Tipps Metz Lorient Ligue 2 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Lorient wins the match.”

1. Lorient has a better defense: When looking at the defensive record of both teams, Lorient has conceded fewer goals than Metz in their last 5 away matches, with only 0.6 goals per match on average, compared to Metz’s 0.8 at home. This demonstrates Lorient’s defensive solidity, which should help them contain Metz’s attacks.

2. Low efficiency of Metz at home: Metz has a low win rate in their home matches. In fact, they have only won 20% of their last 5 home matches. This indicates a struggle for the team to secure victories on their home turf, which could benefit Lorient.

3. The probability: The probability of Lorient winning the match is 36.84%, which is the highest among the three possible outcomes (Metz win, draw, Lorient win). This statistic, based on various data and calculations, gives Lorient an advantage over Metz for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, Metz and Lorient have shown a general trend towards low-scoring games. On average, Metz scores 1.6 goals and concedes 0.8 goals per match, while Lorient scores 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals per match. As a result, the cumulative average of goals scored and conceded does not exceed 2.5 goals per match.

2. Statistics indicate that Metz’s matches tend to be defensive, with a 29% probability of conceding a goal per home match. Lorient, when playing away, also has a defensive tendency with a 21% probability of conceding a goal. These stats suggest that both teams will be involved in a low-scoring game.

3. None of Metz’s last five home matches nor Lorient’s last five away matches have resulted in a game with more than 2.5 goals. This reinforces the idea that the match between Metz and Lorient could also have fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams show a capability to score in their previous matches. More specifically, Metz scored 7 goals in their last 5 home matches and Lorient scored 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. In addition, Metz averages 1.6 goals per home match and Lorient averages 1.2 goals per away match.

2. Despite their mixed performances – with win rates of 20% for both teams – they have shown a tendency to concede goals. Metz conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home matches and Lorient conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests that the defense of each team could be vulnerable in this match.

3. Looking at their recent match history, it is evident that in the majority of their matches, both teams have been able to score. For instance, in the case of Metz, in 2 of their last 5 home matches, both teams scored. For Lorient, in 3 of their last 5 away matches, both teams scored. This indicates a high likelihood of both teams scoring in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Metz 1-1 Lorient

1. Statistics show that Metz and Lorient have a fairly equivalent tendency towards a draw in their last five matches, at 20% and 40% respectively. Furthermore, Lorient has drawn in two of their last five away games, reinforcing the potential for a 1-1 scoreline.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of Metz and Lorient aligns well with a 1-1 scoreline. Metz has averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per home match, while Lorient has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per away match.

3. Both teams have a 60% probability of scoring, suggesting that there are good chances for each team to score at least once, resulting in a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Metz, in 5 home matches, won once and scored an average of 1.6 goals per game. They have an offensive strength of 57% but a weak defense at 29%.

Lorient, in their recent 5 away matches, also won once but had a 40% draw rate. They score an average of 1.2 goals, and their defense is stronger, at 21%.

Probabilities indicate a slight favor for Lorient (36.84%), but a draw is also possible (29.47%).

The odds suggest a match with less than 3.5 goals (77.89%). Both teams have a 60% probability of scoring.

Recent matches show Metz being inconsistent at home (2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win) and Lorient being competitive away (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses).

Considering these data, the forecast could lean towards a draw or a Lorient win, with less than 3.5 total goals.

The potential number of goals

Head to head, Metz versus Lorient. Metz, at home, has a mixed record, with a win and draw rate of 20%. They score an average of 1.6 goals per match, while conceding 0.8 on average. Lorient has a similar ratio, drawing in 40% of their matches and scoring an average of 1.2 goals.

Metz’s attacking potential is at 57%, compared to Lorient’s 43%. Defensively, Metz has a potential of 29%, while Lorient reaches 21%.

Probabilities predict a close match. Metz to win at 33.68%, a draw at 29.47%, and a Lorient win at 36.84%.

The favored outcome seems to be either a draw or a Lorient win, with a probability of 66.32%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a high probability (73.68%) of seeing over 1.5 goals in this match. Less than 3.5 goals have a probability of 77.89%.

It is also highly likely (60%) that both teams will score, with an odds of 1.73.

Analyzing their recent form, Metz’s recent home matches show a tendency towards low scores, similar to Lorient’s away form.

In summary, this match looks poised to be close, with a slight advantage leaning towards Lorient. A match with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring seems probable. Advice: proceed with caution, football often brings surprises.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the precise and detailed analysis of both teams’ performance, it is reasonable to conclude that the match between Metz and Lorient will be tight, with a slight inclination towards Lorient. The defensive performances of Lorient, combined with Metz’s struggles to win at home, suggest that the victory could lean towards Lorient.

However, the overall trend of both teams playing low-scoring matches, and the absence of recent matches with more than 2.5 goals, leads to the prediction of a match with less than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, considering their ability to score in previous matches, it can be expected that both teams will score.

Regarding the value bet, a bet on over 2.5 goals may be of interest due to the relative weakness of both teams’ defenses, despite this trend not being evident in the most recent matches.

Finally, in terms of the exact score, the offensive and defensive potential of both teams seems to suggest a 1-1 draw.

It is important to note, however, that while statistical analysis provides an informed view of past performance, there are no guarantees in sports betting, as team performances can vary from one match to another due to various factors such as injuries, team morale, and other unpredictable factors.

Therefore, it is always recommended to bet with caution and responsibility. Good luck to everyone with their bets on this match!