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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Millonarios Deportes Tolima
Tipps Millonarios Deportes Tolima Primera A 03/08/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Millonarios Bogota wins the match.
1. The latest home performances of Millonarios Bogota show that they have a win or draw rate of 80% in their last 5 matches.
2. Deportes Tolima, when playing away, have a win or draw in only 60% of cases in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than Millonarios Bogota, indicating a defensive weakness.
3. The calculated probability of Millonarios Bogota winning the match or there being a draw is 70.53%, which is higher than the probabilities of other possible outcomes. This indicates that the most likely outcome is for Millonarios to win or for the match to end in a draw.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. Millonarios Bogota has an average of goals scored and conceded at home that is below 2.5. In fact, taking into account their last 5 matches, they score an average of 1 goal per match and concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, resulting in a total average of 2.2 goals per match.
2. Deportes Tolima, in their last 5 away games, has an average of goals scored and conceded below 2.5 goals. They score an average of 1.6 goals and concede 0.8 goals per match, totaling an average of 2.4 goals per match.
3. The success rate of bets on “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is higher than that of bets on “Over 2.5 goals in the match”. The bet “Under 2.5 goals” has a success probability of 1.60 compared to 2.30 for the bet “Over 2.5 goals”. This means that the likelihood of having less than 2.5 goals in this match is higher according to the bookmakers’ odds.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Millonarios Bogota and Deportes Tolima have average goals scored per match of 1 and 1.6 respectively. This indicates a strong tendency to score goals in their matches.
2. In their last 5 matches, Millonarios Bogota scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals, while Deportes Tolima scored 6 goals and conceded 9 goals. This shows that both teams have a tendency to both score and concede goals, increasing the chances for both teams to score.
3. By examining their recent matches, it can be seen that Millonarios Bogota and Deportes Tolima have often managed to score at least one goal per match. Based on these past performances, it is plausible to think that both are capable of scoring in their upcoming encounter.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw.
1. Recent statistics from Millonarios Bogota and Deportes Tolima show a strong draw trend, with Millonarios Bogota having 40% of their last home matches ending in a draw, and Deportes Tolima having 20% of their recent away matches also resulting in a draw.
2. Both teams have a balance in terms of offensive and defensive potential. Millonarios Bogota has an average of 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per home match, while Deportes Tolima scores an average of 1.6 goals per away match and concedes 0.8 goals. These goal statistics suggest a close score, increasing the likelihood of a draw.
3. The odds for a draw (3.20) are relatively high, indicating that bookmakers consider this a less likely outcome. However, given the statistics and recent form of both teams, there is a good chance the match will end in a draw, thus offering a ‘value bet’.
Bet on the exact result
Millonarios Bogota 1-1 Deportes Tolima
1. The performance of both teams in their recent matches is quite balanced, with an average of around 1 goal scored per match each time. Taking into account that Deportes Tolima scores fewer goals on average away from home and that Millonarios Bogota concedes an average of 1 goal at home, the probability of a 1-1 scoreline is realistic.
2. According to probability statistics, a draw is the second most likely outcome, with a probability of 33.68%. Furthermore, in a significant proportion of recent home matches of Millonarios Bogota (40%) and away matches of Deportes Tolima (20%), draws have been observed.
3. The probabilities of “under 1.5 goals in the match” and “over 1.5 goals in the match” are 2.80 and 1.42, respectively. Combined with the teams’ previous performances and their average goals per match, these probabilities support the hypothesis of a 1-1 scoreline.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
The Millonarios Bogota team, playing at home, has shown mixed performances; they have managed to win in 40% of their matches but have also conceded more goals than they have scored (6 against 5). On the other hand, Deportes Tolima has displayed a similar efficiency by winning 40% of their away matches, with 6 goals scored and 9 goals conceded.
In detail, Millonarios Bogota appears to be a rather defensive team with an average of 1 goal scored per home match and an average of 1.2 goals conceded, while Deportes Tolima seems to have a more aggressive approach to their away matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding fewer, with an average of 0.8 goals.
According to the statistics, the probability of Millonarios Bogota winning this match is 36.84%, with odds of 2.35. A draw is also a strong possibility with a probability of 33.68% and odds of 3.20. As for Deportes Tolima, they have a slightly lower probability of winning at 29.47%, with odds of 3.10.
If you bet on a low total score for this match, the “under 1.5 goals in the match” bet offers an interesting reward of 2.80, even though the probability is against this scenario at 65.79%.
