Tipps Mexico Brazil Matchs amicaux 09/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Brazil wins the match.

1. With a success probability of 55.79%, Brazil has a higher chance of winning the match than Mexico.
2. Comparing the performance of both teams in their last 5 games, Brazil has a better defensive potential than Mexico with a lower average of goals conceded per match.
3. In terms of past results, Brazil has a more convincing recent history with wins against teams like England, while Mexico suffered a defeat against the United States and a draw against Germany.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. In their respective last 5 matches, both Mexico and Brazil have shown an average of goals scored lower than 2.5 goals per match (Mexico at 1.6 and Brazil at 1), suggesting that their encounter could also produce less than 2.5 goals.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams are relatively solid, with Mexico averaging 1 goal conceded per home match and Brazil conceding 1.6 goals away from home. A strong defense can often limit the number of goals scored.

3. The results of previous matches between these two teams (Mexico and Brazil) are not mentioned, but based on the last five home matches of Mexico and the last five away matches of Brazil, fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored in the majority of these matches. Therefore, it is more likely that this trend will continue in their encounter.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent performance statistics show that Mexico has a trend of not scoring many goals at home, averaging 1.6 goals per match. This indicates some offensive weakness that could make it difficult for them to break down Brazil’s defense.

2. On the other hand, Brazil is also not particularly efficient at scoring goals away from home. They have an average of one goal per match, suggesting a potential struggle to score against well-organized defenses on the road.

3. The evaluation of probabilities for betting options also indicates that the “both teams to score” option has a higher success probability (53.68%) compared to “both teams do not score” (46.32%). This is another statistical indication that leans towards our prediction that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Mexico 1-2 Brazil

1. The offensive potential of Brazil away from home is higher than that of Mexico at home, indicating a greater likelihood of Brazil scoring more goals.

2. The success probabilities suggest that Brazil has a better chance of winning the match (55.79%) compared to Mexico (24.21%). Additionally, Brazil has more frequently achieved favorable results in its away matches compared to Mexico at home.

3. The recent performances of both teams suggest that a 2-1 scoreline is probable. Mexico tends to score and concede goals at home, while Brazil has shown a similar performance away. This, combined with the higher probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match, supports the predicted score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Mexico has a mixed record at home, with only 40% victory rate and as many draws. Nevertheless, their offensive potential of 57% could be useful.

Brazil has shown similar performances, with 40% victories in away games. However, their defense could be a concern, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

According to the odds, Brazil has a 55.79% chance of winning, while Mexico has only 24.21%. A draw is expected at 20%.

The most likely scenario according to the odds is a match with less than 3.5 goals, with a probability of 79.47%.

In their recent matches, Mexico has defeated Bolivia and Honduras, but lost to the USA and Colombia. Brazil, on the other hand, managed to beat England and Peru, but was defeated by Uruguay and Colombia.

Overall, Brazil appears to be slightly favored, but the match could be close given the recent form of both teams.

The potential number of goals

Mexico, in their last 5 home matches, have had a mixed performance with a 40% win and draw rate. With a total of 7 goals scored against 9 conceded, they average 1.6 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded.

In comparison, Brazil away from home also has a 40% win rate but only 20% draws in their last 5 games. With 6 goals scored and conceded, they have an average of 1 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.

In terms of potential, Mexico appears more offensive with 57% against Brazil’s 36%. However, Brazil shows a stronger defense with 57% compared to Mexico’s 36%.

The prediction places Brazil in a position of strength with a 55.79% probability of winning the match. The chance of a draw is lower at 20%, as is the chance of a Mexican victory at 24.21%.

Regarding goals, the probabilities suggest over 1.5 goals in the match with 70.53% and under 3.5 goals with a high probability of 79.47%.

In conclusion, Brazil is the favorite but there is a significant probability of both teams scoring during the match to enhance the spectacle, at 46.32%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the upcoming match between Mexico and Brazil promises to be a thrilling sports encounter, full of twists and turns, where the fight for victory will be intense. Based on the conducted study, despite a mixed record of victories at home for Mexico and away for Brazil, the latter appears as the potential favorite with a success probability of 55.79%. However, this prediction comes with a cautious suggestion of less than 3.5 goals for the match, implying a tight competition with strong defense from both teams. In this context, the most likely scenario would be that both teams score a goal and Brazil emerges victorious in a match ending with a score of 1-2. Nevertheless, as in any sports bet, uncertainty remains and only the reality of the field will confirm or refute these predictions.