Tipps Millonarios Patriotas Primera A 02/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Millonarios Bogota wins the match.

1. Millonarios Bogota’s home performance is better than Patriotas Boyaca’s away performance. Millonarios Bogota has won 60% of their last 5 home matches, whereas Patriotas Boyaca has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.

2. Looking at the probabilities, there is a high likelihood of Millonarios Bogota winning the match with a success rate of 54.35%, significantly higher than Patriotas Boyaca’s 13.04%.

3. Analyzing defensive performances, Millonarios Bogota has a defensive potential that is 50% superior to Patriotas Boyaca’s 57% defensive potential. This suggests that Millonarios Bogota is likely to concede fewer goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Millonarios Bogota’s home performances: Millonarios Bogota has a weak offensive potential at home, averaging 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 games. Additionally, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, indicating a low tendency for high-scoring games.

2. Patriotas Boyaca’s away performances: Patriotas Boyaca struggles on the road, only winning 20% of their matches and scoring just 6 goals in 5 games. This, combined with Millonarios Bogota’s solid defense, could limit the total number of goals in the match.

3. Previous matches between these two teams: Looking at Millonarios Bogota’s recent home games and Patriotas Boyaca’s away games, most matches have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a high likelihood that the match between these two teams will follow this trend.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Millonarios Bogota at home is relatively low, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 home games. This suggests that it is unlikely for them to score against Patriotas Boyaca.

2. Although Patriotas Boyaca has a higher offensive potential away from home, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, they have only won 20% of their last 5 away games, suggesting they may also struggle to score in this match.

3. Statistically speaking, the “Both Teams to Score – No” prediction has a success probability of 54.89%, which is higher than the probability of “Both Teams to Score”, the latter having a success probability of only 45.11%. Based on these probabilities, it is more likely that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Patriotas Boyaca wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Millonarios Bogota 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca.

1. The home match statistics for Millonarios Bogota indicate that they score an average of 0.8 goals per game, while Patriotas Boyaca scores an average of 1.4 goals in away matches. These numbers support the predicted score of 1-1.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is relatively balanced for this match, with 29% and 50% for Millonarios Bogota and 50% and 57% for Patriotas Boyaca respectively. This supports the likelihood of a draw.

3. Taking into account the probabilities from previous results, a draw has a success probability of 32.61%. Combined with the defensive and offensive statistics of both teams, this further substantiates the prediction of a draw with the exact score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Millonarios Bogota, at home, shows decent form with a 60% win rate. They have scored 5 goals but also conceded 5. Their offensive performances are moderate at 0.8 goals per match.

Patriotas Boyaca, on the other hand, struggle away from home: only a 20% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored more goals (6) but have conceded 7. Their offensive potential is higher, at 1.4 goals per match.

The match seems favorable for Millonarios Bogota with a 54.35% chance of victory.

The draw or a Millonarios win has a high probability at 86.96%.

It appears, at 74.46%, that the match will have over 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals are still possible, at 44.02%.

The probability of both teams scoring seems relatively even, slightly in favor of “no” at 54.89%.

In summary, a slight advantage for Millonarios Bogota, likely a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, and a moderate chance of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

In the last 5 home matches, Millonarios Bogota has won 60% of the time, with an average defense and a weak attack. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5, making an average of 1 goal per match.

Patriotas Boyaca, playing away, has only won 20% of their matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7, showing a slightly more spectacular attack than Millonarios, but a weaker defense.

The probabilities favor Millonarios Bogota, with a 54.35% chance of winning. A draw is less likely, with a 32.61% chance. Patriotas Boyaca, with only 13.04% chances, is the underdog.

It is worth noting that the match has a 74.46% chance of ending with more than 1.5 goals. However, it is more likely to see a match with less than 3.5 goals (84.24% chance). There is a 45.11% probability that both teams will score.

Recent home matches of Millonarios Bogota show an ability to keep a clean sheet. On the other hand, Patriotas Boyaca struggles to avoid conceding goals away.

Prediction: considering these factors, a home win by Millonarios Bogota with less than 2.5 goals seems like a realistic prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into consideration all the analysis and statistics, several obvious conclusions arise. Firstly, Millonarios Bogota appears as the favorite in this match due to better home performances compared to Patriotas Boyaca’s away performances. Secondly, with both sides showing solid defensive potential, a low-scoring game is highly likely. The probabilities are also relatively high for both teams not scoring during the match. However, a Value Bet type of wager could be to bet in favor of a draw or a victory for Patriotas Boyaca due to the high odds, offering an interesting potential return. Lastly, the most probable exact score, supported by multiple indicators, would be a 1-1 draw. Nevertheless, it is important to remember that predictions are never exact science and each bet should be made responsibly.