Tipps Mexico Uruguay Matchs amicaux 06/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Mexico wins the match

1. The Mexico’s home performance is equivalent to Uruguay’s away performance in terms of wins and draws in the last 5 matches. The probability of a win or draw for Mexico is therefore higher (72.25% compared to 56.54% for Uruguay).

2. Even though Mexico’s offensive potential is not significantly higher than Uruguay’s (57% compared to 50%), their defensive potential is much higher at home than Uruguay’s on the road (36% compared to 21%). This may indicate that Mexico can more easily withstand Uruguay’s attack and thus increase the probability of a draw or a Mexico win.

3. The odds for Mexico winning or a draw are more attractive (1.33), indicating that bettors and bookmakers believe that Mexico has a strong chance of not losing this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show a low offensive performance from both teams. Mexico has scored 7 goals in 5 home matches while Uruguay has only scored 6 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Defensively, both teams tend to be solid, with Mexico conceding an average of 1 goal per home match and Uruguay conceding an average of 0.6 goals per away match.

3. The recent matches of these two teams also show a low tendency to score many goals. The last 5 home matches of Mexico have seen a total of 2.8 goals per match on average, while the last 5 away matches of Uruguay have seen a total of 2.2 goals per match on average.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Performance history: Both teams, Mexico and Uruguay, have had a fairly balanced performance history in their last 5 matches. Mexico has managed to score at least one goal in 80% of their last home matches, while Uruguay has also scored in 80% of their recent away matches.

2. Offensive potential: The offensive potential of both teams is quite high, with a rate of 57% for Mexico and 50% for Uruguay. This indicates that both teams have a good chance of scoring during the match.

3. Goal statistics: The statistic showing that “Both teams score” has a success probability of 58.12%, further reinforcing the idea that both teams are likely to score at least one goal in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Uruguay wins the match – 56.54% success rate: 1.72

Bet on the exact result

Mexico 1-1 Uruguay

1. Recent statistics show a trend for Mexico and Uruguay to draw matches, with a draw rate of 40% each in their last 5 games. This trend suggests that it is very likely for the match to end in a 1-1 scoreline.
2. Both teams seem to have a similar defensive performance, conceding an average of around 1 goal per match. This indicates that they are likely to concede a goal during the match.
3. Details from recent matches show that Mexico and Uruguay have a similar offensive capability, scoring an average of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per match respectively. It is therefore probable that each team will score at least one goal during the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Mexico has a mixed record at home with two wins, two draws, and one loss. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches.
Uruguay, on the other hand, struggles away from home. They have one win, two draws, and two losses with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded in their last 5 away matches.
Mexico’s average goals per match is 1.6 while Uruguay is slightly lower at an average of 1.4. Defensively, Mexico concedes an average of 1 goal per match while Uruguay shows a stronger defense by conceding 0.6 goals per match.
In terms of probabilities, Mexico has a 43.46% chance of winning the match, while the probability of Uruguay winning is 27.75%. A draw seems less likely with a 28.8% probability.
There are expected to be few goals, with a probability of 79.06% for under 3.5 goals in the match, and a probability of 95.29% for under 4.5 goals.
Finally, statistics suggest that it’s more likely for both teams to score, with a probability of 58.12%.
Based on these data, a close match with potentially few goals can be expected.

The potential number of goals

Mexico has won 40% of its last 5 home matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. This shows some strength in its attack, with an offensive potential of 57%. However, its defense seems to have problems, conceding 1 goal on average, giving them a defensive potential of only 36%.

Uruguay, playing away, has only won in 20% of cases, with an average number of goals scored lower than Mexico, at 1.4 per game. Their offensive potential is therefore 50%. That being said, their defense appears more solid, conceding only 0.6 goals per game. This gives Uruguay a defensive potential of 21%.

The probability for Mexico to win is 43.46%, while for Uruguay it is 27.75%. The draw offers a lower probability of 28.8%. On the other hand, the probability of the match ending with less than 3.5 goals is quite high, at 79.06%.

The match history shows a variable trend for Mexico, having lost to the USA and Colombia, while winning against Bolivia and Honduras. Uruguay, on the other hand, has had mixed results in its away games, losing to Ivory Coast and Ecuador, but winning against Argentina.

Taking into account this information and trends, one could lean towards a match with less than 3.5 goals, and potentially a victory for Mexico or a draw. However, football is unpredictable, and it is recommended to analyze further factors before placing a bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics and information available, it appears that the most likely bet for the friendly match between Mexico and Uruguay in 2024 would be a draw or a win for Mexico. However, considering the balanced offensive potential between the two teams, the bet “Both teams to score: Yes” seems like a viable option. Also, given the generally low number of goals scored by these two teams, a bet on “Under 2.5 goals in the match” could be interesting. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems like a plausible prediction. However, football being inherently unpredictable, it is advisable to use this information as a starting point and conduct your own analysis before placing a bet.