Tipps Marseille Benfica UEFA Europa League 18/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

According to these statistics, the prediction would be “Draw or Marseille OM wins the match”.

1. Home/Away Performance: Marseille OM has shown a strong performance at home with a 80% win rate in their last 5 matches, while Benfica has a much lower 40% win rate in their away games.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Although Marseille OM has a modest 21% offensive potential, their defensive potential is significantly high at 86%. This means Marseille is capable of maintaining a solid defense and therefore limiting Benfica’s chances of scoring.

3. Defensive Issues for Benfica: Away from home, Benfica has shown signs of defensive vulnerability by conceding an average of 1 goal per match, giving Marseille OM opportunities to exploit these weaknesses.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that when Marseille OM plays at home, the total number of goals scored and conceded is quite high (27 goals in their last 5 matches), indicating a tendency to play matches with more than 2.5 goals.

2. On average per match, the sum of potentially scored goals by both teams (Marseille OM averaging 0.6 goals per home match and Benfica averaging 1.8 goals per away match) is higher than 2.5 goals, indicating a fairly high probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The calculated probability for the prediction “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 58.28%, this high probability strengthens the argument that it is more likely to see a total of goals exceeding 2.5 in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal statistics: The statistics show that Marseille OM scores an average of 0.6 goals per match at home and Benfica scores an average of 1.8 goals per match away. This stat indicates that both teams have the ability to score a goal during the match.

2. Match history: Looking at recent matches, we can see that in most of these matches, both teams have scored. For Marseille OM, apart from against PSG, they have scored at least 2 goals at home in every match. As for Benfica, away from home, they have scored at least one goal in every match except against Porto.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams have a fairly strong offensive potential (21% for OM and 64% for Benfica) and significant defensive potential (86% for OM and 36% for Benfica), which implies that they can not only score but also concede goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Benfica wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Marseille OM 1-1 Benfica

1. Goal Statistics: Looking at the statistics, Marseille at home scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and concedes an average of 2.4 goals per match, while Benfica away from home scores an average of 1.8 goals per match and concedes an average of 1 goal per match. These numbers show a tendency towards lower scores and suggest a fairly balanced match, supporting a predicted score of 1-1.

2. Probability of a Draw: Among the various calculated probabilities, the probability of a draw is 24.54%. It is not the highest probability, but it is also not the lowest, and it again indicates the possibility of a close match that could end in a 1-1 draw.

3. Recent Teams’ Performances: In their respective last 5 matches, Marseille has shown strong attacking prowess at home, while Benfica has struggled away. However, these results may lead each team to adopt a more cautious strategy for this match, prioritizing defense and limiting the number of goals scored on both sides.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Marseille shines at home with an 80% win rate, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match. Benfica struggles a bit on the road with only a 40% win rate, and an average of 1.8 goals per match.

Looking at the defenses, Marseille concedes around 2.4 goals per match at home, while Benfica limits the damage to 1 goal on average away from home.

The odds slightly favor Marseille, with a 38.04% chance of victory compared to 37.42% for Benfica. A draw has a 24.54% chance of occurring.

In their recent matches, Marseille has scored heavily against Nantes, Villarreal, Montpellier, and Shakhtar Donetsk. Benfica has suffered defeats against Sporting and a heavy loss against Porto.

In terms of goals, there is a 76.69% probability of having more than 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams score in 57.67% of cases.

In conclusion, the match seems to be closely contested with a slight edge for Marseille at home. However, the outcome of the match remains uncertain with close win probabilities for both teams. Goal enthusiasts should be satisfied based on the statistics.

The potential number of goals

Let’s analyze the statistics for the Marseille OM vs. Benfica match.

Marseille has a solid home performance with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they have scored 13 goals but conceded 14, highlighting a defensive issue.

As for Benfica, they have not shined as much away from home with only a 40% win rate. They have scored 4 goals while conceding 6.

In terms of average goals per match, Marseille scores 0.6 at home, while Benfica scores 1.8 away, indicating that the Portuguese team is more offensive.

The match result probabilities are very close, with Marseille having a 38.04% chance of winning, a 24.54% chance of a draw, and Benfica with a 37.42% chance of winning.

Regarding bets on the number of goals, there is a 76.69% probability of over 1.5 goals and a 58.28% probability of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a high-scoring match.

In conclusion, the numbers suggest a probably offensive match with a slight edge to Benfica due to their superior offensive capability. However, Marseille’s strong home performance could turn the tide. Bets on “over 2.5 goals” and “Benfica win or draw” could be interesting.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it seems that the Marseille OM vs Benfica match could be tight, due to the respective performances of both teams. Statistics reveal a slight advantage for the OM team, especially when playing at home. However, the superior offensive capability of Benfica in away matches could work in their favor.

Specifically, the numbers suggest a high probability that the match will see more than 2.5 goals. Therefore, a bet on “over 2.5 goals” could offer an interesting value bet. Additionally, the assumption that both teams will score also seems likely given their offensive potential.

Furthermore, despite OM’s strength at home, Benfica’s offensive potential and their performance away from home add some uncertainty to the prediction. This makes the bet “Benfica wins or draw” quite attractive.

On the other hand, based on recent performances and goal statistics, an exact score of 1-1 could also be a possibility. This prediction might interest those who prefer riskier bets but also greater rewards.

Ultimately, every bet involves risk and it’s crucial for each bettor to make a decision based on their own assessment of the situation and their ability to handle inherent risks.