Tipps Mazatlán Puebla Liga MX 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the analysis of the information provided, my prediction for the Mazatlán vs Puebla match would be “Draw or Mazatlán win the match”. Indeed, this option has a success probability of 76.02%. Additionally, Mazatlán appears to have a better performance at home.

1. Home match history of Mazatlán: Mazatlán has shown a higher level of performance in its home matches recently. The team has won 20% of its home matches and drawn in 40% of cases, indicating a strong defensive performance.

2. Offensive potential of Mazatlán: At home, Mazatlán scores an average of 2 goals per match and concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match. In comparison, Puebla has only a 29% offensive potential when playing away. This reinforces the possibility of Mazatlán winning or drawing the match.

3. Statistical probability: A success probability of 76.02% is given to the option “Draw or Mazatlán wins the match.” This is the highest among all other possible scenarios, indicating the strong likelihood of this outcome.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams’ match statistics show strong offensive performances. For instance, Mazatlán has scored six goals in their last five home matches, while Puebla has scored six goals in their last five away matches. This indicates a high likelihood of seeing at least three goals in the match, making a prediction of over 2.5 goals plausible.

2. Based on the calculated probabilities, the option “over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 56.63%, which is higher than the “under 2.5 goals in the match” option. This underscores these teams’ tendency to engage in high-scoring matches.

3. Lastly, by observing Mazatlán’s recent home matches and Puebla’s recent away matches, a vast majority of them have had over 2.5 goals. Indeed, the scores from these matches indicate a generally high number of goals, further supporting the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Both teams have recently shown a relatively high goal-scoring record (Mazatlán has scored 6 goals in 5 home matches, while Puebla has scored 6 goals in 5 away matches), indicating good offensive potential.
2. In their respective last 5 matches, both at home for Mazatlán and away for Puebla, they have also conceded a significant number of goals (10 for Mazatlán and 9 for Puebla), pointing towards potentially weak defenses.
3. Previous match statistics also indicate a tendency for both teams to both score and concede goals. For instance, in their home matches series, Mazatlán has had results like 3-0, 2-2, 1-1, etc., while Puebla has recorded scores like 0-1, 2-1, 4-1, etc., away. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 3.75

Bet on the exact result

“Mazatlán 2-1 Puebla”

1. Mazatlán’s past performances at home show an ability to score at least 2 goals on average per match, with an offensive potential of 71%. They have actually managed to score 2 goals in one of their previous home matches.

2. Puebla has shown a tendency to concede more goals when playing away, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Additionally, in their last 5 away matches, Puebla has lost 4 times, and 3 of those losses were by at least 2 goals, highlighting their defensive vulnerability away from home.

3. The statistic indicating that both teams score in 66.84% of cases reinforces the hypothesis of a 2-1 scoreline. This prediction implies that each team scores at least one goal, which aligns well with this probability.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Mazatlán, at home, has had a mixed performance in the last 5 matches with a 20% win rate and 40% draws. Their attack scores an average of 2 goals per match, but the defense often concedes, with 10 goals in 5 matches.

Puebla, away from home, also only secures victory in 20% of matches. Their attack is less effective with 0.8 goals per match. The defense struggles, conceding 9 goals in 5 away matches.

The match odds indicate that Mazatlán is the favorite with a 41.33% chance of winning (odds at 1.95), while Puebla has only a 23.98% chance of winning (odds at 3.60).

Bookmakers predict a match with at least 1.5 goals (80.61% probability, odds at 1.20). Mazatlán’s offensive potential and Puebla’s defensive struggles support this hypothesis.

Based on recent matches, Puebla often suffers defeats away from home, with high scores. Similarly, Mazatlán frequently scores at home but also tends to concede.

In conclusion, a Mazatlán victory with over 1.5 goals scored during the match seems to be an interesting prediction.

The potential number of goals

Mazatlán has shown an average performance at home, winning 20% of their matches. They have conceded more goals than they have scored, a total of 10 against 6. Against Puebla, they might struggle to defend.

Although Puebla has an equivalent 20% win rate in their last 5 away matches, their defense is not solid. They have conceded 9 goals against 6 scored, increasing the risk of over 1.5 goals in the match which has an 80.61% probability.

Based on offensive statistics, Mazatlán has a better offensive potential of 71% compared to Puebla’s 29%. Defensively, Puebla has a slight advantage with a potential of 57% against Mazatlán’s 29%.

The match could have a high score, as the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match has a 56.63% probability.

Match history indicates that both Mazatlán and Puebla have struggled to prevent their opponents from scoring, giving a strong probability of 66.84% that both teams will score.

In terms of a win, the match seems to slightly favor Mazatlán with a probability of winning at 41.33%. But a draw cannot be ruled out with a probability of 34.69%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analyzed information and recent statistics, the Mazatlán vs. Puebla match appears to favor Mazatlán, both at home and in an offensive sense. A match with over 2.5 goals is likely as both teams have shown an ability to score and concede goals recently. Additionally, both teams to score is also a strong prediction based on their past performances. Finally, the potential for a draw should not be overlooked, despite Mazatlán having a home advantage. Overall, bettors should consider these key factors and associated probabilities to make informed decisions. However, it is essential to remember that, although statistics and predictions can provide insight, the outcome of a football match can be influenced by many unpredictable factors.