Tipps Millonarios Envigado Primera A 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Millonarios Bogota wins the match

1. Millonarios Bogota’s home performances in their last 5 matches are significantly better than Envigado FC’s away performances. Millonarios Bogota wins 80% of their home matches while Envigado FC has not had a win away.

2. Millonarios Bogota has a better offensive and defensive potential compared to Envigado FC in their last 5 matches. Millonarios Bogota has an offensive potential of 64% while Envigado FC has an offensive potential of only 14%. And defensively, Millonarios Bogota has a rate of 29% while Envigado FC is at 50%.

3. The success probabilities heavily favor Millonarios Bogota for this match. The probability of Millonarios Bogota winning the match is 78.49%, compared to only 5.81% for Envigado FC.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The performance of Millonarios Bogota at home and Envigado FC away points towards a trend of low-scoring matches. Millonarios Bogota has scored a total of 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game. On the other hand, Envigado FC has only scored 3 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game.

2. Envigado FC’s offensive potential is particularly weak when they play away, with only a 14% scoring rate. This means they struggle to score when playing away, increasing the likelihood of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

3. The goal data from previous matches involving these two teams suggests a trend towards low-scoring matches. None of Millonarios Bogota’s last 5 home matches have seen more than 3 goals scored. Similarly, all of Envigado FC’s last 5 away matches have seen fewer than 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Envigado FC has a particularly low offensive potential away from home (14%), having scored only 3 goals in their last 5 away matches. This indicates that it is unlikely for them to score in this match.

2. Millonarios Bogota boasts a strong defense at home, with a defensive potential of 29% and conceding only 8 goals in their last 5 home matches. This shows their ability to prevent the opposing team from scoring.

3. The probability of both teams not scoring is 63.37%, much higher than the probability of both teams scoring (36.63%). This suggests a stronger trend towards one of the teams failing to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Envigado FC wins the match

Bet on the exact result

“Millonarios Bogota 2-0 Envigado FC” would be translated to “Millonarios Bogota 2-0 Envigado FC” in English.

1. Home Performance: Millonarios Bogota has an excellent home performance with a win rate of 80% in their matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game and conceding only 0.8 goals per game. Additionally, in their last 5 home matches, they won 4 times and kept a clean sheet 3 times.

2. Away Performance: Envigado FC has a poor away performance, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have scored an average of only 0.4 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game. Moreover, in their last 5 away matches, they lost 3 times and managed to score only 3 goals.

3. Probabilities: The presented statistics also give a high probability of victory for Millonarios Bogota at 78.49% compared to a very low probability for Envigado FC at only 5.81%. Furthermore, there is a strong likelihood that both teams won’t score with 63.37%, favoring a final score of 2-0 in favor of Millonarios Bogota.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Millonarios Bogota appears to be a formidable opponent at home. Their last 5 matches have been won in 80% of cases. They have scored 8 goals and conceded the same amount. Their offensive potential is at 64% with an average of 1.8 goals per match. They are also strong defensively, conceding only 0.8 goals per match, giving them a defensive potential of 29%.

On the other hand, Envigado FC struggles away from home. In their last 5 matches, they have not won any and have drawn 40% of the time. They have scored only 3 goals and conceded 4. Their offensive potential is low, at 14% with an average of 0.4 goals per match. With 1.4 goals conceded per match, their defensive potential is higher, at 50%.

The probability of Millonarios Bogota winning this match is 78.49%. For a draw, the probability drops to 15.7%. Envigado FC has a low chance, with a probability of 5.81%. The probabilities are even more in favor of Millonarios or a draw, reaching 94.19%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 66.86% probability that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, while going over 2.5 goals drops to 44.19%. It is unlikely that the match will have more than 3.5 goals, with a probability of 90.12%. The probability of both teams scoring is low, at only 36.63%.

Looking at the recent past, Millonarios Bogota is on a roll, while Envigado FC struggles away from home. Betting on Millonarios Bogota or a draw seems to be a solid option. However, be mindful of the volatility of sports. Good luck to everyone in your bets!

The potential number of goals

Millonarios Bogota has the upper hand at home. They win 80% of the time. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 8. Their home offensive strength is at 64%. The defensive potential is at 29%.

On the other hand, Envigado FC does not shine away from home. They have not won any of their last 5 matches. With only 3 goals scored and 4 conceded, their statistics are not good. Their offensive score is at 14% and their defense at 50%.

The statistics show a probable victory for Millonarios Bogota, with a success probability of 78.49%. The draw is less likely at 15.7%.

There is a 66.86% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match. The probability of having less than 3.5 goals is very high at 90.12%.

Millonarios Bogota’s previous home results show a certain dominance with mostly victories. Envigado FC struggles away from home, with several losses recorded.

In conclusion, Millonarios Bogota has a strong chance of winning this match. It is likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the analysis provided demonstrates that Millonarios Bogota is heavily favored to win the match against Envigado FC, with a probability of 78.49%, due to their impressive home performances. Envigado FC’s poor performance in away matches strongly influences these predictions.

In terms of goals, the Over/Under 2.5 indicator suggests a higher probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match. Both teams tend to be involved in low-scoring matches, as evidenced by their recent history. The “Both teams to score” bet also seems to be one to avoid, given Envigado FC’s limited offensive potential away from home and Millonarios Bogota’s strong defensive capabilities at home.

However, it is important to note that the “value bet” indicates that a bet on an Envigado FC victory could be an interesting option from a risk-reward perspective, given the high odds of 9.00.

Finally, the most probable exact score appears to be a 2-0 win in favor of Millonarios Bogota, due to their strong home performances and Envigado FC’s low success rate when playing away from home.

In summary, bettors should take into account the recent history of these teams as well as their home and away performances before placing their bets, while keeping in mind that football is often unpredictable and the unlikely can sometimes occur.