Tipps Martigues Grenoble Ligue 2 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Martigues win the match.

1. Martigues has a good home record, with 60% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. This trend significantly increases the likelihood of a win or draw for Martigues.

2. Although Grenoble Foot 38 has a stronger offensive potential away from home with an average of 2 goals per match, they have a lower success rate on the road in their last 5 matches with 40% wins and 20% draws.

3. The provided odds (Martigues to win the match – 37.95% success probability and draw – 31.79% success probability) indicate a higher level of confidence in favor of Martigues or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that both teams score and concede few goals, with an average of less than 2.5 goals combined per match in their last 5 respective games.

2. The history of matches indicates a tendency for low scores, especially for Martigues, who have scored more than two goals only once in their last five home matches.

3. The provided probability analysis also suggests a low-scoring match, with an 84.1% probability of under 3.5 goals in the match and an even higher probability of 92.82% for under 4.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The statistics show that both Martigues and Grenoble Foot 38 have a certain ability to score in their matches, respectively with 1 goal per home match for Martigues and 2 goals per away match for Grenoble Foot 38.
2. Martigues has shown some defensive weakness at home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Meanwhile, Grenoble Foot 38 also has defensive vulnerabilities away from home, conceding 1.2 goals on average per match.
3. The likelihood of both teams scoring is high, with a success probability of 53.33%. This stat indicates that there is a good chance that both teams will find the back of the net in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Martigues 1-1 Grenoble Foot 38

1. The recent performance of Martigues at home and Grenoble Foot 38 away reveals a fairly equal level of performance with a similar number of goals scored and conceded, which increases the likelihood of a draw.

2. The defensive statistics of Martigues at home and the offensive statistics of Grenoble Foot 38 away are slightly favorable, with an average of 1 and 2 goals respectively, making a 1-1 score likely.

3. The recommended odds for this match indicate a higher probability of a draw (31.79%) compared to a victory for Grenoble Foot 38 (30.26%), suggesting a potentially tight scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

For this football match between Martigues and Grenoble Foot 38, current form suggests a close encounter.

In their last 5 home performances, Martigues has shown a solid 60% win rate, but has also drawn 40% of their matches. They scored 5 goals and conceded 5.

On the other hand, Grenoble Foot 38 has a 40% win rate in their last 5 away outings, with only 3 goals scored and 3 goals conceded.

In terms of offensive potential, Martigues stands at 36% at home while Grenoble peaks at 71% threat going forward away. Defensive potential also favors Grenoble with 43% against Martigues’ 64%.

The probabilities slightly favor Martigues for the win at 37.95% compared to 30.26% for Grenoble.

A draw wouldn’t be surprising with a probability of 31.79%.

We might see fewer than 3.5 goals in this match with a high probability of 84.1%.

Both teams have an equal chance of scoring at 53.33%.

Looking at previous encounters, Martigues has defended quite solidly at home while Grenoble has shown inconsistency in their away matches.

Therefore, this match could result in an intense battle with a higher chance of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals and both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Martigues is solid at home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They score an average of 1 goal and concede the same amount in each match. Offensively, they are a bit weak with a 36% offensive potential. This trend is reflected in their recent matches: 1-0 victories against Nimes, Istres, and Aubagne, and 1-0 defeats against Bastia and Lorient.

As for Grenoble, their away performance is inconsistent with a 40% win rate and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They score on average 2 goals but also concede 1.2 goals in each match. Grenoble is more offensive than Martigues with a 71% offensive potential. However, they recently lost 2-0 against Lorient and Valenciennes.

In terms of predictions, the strongest likelihood would be a draw or a Martigues win with a 69.74% chance and odds of 1.42. On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is 53.33%, with odds of 1.83. Furthermore, the likelihood of there being less than 3.5 goals in the match is a probable option with an 84.1% chance and odds of 1.25.

Based on this information, a low-scoring draw with less than 3.5 goals in the match seems reasonable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of this Ligue 2 match between Martigues and Grenoble Foot 38 suggests an intense and close encounter. Statistics show that Martigues, at home, maintains a strong record against Grenoble Foot 38, which has shown some inconsistency in its away performances. The highest probability rests on a draw or a Martigues win, confirming the home advantage for Martigues. As for the total goals, the trend indicates a low-scoring match with fewer than 3.5 goals. Both teams have the ability to score, increasing the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net. Based on these data, bettors could consider an exact score of 1-1, offering an interesting value. However, each bet should be placed based on personal and critical analysis, taking into account the playing conditions and current forms of the teams. Sports betting, like any investment, carries a level of risk.