Tipps Mexico New Zealand Matchs amicaux 08/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Mexico wins the match

1. Mexico has a success probability rate of 67.2%, which is significantly higher than that of New Zealand (12.37%). This means that based on statistics, Mexico has a higher probability of winning the match.

2. Mexico’s offensive potential is high at 43%, compared to a low 7% for New Zealand. In addition to being more likely to score goals, Mexico has also conceded fewer goals than New Zealand in their last 5 matches, with a defensive potential of 64% against 43%.

3. Mexico’s past performances are also better. While they suffered defeats against Brazil and Uruguay, they also secured a victory against Bolivia (1-0). In contrast, New Zealand has failed to win any of their last 5 matches, showing a weakness in their away game.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The goal statistics from the last 5 matches for both teams indicate a weak offensive performance. With an average of 1.2 goals per match for Mexico and 0.2 goals per match for New Zealand, there is a high likelihood that the total goals will remain under 2.5.
2. The defensive performances of both teams seem solid on average, with Mexico conceding 1.8 goals per match and New Zealand conceding 1.2 goals per match. Therefore, the probability of a high-scoring game for both teams is low.
3. New Zealand’s recent away matches show that the team struggles to score goals, only exceeding one goal in a single match against Sweden. Additionally, all these matches have produced under 2.5 goals. This further strengthens the argument for a total goals scored under 2.5 in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. New Zealand’s offensive statistics are very weak: on average, they have scored only 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 away games.
2. Mexico’s defensive statistics are moderately solid. They have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This suggests they could potentially keep New Zealand away from their goal.
3. Historical data shows that New Zealand has failed to score in 80% of their away matches, while Mexico has kept a clean sheet in 20% of their home matches. This historical trend supports the idea that both teams may not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Mexico 2-0 New Zealand

1. The Mexico’s home performance statistics and New Zealand’s away performance stats: Mexico has a 20% win record and an 80% draw record at home, with an average of 1.2 goals per match, while New Zealand has a 0% win record and a 20% draw record away, with an average of 0.2 goals per match. These statistics clearly indicate an advantage for Mexico.

2. The betting odds indicate a high probability (67.2%) of Mexico winning the match, and a total of over 1.5 goals is predicted with a success probability of 80.11%.

3. Looking at the recent matches, New Zealand has failed to score more than one goal in their last 5 away matches, while Mexico has managed to score 2 goals in two of their last 5 home matches. This strongly supports the score prediction of 2-0.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Mexico has had mixed results at home, with only 20% of wins but 80% of draws. Their offensive and defensive performances are 43% and 64% respectively, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. The team especially struggles against strong opponents like Brazil or Uruguay.

New Zealand is struggling away from home, with no wins and only 20% draws. Their offensive potential is low at 7% and a 43% defense. They have only scored 2 goals and conceded 6.

The probabilities favor Mexico with a 67.2% chance of winning, compared to only 12.37% for New Zealand. A draw is the least likely outcome according to the odds, but still a possibility at 20.43%.

In terms of the score, the match seems under control with a 56.45% chance of more than 2.5 goals being scored. However, the option of under 3.5 goals is considered more likely at 74.73% by bookmakers.

The unfavorable statistics for New Zealand and the modest performances of Mexico suggest a match with few goals. The match scenario will likely be tight, with a slight inclination towards a Mexico win.

The potential number of goals

The analysis of the match between Mexico and New Zealand shows a clear dominance of Mexico. In their last 5 home matches, Mexico has shown an offensive efficiency of 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, in defense, they concede 1.8 goals per match, indicating a potential risk.

On the other hand, when playing away, New Zealand struggles to find the back of the net, averaging 0.2 goals per match. Their defense is also more porous, conceding 1.2 goals per match.

A look at the chances of winning heavily favors Mexico, with a 67.2% probability of winning, while New Zealand is struggling with only 12.37%.

According to the statistics, it is more likely to see more than 1.5 goals in the match with an 80.11% probability. Furthermore, both teams are not expected to score, with a probability of 52.15%.

In conclusion, the match should end in favor of Mexico with more than 1.5 total goals. The most probable result would therefore be a Mexico win with a scoreline below 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on a thorough analysis of past performances, current statistics, and betting trends, it is reasonable to bet on a victory for Mexico against New Zealand in this friendly match. Mexico’s superior offensive and defensive statistics, along with their head-to-head record, give them a clear advantage.

However, caution is advised. Despite the high likelihood of Mexico winning, friendly matches can often bring surprises. Games are unpredictable, and it’s important to remember that sports betting always carries risk.

In terms of total goals betting, it is recommended to consider an “Under 2.5”, as both teams have shown moderate offensive capabilities in their recent matches. Additionally, the most likely scenario is that both teams will not score, due to New Zealand’s weak offensive performance and Mexico’s solid defense.

Regarding the exact score bet, a prediction of 2-0 in favor of Mexico seems to be the most reasonable bet based on their previous and current performances.

Cross-referencing information, staying updated, and not solely relying on statistics are essential for successful betting. It is recommended to follow team news, the atmosphere within the squad, possible injuries, weather conditions, and other factors that may influence match outcomes.