Tipps Millonarios Jaguares Primera A 26/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Millonarios Bogota wins the match

1. Millonarios Bogota has a much better performance at home compared to Jaguares de Cordoba away. Millonarios Bogota has won 80% of their recent home matches, while Jaguares de Cordoba has not won any of their recent away matches.

2. Millonarios Bogota has higher offensive and defensive potential. They score an average of 1.8 goals per home match and concede 0.8 goals, compared to Jaguares de Cordoba’s 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded away.

3. The probability of Millonarios Bogota winning the match is 77.96%, significantly higher than the 4.84% probability of Jaguares de Cordoba winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Jaguares de Cordoba has shown a very low offensive potential in their last 5 away matches (scoring an average of only 0.4 goals per game), which reduces the likelihood of a high number of goals in the match.
2. In Millonarios Bogota’s last five home matches, the total number of goals has never exceeded 3, suggesting a trend towards lower-scoring games.
3. The provided success probabilities indicate that the “Under 2.5 goals in the match” prediction has a higher success probability than the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” prediction (success probability not provided but the associated payout is higher, generally indicating a lower probability of occurrence).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Jaguares de Cordoba is very low at only 14%, they have not scored any goals in their last 5 away matches. Therefore, it is unlikely that they will manage to score against Millonarios Bogota.
2. Millonarios Bogota has a defensive potential of 29% at home, which is comparatively low. However, given the weakness of Jaguares de Cordoba’s offense, it is quite plausible that Millonarios Bogota will not concede any goals.
3. Statistical data shows that both teams do not score in 58.06% of cases with a betting odds of 1.45. This indicates a higher probability that both teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Millonarios Bogota 2-0 Jaguares de Cordoba.

1. Millonarios Bogota has a strong home form, winning 80% of their recent matches, highlighting their strong advantage at home.
2. On the contrary, Jaguares de Cordoba has struggled away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches and failing to score any goals during this period.
3. The average goals per match for Millonarios Bogota at home (1.8 goals) and for Jaguares de Cordoba away from home (0.4 goals) further supports the idea that Millonarios would score multiple goals while Jaguares de Cordoba would score very few or no goals at all.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Millonarios Bogota are in good form at home with an 80% win rate and an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. They have a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals on average. Their offensive potential is at 64% and defensive potential at 29%.

The Jaguares de Cordoba struggle to score away from home, failing to score in 5 matches. Their defense suffers, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Their offensive potential is at 14% and defensive potential at 57%.

The probabilities strongly favor a victory for Millonarios Bogota at 77.96%. A draw or a win for Millonarios Bogota has a 95.16% chance of happening.

The total goals are likely to exceed 1.5 with a probability of 74.19%, while under 3.5 goals is very probable at 78.49%. There is a 51.08% chance of more than 2.5 goals.

The probability of both teams scoring is 41.94%, while the probability of only one team scoring is 58.06%.

The recent home performance of Millonarios Bogota is strong, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. The Jaguares de Cordoba have lost all their last 5 away matches.

Based on these data, the prediction would suggest a victory for Millonarios Bogota with less than 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Millonarios Bogota has a strong likelihood of winning at home with a success rate of 77.96%. Their offensive performance in recent matches is good, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Defensively, they remain solid, conceding 0.8 goals per match.

This contrasts with Jaguares de Cordoba, who seem weak away from home. They have not won and scored only one goal in their last 5 matches. Their average goals scored is only 0.4, while they concede an average of 1.6 goals per match.

There is a 74.19% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, but only a 51.08% chance for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 41.94% chance of scoring in the same match.

Recent results of Millonarios Bogota show comfortable victories, while matches involving Jaguares de Cordoba often end in defeat without scoring.

In conclusion, Millonarios Bogota appears to be the favorite to win this match with high chances of scoring more than one goal. But the possibility of Jaguares de Cordoba scoring is unlikely. This suggests a more defensive game from their side.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, considering the statistics and recent performances of both teams, Millonarios Bogota appear to be clear favorites for this match against Jaguares de Cordoba. With a strong home performance and superior offensive and defensive potential away from home compared to Jaguares de Cordoba, everything indicates that Millonarios Bogota should win this match.

Goal analysis also suggests a match with a moderate score. Despite Millonarios Bogota’s strong offensive potential at home, Jaguares de Cordoba’s weak offensive potential away and their significant defense suggest that it is likely that less than 2.5 goals will be scored.

In conclusion, bettors should take into account Millonarios Bogota’s home advantage and Jaguares de Cordoba’s weakness away from home when placing their bets. Indicators suggest a victory for Millonarios Bogota, with less than 2.5 goals in the match, offering a safer betting value.