Finally, considering the performance of both teams in their recent matches, the “both teams to score” option seems fairly balanced with a probability of 49.47%, offering an attractive odd of 1.95.
The potential number of goals
Millonarios Bogota has a solid home performance, with 40% wins and 40% draws. They have an offensive potential of 36% with an average of 1 goal per match, but they have conceded more goals with an average of 1.2 goals per match.
Deportes Tolima is not far behind away from home, with 40% wins and 20% draws. They are more offensive with an average of 1.6 goals per match and an offensive potential of 57%. However, their defense is strong, conceding only 0.8 goals per match.
According to the probabilities, Millonarios Bogota has a 36.84% chance of winning the match, while Deportes Tolima has 29.47%. The draw has a probability of 33.68%. If you bet on a draw or a Millonarios Bogota win, the chances of success are 70.53%.
The probabilities suggest a low-scoring match with an 86.32% chance of getting less than 3.5 goals. There is a 49.47% chance that both teams score.
Based on all this information, a tight match with few goals seems to be the most likely prediction.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the match between Millonarios Bogota and Deportes Tolima promises to be competitive, however, Millonarios seems to have the advantage due to their home performance. Despite having a weaker defense than the opposing attack, the likelihood of a win or draw in their favor stands at 70.53%. Additionally, both teams have goal averages that suggest a total goals under 2.5 during the match. As for the BTTS bet, the chances of both teams scoring are significant. In terms of value betting, a bet on a draw seems promising given the recent results of both teams. Finally, the most probable exact score would be 1-1 considering their respective performances. However, bets should be placed cautiously, as football remains unpredictable and each match is influenced by many changing factors.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Millonarios against Deportes Tolima on 03/08/2024
1. The latest home performances of Millonarios Bogota show that they have a win or draw rate of 80% in their last 5 matches.
2. Deportes Tolima, when playing away, have a win or draw in only 60% of cases in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than Millonarios Bogota, indicating a defensive weakness.
3. The calculated probability of Millonarios Bogota winning the match or there being a draw is 70.53%, which is higher than the probabilities of other possible outcomes. This indicates that the most likely outcome is for Millonarios to win or for the match to end in a draw.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima match!
To not miss anything from the Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 03/08/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima
Lineups Millonarios
Lineups Deportes Tolima
Match Highlights Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima on 03/08/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima match on 03/08/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Millonarios and Deportes Tolima
All statistics for the match between Millonarios and Deportes Tolima will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Millonarios against Deportes Tolima!
Form state of Millonarios in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Millonarios has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Millonarios has a form rating of %.
Form state of Deportes Tolima in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Deportes Tolima has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Deportes Tolima has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Millonarios against Deportes Tolima!
Average goals scored by Millonarios in the current season.
Goals scored by Millonarios in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Millonarios
Millonarios has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Millonarios in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Millonarios
Millonarios has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the current season
Goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Millonarios and Deportes Tolima, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Millonarios Bogota has an average of goals scored and conceded at home that is below 2.5. In fact, taking into account their last 5 matches, they score an average of 1 goal per match and concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, resulting in a total average of 2.2 goals per match.
2. Deportes Tolima, in their last 5 away games, has an average of goals scored and conceded below 2.5 goals. They score an average of 1.6 goals and concede 0.8 goals per match, totaling an average of 2.4 goals per match.
3. The success rate of bets on “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is higher than that of bets on “Over 2.5 goals in the match”. The bet “Under 2.5 goals” has a success probability of 1.60 compared to 2.30 for the bet “Over 2.5 goals”. This means that the likelihood of having less than 2.5 goals in this match is higher according to the bookmakers’ odds.
Forecast results from winflix for Millonarios and Deportes Tolima!
The last 5 winning predictions für Millonarios
The last 5 winning predictions für Deportes Tolima
How do I find the best forecast for Millonarios Deportes Tolima?
Finding a forecast for the Millonarios Deportes Tolima match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Millonarios Deportes Tolima on 03/08/2024 in Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Millonarios at home and Deportes Tolima away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 03/08/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Millonarios and Deportes Tolima on 03/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Millonarios could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Millonarios and Deportes Tolima, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Millonarios and the away win rate of Deportes Tolima, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 03/08/2024!
The individual performances of players from Millonarios and Deportes Tolima can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 03/08/2024 at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Millonarios and Deportes Tolima, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Millonarios or Deportes Tolima on 03/08/2024.
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