Tipps Millwall Cardiff Championship 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the data provided, my prediction is that Millwall will win the match.

1. Home Performance vs Away Performance: Millwall has a stronger home performance with a win rate of 60% and draw rate of 20% compared to Cardiff City’s 40% away win rate and no draws.

2. Defensive Potential: Millwall has a higher defensive potential at home (43%) compared to Cardiff City’s away record (64%), potentially indicating greater defensive stability for Millwall at home.

3. Head-to-Head Record: Millwall’s recent home games show a winning trend with 3 wins out of 5. In contrast, Cardiff City’s away performances have been inconsistent with 2 wins and 3 losses.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The offensive potential of Millwall and Cardiff City is relatively low, at 21% and 36% respectively. This suggests that the total number of goals scored could be less than 2.5.
2. The defensive statistics of both teams are relatively high, with Millwall having a defensive potential of 43% and Cardiff City of 64%. This means that both teams are more inclined to defend than to score goals, further supporting the assumption of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.
3. By observing the last five home matches of Millwall and away matches of Cardiff City, it is evident that there are usually few goals scored. Once again, this indicates a trend towards a match with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Millwall at home and Cardiff away is quite low, at 21% and 36% respectively. This indicates that these teams score fewer goals compared to other teams, increasing the likelihood that one or both teams may not score during the match.

2. In their last 5 away matches, Cardiff City has failed to score in 40% of them. At the same time, Millwall has won 60% of their recent home matches, often with a low score, suggesting a strong defense.

3. Past statistics show a high probability of under 3.5 goals in the match (100% success rate), indicating a low goal rate in these matches. This increases the likelihood of both teams not scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that Millwall does not have a strong offensive power at home with an average of 0.6 goals per game, while Cardiff City scores an average of 1 goal per game away. Therefore, a 1-1 score seems like a plausible prediction.

2. Both teams have relatively weak defenses. Millwall concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game at home, and Cardiff City concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game away. Thus, it is highly likely that both teams will score at least one goal in this match.

3. The recent performances of both teams indicate that Millwall has often scored a goal at home in their last matches (1-0, 1-1, 1-0, 1-0). Similarly, Cardiff City has either scored a goal or not scored in their recent away matches (1-2, 2-0, 0-1, 4-1, 2-0). This further supports a potential final score prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Millwall, at home, has recently shown solid form. In their last 5 home matches, Millwall won three, which gives them a success rate of 60%, with one draw. They scored 4 goals and conceded 6.

On the other hand, Cardiff City has only won two of their last five away matches, resulting in a 40% success rate. They also scored 4 goals and conceded 6.

Millwall displays a lack of offensive strength by averaging only 0.6 goals per home match, while Cardiff averages 1 goal per away match.

Defensively, Millwall is stable, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per home match. Cardiff, on the other hand, concedes almost twice as many goals, with 1.8 goals per away match.

The absence of indicated probabilities for each betting scenario complicates prediction. However, based on the statistics available, both teams have a high chance of scoring.

A key point to note is that 100% of the matches had fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals, suggesting that a cautious bet could be on a total of goals under 3.5.

Let’s pay attention to previous matches. Millwall managed to win three of their last home matches, while Cardiff City struggled in their away games, losing three out of their last five matches.

Given these factors, Millwall seems slightly favored. However, a football match is never guaranteed. Good luck with your bet!

The potential number of goals

Millwall appears to be stronger at home with a 60% win rate. However, their offensive potential remains low with an average of 0.6 goals per match. The conflict could be decided on defense, as Millwall seems to struggle, conceding on average 1.2 goals per match.

Cardiff City, although weaker away from home with a 40% win rate, has a higher average of goals scored per match, reaching 1. However, they also concede more goals with an average of 1.8.

The match seems to be a showdown between two teams with weak defenses. As indicated, there is a 100% chance of under 3.5 goals in the match and also a 100% chance of only one team scoring.

Given the past statistics, the match seems to be leaning towards a win for Millwall or a draw, with few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistics and past performances, Millwall appears slightly favored to win this match against Cardiff City. However, it is important to note that football matches are unpredictable by nature and anything can happen on match day. Generally speaking, this match seems to be heading towards a low number of goals, probably below 2.5. The bet suggesting that both teams will not score also seems to be a safe bet. A likely exact score could be a 1-1 draw.

Please remember that these predictions are based on team statistics and past performances and they never provide a 100% certainty of the match outcome. It is always recommended to do further research before placing a bet. Good luck!