Tipps Marseille Atalanta UEFA Europa League 02/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Marseille OM wins the match.

1. Marseille’s home statistics are favorable with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, showing that they are strong on their own turf.
2. The probability of Marseille succeeding in winning the match or getting a draw is 71.35%, which is higher than the one indicated for Atalanta Bergamo.
3. Marseille has demonstrated a solid defense at home, conceding an average of only 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 home games, which could limit Atalanta’s scoring chances.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The average total goals scored and conceded by Marseille at home per match is 3, so less than 2.5 goals, which favors the probability of a total goals in the match of less than 2.5.

2. Although Atalanta averages 2 goals per away match, they also have a strong defense conceding only 1 goal on average per match. This indicates they could limit the total number of goals in the match.

3. Their recent matches show several results with less than 2.5 goals in the match. In the last 5 home matches of OM, 3 had less than 2.5 goals. For Atalanta away, 2 out of 5 matches had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams show that they both have a high offensive potential, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match for Marseille OM and 2 goals scored per match for Atalanta Bergamo. Additionally, both teams also show a tendency to concede goals, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match for Marseille OM and 1 goal conceded per match for Atalanta Bergamo.
2. The respective teams’ recent matches also support this prediction. Looking at their recent performance, we can see that in most of their recent matches, both teams have managed to score goals. Neither team has appeared particularly solid defensively.
3. The probability given for both teams to score is 57.29%, which indicates that both teams are quite likely to score during their encounter. This statistic, combined with their previously mentioned offensive and defensive abilities, provides a strong argument to support the prediction that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Marseille OM 1-2 Atalanta Bergamo

1. Atalanta Bergamo has a better offensive performance in their away matches compared to Marseille at home, averaging 2 goals scored per game against Marseille’s 1.6. Furthermore, Atalanta’s offensive potential at 71% is higher than Marseille’s at 57%.

2. Recent match analysis shows that Atalanta has won three of their last five away matches, including an impressive victory against Liverpool. On the other hand, Marseille lost one of their last five home matches to PSG, a significantly stronger team, highlighting some vulnerability.

3. Although Atalanta’s probability of winning is slightly lower than Marseille’s, the difference is not significant (28.65% for Atalanta compared to 38.54% for Marseille). Additionally, Atalanta has a better defensive performance by conceding on average 1 goal per game compared to Marseille’s 1.4. All these factors suggest that a 2-1 score in favor of Atalanta is plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Marseille shows stable form at the Vélodrome stadium, with three wins, one draw, and one recent loss. They have scored 7 goals, while also conceding 7. The probability of OM winning is 38.54%.

Atalanta Bergamo has had a mixed performance away from home. With three wins and two recent losses, the Italians have scored nine times but have also conceded nine goals in five matches. Their probability of winning is 28.65%.

Furthermore, Atalanta possesses excellent offensive strengths, averaging 2 goals per game, compared to 1.6 for OM.

Defensively, the Italian team is also leading, conceding on average one goal per game compared to 1.4 for the Marseille team.

The match is likely to see over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 73.96%. There is also a 57.29% chance of both teams scoring.

Based on these numbers, a mixed score or over 1.5 goals in the match could be a safe bet. Trust your intuition for this closely contested match.

The potential number of goals

Marseille OM shows a balanced performance at home with 3 wins out of 5 and a total of 7 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Their defenses are also solid, conceding 7 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match. This gives the club a 38.54% probability of winning this UEFA Europa League match.

Atalanta Bergamo, on the other hand, has a stronger offensive performance away from home with 9 goals scored in 5 matches, averaging 2 goals per match. Their defense concedes more frequently with 9 goals against, averaging 1.8 goals per match, giving the team a 28.65% probability of winning this match.

A draw also seems possible with a probability of 32.81%.

Regarding goals, the highest probability is for less than 4.5 goals in the match, at 94.79%. The chances of both teams scoring are at 57.29%.

It should be noted that Atalanta has scored in each of their last 5 away matches, while Marseille OM has been solid at home, winning or drawing in 80% of their recent matches.

Based on these factors, a close match with fewer than 4.5 goals and both teams scoring could be considered.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the derby between Marseille OM and Atalanta Bergamo seems to promise an intense and highly competitive match. Given OM’s strong defense at home and Atalanta Bergamo’s offensive potential, it seems wise to bet on a victory for OM or a draw. However, do not overlook the strong offensive potential of these two teams, which suggests that both teams will score goals in this match. As for the exact number of goals, the most likely option seems to be less than 2.5 goals during the match. That being said, the most plausible match scenario to anticipate would be a 1-2 victory in favor of the Italian team, Atalanta Bergamo. Nevertheless, in the unpredictable world of sports betting, your intuition could ultimately be the decisive referee.