Tipps Meizhou Kejia Changchun Yatai Super League 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Changchun Yatai wins the match

1. Changchun Yatai has a higher probability of winning compared to Meizhou Kejia – 42.19% versus 31.25%. This ratio demonstrates that even though they are playing away, Changchun Yatai has a better chance of clinching the victory.
2. Despite not winning their recent away games, Changchun Yatai has managed to consistently score goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Furthermore, Meizhou Kejia has shown defensive weaknesses, conceding an average of 3.4 goals per home match. These statistics suggest that Changchun Yatai has a good chance of scoring against Meizhou Kejia.
3. The odds offered for Changchun Yatai’s victory are 2.45, indicating that bookmakers also see a strong possibility of success for them. This factor, combined with the other mentioned factors, points towards a win for Changchun Yatai.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Meizhou Kejia’s offensive statistics are strong with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match at home in their last 5 matches. Additionally, Changchun Yatai has shown a defensive weakness, conceding an average of 2 goals per match away in their last 5 matches.

2. The recent match history of Meizhou Kejia at home and Changchun Yatai away shows a good number of goals. The majority of these matches have had over 2.5 goals.

3. The probability of 62.5% for the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is quite high. This demonstrates that the probabilities calculated from statistics and past performances are in favor of a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded by each team indicate a back-and-forth trend. Meizhou Kejia has on average scored 2.4 goals and conceded 3.4 goals per match in their last 5 home games, showing that they are both offensively and defensively active. Similarly, Changchun Yatai has scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded an average of 2 goals per away match.

2. The past performances of each team also demonstrate the ability of both teams to score goals. In Meizhou Kejia’s last five home games, they managed to score in three matches. Likewise, Changchun Yatai scored in three out of their last five away matches.

3. The betting odds also indicate a strong possibility of both teams scoring. The “Both Teams to Score” prediction has a success probability of 60.94%, which is higher than the opposite option (Both Teams do not Score) with a probability of 39.06%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Meizhou Kejia 2-2 Changchun Yatai.

1. Performance history: Statistics show that Meizhou Kejia has a strong tendency to draw matches and score goals at home, justifying the predicted score of 2-2. Similarly, Changchun Yatai’s past away performances suggest that they are capable of scoring goals, despite their lack of wins.

2. Offensive and defensive performances of the teams: Both teams have significant attacking potential, averaging more than 1 goal per match, which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Furthermore, their weak defensive performances, demonstrated by a high rate of goals conceded, make a final score of 2-2 plausible.

3. Success probabilities: The choice of predicting a 2-2 score is also supported by the probabilities indicated for different scenarios, particularly those indicating both teams to score (60.94%) and over 2.5 goals in the match (62.5%). These probabilities corroborate the idea that a 2-2 scoreline is a plausible outcome for this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Meizhou Kejia shows strength at home. Despite the same proportion of wins and draws (40%), they have managed to score 6 goals in 5 matches. On the other hand, Changchun Yatai lacks success away from home with 0% wins and a higher average of goals conceded than goals scored.

With an average of 2.4 goals per match, the Meizhou team demonstrates a strong offensive capability at home, while their defense has conceded an average of 3.4 goals per match. In contrast, Changchun Yatai has an offensive capability of 1.4 goals per match away and concedes an average of 2 goals.

Despite the numbers, the probabilities favor Changchun Yatai to win the match with odds of 42.19% (2.45 odds).

However, the probability of a draw or a victory for Meizhou Kejia is high at 57.81% (1.53 odds).

Furthermore, there is a high likelihood (82.81% for odds of 1.18) that the match will have more than 1.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is 60.94% with odds of 1.50.

Taking into account these pieces of information and the teams’ recent performances, the game seems likely to be open with probably several goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Meizhou Kejia, at home, has a solid performance with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored and conceded 6 goals recently, with an average of 2.4 goals per match. Defensive capability needs improvement with 3.4 goals conceded per match.

Changchun Yatai, away, struggles to win with a 0% win rate and only 20% draws. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last matches. With an average of 2 goals conceded per match, their defense is lacking.

In terms of prediction, the probability of victory is higher for Changchun Yatai (42.19% compared to 31.25% for Meizhou Kejia). The option of a draw or Changchun Yatai’s victory seems more likely (68.75%).

In terms of goals, “Over 1.5 goals” seems like a safe bet with a success probability of 82.81%. The probability of “both teams to score” is strong at 60.94%.

Therefore, we will lean towards a high-scoring match without being able to clearly identify a winner.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis and statistical predictions of each team, as well as their recent performances and trends, the match between Meizhou Kejia and Changchun Yatai is likely to be closely contested and high-scoring.
Changchun Yatai appears to have a comparative advantage to win the match with a probability of 42.19% assigned by bookmakers, despite their recent struggles when playing away. However, Meizhou Kejia’s high rate of goals scored at home and their defensive robustness suggest they could give Changchun Yatai a tough time.
The probability of both teams scoring being 60.94% and the “Over 2.5” goals at 62.5% are also promising bets, considering the offensive performances of these two teams.
Among interesting value bets, a bet on “Over 2.5 goals in the match” seems particularly attractive with a probability of 62.5%, in line with the recent statistics of both teams showing a tendency to score a lot in their matches.
Overall, this match could be an exciting encounter with several goals in store. As always, it is important to bet responsibly and bear in mind that football is unpredictable and anything can happen during the match.