Tipps Manchester City Watford League Cup 24/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Manchester City wins the match

1. The offensive potential of Manchester City at home is higher than that of Watford away. On average, City scores 2.2 goals per home match while Watford only scores 1.6 away. This means that Manchester City is more likely to score more goals during the match.
2. Manchester City’s performance at home is overall better than that of Watford away. In their respective last 5 matches, Manchester City has won 60% of the time at home, while Watford has only won 40% of their away matches. This indicates that Manchester City is more likely to win the match.
3. The calculated probabilities for this match also strongly favor a Manchester City win. With a win probability of 76.47% for Manchester City against only 10.29% for Watford, the indicator clearly favors City for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Manchester City’s offensive efficiency at home is very high with an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 games. Additionally, Watford has also shown good offensive potential by scoring an average of 1.6 goals per away match.

2. The defenses of both teams are relatively weak, with Manchester City and Watford conceding 13 and 10 goals respectively in their last 5 matches, which could contribute to a high total goal count in the match.

3. Betting statistics show a 54.41% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, indicating that bettors expect to see a number of goals exceeding this limit.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Manchester City has a strong home defense, conceding only 0.6 goals on average per match in their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Watford seems to struggle to score away from home, with an average of just 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 away matches.

2. The probability of both teams not scoring is quite high at 63.97%, indicating a clear trend that this could be the match result. This is a prediction based on available statistics.

3. Looking at Watford’s recent away matches, they have lost 3 times without scoring (Sheffield United 1 – 0 Watford, Wycombe 3 – 2 Watford, Gillingham 2 – 0 Watford). This shows they may struggle to score against a strong defense like Manchester City’s.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Manchester City 2-1 Watford

1. Manchester City’s offensive performance at home is quite consistent with an average of 2.2 goals per match, which corresponds to half of the final score prediction.
2. Watford manages to score an average of 1.6 goals per match when playing away, which supports the prediction of this team scoring a goal.
3. In their last 5 home matches, Manchester City has conceded at least one goal, which may indicate that Watford could score in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Manchester City is solid at home with a 60% win rate. They have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches. Their defense looks strong, having conceded only 13 goals.

Watford struggles away from home, winning only 40% of their matches and conceding more goals (10) than they have scored (8).

Manchester City averages 2.2 goals per home game, while Watford averages 1.6 goals per away game.

Statistics heavily favor Manchester City to win with a 76.47% probability, while Watford has only a 10.29% chance of winning.

There is an 80.88% chance of more than 1.5 goals in the match, but both teams seem less likely to score, with a probability of 36.03%.

Recent matches show Manchester City’s dominance at home, especially against Brentford (2-1), Ipswich (4-1), and Chelsea (4-2). Watford has struggled, suffering recent defeats against Sheffield United (0-1) and Gillingham (0-2).

Manchester City appears to have the upper hand in this League Cup match.

The potential number of goals

Manchester City has a strong home performance with a 60% win rate and an average of 2.2 goals scored per match. However, their defense needs improvement as they have conceded 13 goals in 5 matches.

Watford, on the other hand, wins 40% of their away matches with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. They also have a solid defense, having conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches.

Manchester City has a 76.47% probability of winning the match, significantly higher than Watford’s 10.29% probability.

There is also a high chance (80.88%) of seeing more than 1.5 goals in this match, and a moderate chance (54.41%) of more than 2.5 goals being scored.

Based on these data, it is likely that Manchester City will win the match with more than 1.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics and analysis tend to favor Manchester City for this League Cup match against Watford. City’s offensive and defensive performances, especially at home, in the context of these predictions, surpass those of Watford. This is further emphasized by the fact that Watford seems to struggle to score away from home.

Regarding the total number of goals in the match, it is likely to be over 2.5 – especially due to City’s offensive strength and Watford’s defensive record away from home – but a safer prediction would probably be under 3.5 goals in the match.

As for goals scored by the teams, although both clubs have shown their ability to find the back of the net, there is a higher probability that both teams will not score. The exact score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Manchester City finalizes the prognosis of this analysis.

However, despite these detailed analyses, it is essential to remember that football match results can never be guaranteed 100%. Sports betting should always be approached with caution and in the spirit of entertainment. Good luck to all bettors, and may the best team win!