Tipps Metz Saint Etienne Ligue 1 02/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Saint Etienne wins the match.

1. St. Etienne has performed better away in the last 5 matches compared to Metz at home, winning 40% of the time against Metz’s 20%. Additionally, Metz has drawn in 80% of home matches, showing a lack of effectiveness.

2. St. Etienne’s offensive potential is higher than Metz’s. They score an average of 1.4 goals per away match compared to Metz’s 1 goal per home match, giving St. Etienne a 50% offensive potential against Metz’s 36%. Furthermore, their defensive potential is also higher than Metz’s (36% against 64%).

3. Analyzing Metz’s recent home matches and St. Etienne’s away matches, it can be seen that Metz struggles to win, while St. Etienne has managed to win most of their away matches. Additionally, St. Etienne has been able to keep their opponents’ scores low, indicating a strong defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The analysis of the last 5 matches shows a relatively low goal production trend from both sides. Metz scores an average of 1 goal per match at home while Saint Etienne scores 1.4 goals away. This low goal average per match indicates a possibility of less than 2.5 goals in the match.
2. The defensive potential of Metz at home is significant, with 64%, and Saint Etienne is also not to be neglected with 36% away. High defense percentages indicate that both teams are capable of withstanding opponent attacks and could reduce the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.
3. Past statistics of Metz’s home matches and Saint Etienne’s away matches show a goal average that is generally less than 2.5. For example, the scores of the Metz – Lens and Grenoble Foot 38 – Saint Etienne matches are both below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal scoring and conceding history: Looking at the last 5 matches, Metz has managed to score consistently, with a total of 7 goals, but has conceded a significant number of goals (12). Similarly, Saint Etienne has shown its offensive ability by scoring 7 goals in its last 5 matches, while also conceding 7 goals.

2. Average goals recorded: Metz concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, indicating that their defensive potential could be exploited by Saint Etienne. Furthermore, Saint Etienne in an attacking mode scores an average of 1.4 goals per match away, suggesting that both teams could score during the match.

3. Stable past performances: Based on their past performances, both teams have shown stability in their ability to score goals whether at home or away. Additionally, neither team stands out clearly as being extremely defensive, increasing the likelihood that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Metz 1-2 Saint Etienne

1. In Metz’s last 5 home matches, they have scored a total of 7 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match, supporting the prediction that they will score 1 goal against Saint Etienne.
2. Away from home, Saint Etienne has shown their strong defense by conceding only 1 goal on average per match in their last 5 outings, aligning with the prediction that Metz will only score one goal.
3. Saint Etienne has demonstrated their offensive power in their recent away matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per match, which is consistent with the prediction that they will manage to score twice against Metz.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Metz, at home, has one victory in 5 matches, which is 20%. The Grenats have scored 7 goals but conceded 12. The winning rate is low, but they managed to secure 4 draws.

Saint Etienne, away, shows a more balanced performance. 2 wins in 5 matches, which is 40%. They have scored and conceded 7 goals. A stronger defense compared to Metz.

The average goals scored per match show a difference between the two teams. Metz, 1 goal per match and Saint Etienne, 1.4 goals. This difference could be crucial.

Goals conceded per match are more in favor of Saint Etienne, only conceding 1 goal on average, compared to 1.8 for Metz.

Based on these statistics, a difference in quality is noticeable. Saint Etienne seems to have a slight advantage.

However, note that no success probability is provided to predict the outcome of the match, making the forecast more complex.

Looking at the recent scores of both teams, Metz seems to struggle against top teams. Saint Etienne is picking up points against teams of similar level.

Finally, the probability of both teams not scoring is 100%. This is valuable information to predict a potentially close match. It is also predicted that less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals will be scored with a success probability of 100%.

Prediction: a tight match, with a slight edge to Saint Etienne based on their recent away performances.

The potential number of goals

Metz struggles at home, with only 20% of wins and 7 goals in 5 matches. They concede a lot with 12 goals and a 64% defense.

Saint-Étienne is stronger away from home. They win 40% of the time, score an average of 1.4 goals per match, and have a 36% defensive potential.

Comparing offensive potential, Saint-Étienne is ahead with 50%, compared to only 36% for Metz.

However, both Metz’s home matches and Saint-Étienne’s away matches generally have less than 4.5 goals, with a success rate of 100%.

The two teams do not often score at the same time, the probability of this is 100%.

Saint-Étienne seems to have the advantage here. However, sports are unpredictable. Each match is a new story.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Metz and Saint Etienne could provide several interesting betting opportunities. Based on the analysis, there are good reasons to believe that Saint Etienne will come out victorious in this match, due to their stronger performance in away games and higher offensive potential. However, Metz’s defensive capability could also make it challenging for the visiting team, as indicated by the statistics.

The Over/Under bet seems to suggest a low-scoring match with less than 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown a tendency to play defensively recently, which could lead to such a result. As for the Both Teams To Score bet, statistics suggest that both teams are likely to score in this match.

Regarding a “value bet,” a draw could be a probable outcome due to Metz’s tendency to draw matches and Saint Etienne’s lack of reliability in away games. For the exact score, based on offensive and defensive performances, a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Saint Etienne appears to be the most likely. However, as is always the case in sports, nothing is guaranteed, and anything can happen in the match. Therefore, bettors are encouraged to wager responsibly and analyze all available information before making their decision.