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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Millwall Luton
Tipps Millwall Luton Championship 14/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Millwall wins the match
1. Millwall has a strong home performance, winning in 20% of cases and drawing in 80% of cases. In contrast, Luton Town struggles away from home with 0% victory and 60% draws, giving Millwall an advantage.
2. Analysis of their goal averages shows better performance from Millwall both in attack and defense. Millwall scores an average of 1.4 goals per match while Luton Town only scores 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, Millwall concedes only 1 goal on average per match, compared to 1.6 for Luton Town.
3. The calculated probabilities favor a draw or a win for Millwall, with a probability of 65.79%, compared to a victory probability for Luton Town of only 34.21%. This reinforces the idea that a draw or a win for Millwall is more likely.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. Recent statistics show that both teams struggle to score goals. On average, Millwall scores 1.4 goals per home match while Luton Town only scores 0.6 goals per away match.
2. In their respective last 5 matches, Millwall and Luton Town have not exceeded a total of 3 goals in a single match, indicating a trend towards low-scoring games.
3. The odds offered (1.78 for under 2.5 goals) as well as the associated probabilities (74.21% for under 1.5 goals) confirm the scenario of a low-scoring match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. The statistics show that both teams have a record of scoring in most of their recent matches. Millwall has scored 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Luton Town has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. The offensive potential of Millwall at home (50%) and Luton Town away (21%), as well as their respective defensive potential (36% for Millwall and 57% for Luton Town), indicates a possibility of scoring at least one goal.
3. Based on the odds, the bet “both teams to score” has a success probability of 58.42%, which is higher than the average of the bet “both teams not to score” (41.58%). This indicates that the mentioned bet has a higher probability.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw.
1. The statistics from Millwall’s recent home matches show a high draw rate of 80%. This gives a strong signal that their next match could end in a draw.
2. Luton Town’s away performances are weak, reinforced by the fact that they have NOT won any of their last 5 matches, with a draw rate of 60%. It is therefore quite likely that they will struggle to win against Millwall.
3. The offensive potential of both teams is low, 50% for Millwall and 21% for Luton Town, indicating a low number of goals scored, a factor often associated with a draw. Additionally, the goal conceded rates for both teams are relatively close (Millwall at 36% and Luton Town at 57%), increasing the likelihood of a balanced scoreline.
Bet on the exact result
Millwall 1-1 Luton Town
1. The draw rate: Millwall has recorded draws in 80% of their last 5 home matches, while Luton Town has had draws in 60% of their last 5 away matches. This indicates a high likelihood for the match to end in a draw.
2. Defensive performances: Millwall has on average conceded 1 goal per match at home, while Luton Town has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match away in their last 5 matches. Both teams have shown some defensive resilience, which could explain a low-scoring game.
3. Number of goals: Statistics suggest that the match will likely have less than 2.5, possibly even less than 1.5 goals, as both teams are defensively solid. Based on the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, a 1-1 scoreline appears to be a possible outcome.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Millwall, at home, has a poor winning rate of only 20% but a high draw rate of 80%. With 5 goals scored and 6 conceded, their defense is more solid than their attack.
On the other hand, Luton Town, away from home, has not won any matches. Their 60% draw rate and 5 goals scored against 8 conceded highlight the fragility of their gameplay.
On average, Millwall scores 1.4 goals per game at home and concedes 1. They have a 50% offensive potential and a 36% defensive potential.
In contrast, Luton Town only scores 0.6 goals away from home and concedes 1.6 goals on average per game. Their offensive and defensive potential are 21% and 57% respectively.
The probability of Millwall winning the match is 36.32% compared to 34.21% for Luton Town. The draw is likely at 29.47%.
The predictor suggests a tight match with a 65.79% probability for a “draw or Millwall win” outcome and a 63.68% probability for a “draw or Luton Town win” outcome.
The probability of there being more than 1.5 goals is 74.21%, while the probability of there being fewer than 1.5 goals is lower.
The most probable outcome is a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, indicated by a 76.32% probability.
Millwall’s previous home matches range from 3-0 wins to 1-0 defeats. Luton Town has had draws and losses away from home.
