Tipps Mallorca Rayo Vallecano La Liga 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Majorca wins the match

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Majorca have drawn or won in 40% of cases. In comparison, Rayo Vallecano have drawn or won in only 40% of their away matches.

2. The likelihood of Majorca achieving a draw or win is 79.71%, significantly higher than Rayo Vallecano’s win probability of 20.29%.

3. Recent performance analysis indicates that Majorca have a relatively solid defense at home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Rayo Vallecano, despite a similar offensive average (1.4 goals scored per match), have a weaker defense away from home, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The past performance of both teams indicates a trend towards low-scoring matches. Majorca has scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Rayo Vallecano has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The average goal statistics for both teams are also low, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match for both teams, and an average of 1.2 goals conceded for Majorca and 0.8 for Rayo Vallecano, indicating a high likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. By analyzing the odds offered, the bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is the option with a higher probability of success compared to other betting options, implying that bookmakers also expect a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. The statistics show that Majorca has a higher defensive potential (43%) at home than Rayo Vallecano away (29%). This may mean that Majorca is more likely to not concede a goal at home.
2. Looking at Rayo Vallecano’s last five away matches, it appears that they do not always score regularly, with two goalless matches. This increases the probability that Rayo Vallecano will not score in this match.
3. Probability statistics suggest a higher probability (56.52%) of both teams not scoring compared to the probability of both teams scoring (43.48%). This trend indicates that both teams may not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Rayo Vallecano wins the match – 20.29% probability of success: 4.20

Bet on the exact result

Majorca 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

1. According to the statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches, it seems that their performances on the field are similar. Majorca, on average, scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals per match. On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano also scores an average of 1.4 goals per match but concedes fewer goals than Majorca (0.8 goals per match). This suggests a fairly balanced match with potential goals for each team.

2. The recent home matches of Majorca and away matches of Rayo Vallecano show a tendency towards draws, or with a one-goal difference. Majorca has notably had 2 draws against big teams (Real Madrid and Sevilla). On Rayo Vallecano’s side, there have been 2 draws in the last 5 matches. This could indicate a trend towards another draw between these two teams.

3. The betting success probabilities indicate a higher chance of a draw or a Majorca win (79.71% probability). However, the probability of a draw alone is also quite high (33.33%). The probabilities, combined with the current form of the teams, make a 1-1 scoreline a possible option for this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Match analysis:

Majorca has shown a modest performance at home, with only 20% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. The team has scored 4 goals but conceded 5.

Rayo Vallecano, playing away, has a more solid performance with 40% wins and an equal number of draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6.

Both teams have a similar offensive potential, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, Rayo Vallecano displays a better defense than Majorca.

In terms of prediction, Majorca has a 46.38% chance of winning, compared to 20.29% for Rayo Vallecano. A draw also seems plausible, with a 33.33% possibility.

This also indicates that the match will likely be tight and result in less than 4.5 goals, with a 94.2% success rate.

Based on these data, a match with less than 2.5 goals could be a reasonable prediction, with a success rate of 59.42%. The clash between the two teams is likely to be tense but low-scoring.

The potential number of goals

Mallorca has a 20% home win rate, with an average score of 1.4 goals per match. Away from home, Rayo Vallecano shows a 40% win rate, with an average of 1.4 goals scored. Despite similar performances, Mallorca appears slightly more vulnerable defensively.

Let’s analyze the probabilities. Mallorca has a 46.38% chance of winning the match, while Rayo Vallecano only has a 20.29% chance. A draw, however, has a 33.33% chance of occurring.

Now let’s bet on goals. Less than 1.5 goals has odds of 2.40. More than 1.5 goals is more likely, at 59.42%. A match with over 3.5 goals seems unlikely, with odds of 6.00.

Both teams to score has a 43.48% chance. The odds for a match where both teams do not score is 1.58.

Based on this data, a potentially attractive bet is the draw or Mallorca to win with a probability of 79.71%. Another interesting bet: less than 3.5 goals in the match, with an 85.51% chance.

It seems that defensive performance could be crucial in this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis of this match between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano suggests an intensive game but without a high number of goals. The strong defensive performances of both teams could limit the number of goals scored, with a recommendation to bet on under 2.5 goals in the match.

Despite Rayo Vallecano’s better away performance compared to Mallorca’s home performance, statistics favor Mallorca to win the match or at least secure a draw. However, Rayo Vallecano should not be underestimated as they have shown their ability to win away matches.

Furthermore, it is likely that both teams will not score due to their solid defenses and tendency for low-scoring matches.

Regarding the “value bet,” betting on a Rayo Vallecano victory may seem risky given their lower probability of success, but it offers an interesting odd for those willing to take more risks.

As for the exact score, the suggestion of a 1-1 draw, considering the performances of these two teams, seems plausible given their similar levels of play, offensive and defensive performances, and match history.

In summary, this match could be more strategic and defensive rather than spectacularly offensive, offering multiple options for bettors based on their preferences and risk tolerance.