Tipps Millonarios Fortaleza FC Primera A 17/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Millonarios Bogota wins the match.

1. Millonarios Bogota’s home performance history indicates that they win the match 60% of the time, while Fortaleza FC away have a win rate of 0%.
2. The probability of success for Millonarios Bogota to win the match is higher at 57.3% compared to Fortaleza FC’s 15.14%.
3. Millonarios Bogota has shown better defensive performance at home by conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match compared to Fortaleza FC, who concede an average of 1.6 goals per match away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics indicate that Millonarios Bogota, at home, has a relatively low average goal rate (1.2 goals per match), suggesting their ability to score more than 2.5 goals is limited.
2. Fortaleza FC’s offensive potential away from home is also modest, with only 1.6 goals scored on average per match, which decreases the chances of a total number of goals exceeding 2.5 for the game.
3. Recent matches between these two teams show a tendency towards a low number of goals, with a majority of matches ending with less than 2.5 goals, reflecting the moderate offensive performances of both clubs.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Millonarios Bogota and Fortaleza FC have both shown they are capable of scoring goals in their previous matches, each netting a total of 7 goals in their last 5 games.

2. Fortaleza FC’s away statistics also reveal they have conceded a total of 9 goals, indicating a potentially vulnerable defense that Millonarios Bogota could exploit, especially on their home turf.

3. Fortaleza FC’s offensive potential on the road stands at 57%, with a corresponding defensive potential of 57%, suggesting they are as likely to score as they are to concede. At the same time, Millonarios Bogota has an average of 1.2 goals per home game, further supporting the argument that both teams are likely to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Millionaires Bogota 2-1 Fortaleza FC

1. The offensive potential of Millonarios Bogota is higher than their defensive potential when they play at home. This, combined with the fact that Fortaleza FC has a weak defense when playing away (averaging 1.6 goals conceded per match), suggests that Millonarios Bogota could score two goals.

2. Fortaleza FC tends to score when playing away, with an average of 1.6 goals per match, indicating they could score a goal against Millonarios Bogota, considering their recent match history.

3. The odds strongly suggest that fewer than 4.5 goals will be scored in the match (96.76% success probability), consistent with a 2-1 scoreline. Additionally, both teams have a fairly balanced probability of scoring (51.35%), further supporting the prediction of a 2-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Millonarios Bogota has shown a solid performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They have scored and conceded 7 goals each in this context.

On the other hand, Fortaleza FC has struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches; however, they have managed to secure draws in 60% of those cases. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9.

The offensive analysis gives Fortaleza FC an advantage with an offensive potential of 57% compared to 43% for Millonarios Bogota. Nevertheless, Millonarios Bogota has a better defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match on average, compared to 1.6 for Fortaleza FC.

The probabilities favor Millonarios Bogota, with a 57.3% chance of winning, compared to 15.14% for Fortaleza FC. The draw has a probability of 27.57%.

There could be goals in this match, with a 71.89% probability for over 1.5 goals in the match. However, it is unlikely that there will be more than 4.5 goals, with a success probability of only 1.45%.

Both teams to score has a probability of 51.35%. On the other hand, both teams not to score has a slightly lower probability of 48.65%.

Based on these statistics, one could conclude that Millonarios Bogota is the favorite to win this match, although Fortaleza FC should not be completely ruled out. However, the chances of a high-scoring match are low.

The potential number of goals

Millonarios Bogota has a good home form with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 21%. Fortaleza FC has not won any of their last 5 away matches, but has managed to draw in 60% of those games. The team has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 57%.

There is a high likelihood of Millonarios Bogota winning the match with a success rate of 57.3% (odds: 1.72), or drawing with an 84.86% chance (odds: 1.16). Fortaleza FC only has a 15.14% probability of winning the match (odds: 5.00).

Regarding the number of goals, the highest probability is for under 3.5 goals in the match with a success rate of 85.95% (odds: 1.20). Additionally, there is a 51.35% chance for both teams to score (odds: 2.20).

Taking into account the provided statistics, a viable prediction would be a win for Millonarios Bogota or a draw, with under 3.5 goals scored in total during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on past statistics and recent performances of both teams, Millonarios Bogota appears to be the favorite to win the match against Fortaleza FC. Fortaleza FC’s low away win rate and Millonarios Bogota’s strong home record are key indicators in this prediction. However, expecting a high-scoring game seems less likely, given the general trend of total goals being under 2.5 when these two teams meet, as well as their relatively solid defenses. Nevertheless, both teams have shown they can score, creating interesting betting possibilities. Overall, it is advised for bettors to consider a victory for Millonarios Bogota or a draw, with less than 3.5 total goals scored during the match.