded 8 goals, indicating a balance between their offensive and defensive capabilities.

Both teams have the potential to score, as Makhachkala and Arsenal Tula have a solid offensive background. Defense could be the deciding factor in this match as Makhachkala has a strong defensive potential at home.

Looking at the probabilities, the most likely scenario is a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, with a 100% likelihood. Both teams are unlikely to score, also backed by a 100% probability.

Therefore, based on these statistics, a safe prediction would be a draw or a Makhachkala win, with fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and where only one of the two teams will score. This appears to be a defensive-minded match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Makhachkala and Arsenal Tula is expected to be a close duel, with statistics slightly favoring Makhachkala due to their strong home performances. Although Arsenal Tula has shown some ability to secure results away from home, Makhachkala appears to have a certain offensive and defensive strength when playing at home.

However, both teams have struggled to score and concede goals, suggesting that the match will likely be defensive and may end in a draw or a narrow victory for either side.

The “Under 2.5” bet seems to be a safe option considering both teams’ goal statistics. Additionally, the “Both teams to score – No” bet also appears to be a viable option given their limited offensive potential.

In terms of a value bet, the “Draw or Makhachkala to win” bet seems to be an interesting option based on recent performances and the teams’ match history.

Finally, for a riskier bet, considering a 1-1 exact score could be an option. However, this outcome remains uncertain and should be approached with caution.

Overall, bettors will need to be patient and strategic to navigate this potentially low-scoring and defense-heavy match.