There is a 58.42% probability of both teams scoring.
Given these statistics, a draw seems likely, with potentially fewer than 2.5 goals.
The potential number of goals
Millwall’s home performance has been mixed, with only one win in five matches. The team averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per match, indicating a 50% offensive potential and a 36% defensive potential.
On the other hand, Luton Town has not won any of their last five away matches. Their offensive potential stands at 21%, averaging 0.6 goals scored, and their defensive potential at 57% with 1.6 goals conceded per match.
The match probabilities are as follows: Millwall to win at 36.32%, a draw at 29.47%, and Luton to win at 34.21%. The probability of a draw or a Millwall win is 65.79%, while a draw or a Luton win is 63.68%.
Both teams have a 58.42% chance of scoring. Overall, the match seems likely to have a low number of goals. The probability of having less than 2.5 goals in the match is 74.21%, while over 2.5 goals is at 47.37%.
Considering these statistics, it appears prudent to bet on “under 2.5 goals in the match.”
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the analysis of the past performances of Millwall and Luton Town suggests a balanced match with a slight favor towards Millwall, especially due to their stronger home performance. The data indicate a match with less than 2.5 goals and a potential score of 1-1, which supports a bet on a draw with both teams scoring. Despite low win rates, the probabilities suggest a high potential for both teams to score during the match. Therefore, bettors looking to place informed bets may consider wagering on a draw or a Millwall win, under 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams to score.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Millwall against Luton on 14/09/2024
1. Millwall has a strong home performance, winning in 20% of cases and drawing in 80% of cases. In contrast, Luton Town struggles away from home with 0% victory and 60% draws, giving Millwall an advantage.
2. Analysis of their goal averages shows better performance from Millwall both in attack and defense. Millwall scores an average of 1.4 goals per match while Luton Town only scores 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, Millwall concedes only 1 goal on average per match, compared to 1.6 for Luton Town.
3. The calculated probabilities favor a draw or a win for Millwall, with a probability of 65.79%, compared to a victory probability for Luton Town of only 34.21%. This reinforces the idea that a draw or a win for Millwall is more likely.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Millwall vs Luton match!
To not miss anything from the Millwall vs Luton match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 14/09/2024 in the Championship live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Millwall vs Luton
Lineups Millwall
Lineups Luton
Match Highlights Millwall vs Luton on 14/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Millwall vs Luton match on 14/09/2024 at The Den stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Millwall and Luton
All statistics for the match between Millwall and Luton will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Millwall against Luton!
Form state of Millwall in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Millwall has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Millwall has a form rating of %.
Form state of Luton in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Luton has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Luton has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Millwall against Luton!
Average goals scored by Millwall in the current season.
Goals scored by Millwall in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Millwall
Millwall has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Millwall in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Millwall
Millwall has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Luton in the current season
Goals scored by Luton in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Luton
Luton has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Luton in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Luton
Luton has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Millwall and Luton, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Millwall vs Luton: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Recent statistics show that both teams struggle to score goals. On average, Millwall scores 1.4 goals per home match while Luton Town only scores 0.6 goals per away match.
2. In their respective last 5 matches, Millwall and Luton Town have not exceeded a total of 3 goals in a single match, indicating a trend towards low-scoring games.
3. The odds offered (1.78 for under 2.5 goals) as well as the associated probabilities (74.21% for under 1.5 goals) confirm the scenario of a low-scoring match.
Forecast results from winflix for Millwall and Luton!
The last 5 winning predictions für Millwall
The last 5 winning predictions für Luton
How do I find the best forecast for Millwall Luton?
Finding a forecast for the Millwall Luton match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Millwall Luton on 14/09/2024 in The Den are the team's past performance in the Championship, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Millwall at home and Luton away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 14/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Millwall and Luton on 14/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Championship, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at The Den, Millwall could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Millwall and Luton, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Millwall and the away win rate of Luton, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 14/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Millwall and Luton can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 14/09/2024 at The Den.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Millwall and Luton, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Millwall or Luton on 14/09/2024.
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