Tipps Millwall Plymouth Championship 23/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Millwall wins the match.

1. The home win rate of Millwall is clearly higher than that of Plymouth away from home. Millwall has won 40% of their last home matches, while Plymouth has not won any of their last away matches.
2. Millwall has shown better offensive performance than Plymouth. In the last 5 home matches, Millwall has scored 7 goals compared to only 1 goal scored by Plymouth away.
3. Plymouth’s recent away record indicates defensive weakness, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. In comparison, Millwall concedes fewer goals at home, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. This suggests that Millwall may be less likely to concede goals than Plymouth.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5” means that the total number of goals scored in the game will be less than 2.5.

1. On their respective last 5 matches, Millwall and Plymouth have scored an average of 1 goal each per match and conceded 0.8 and 1.8 goals respectively, suggesting a low probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match in question.
2. Plymouth has had a poor performance away, with no wins in their last 5 matches and only 1 goal scored, indicating a weak attacking ability that reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring match.
3. Past statistics indicate that in most matches where Millwall plays at home and Plymouth plays away, there is a low-scoring match. The two teams have scored a total of 8 and 3 goals respectively in their last 5 matches, suggesting a continued trend towards a match with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The away performance of Plymouth is weak with a 0% win rate and only a 20% draw rate in their last 5 outings, having scored only 1 goal in the process. This suggests a low ability to score in away matches.

2. Millwall has a relatively low average goals conceded at home, just 0.8 goals per match. Combined with Plymouth’s weak offensive output away from home, this increases the likelihood that Plymouth will struggle to score in this match.

3. Millwall’s defensive potential at home is 29%, which is above average, while Plymouth’s offensive potential away is only 36%. Recent statistics indicate that Millwall has the capacity to contain Plymouth’s attack.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Millwall 1-0 Plymouth

1. Millwall’s home performances are quite solid, having won two of their last five home matches while averaging one goal per game. This could indicate their ability to score at least one goal against Plymouth.

2. Plymouth struggles to score away from home, having only scored one goal in their last five away matches. Plymouth’s offensive potential is only at 36%, reinforcing the idea that they may not score against Millwall.

3. Statistics suggest that both teams will not score in this match with a success probability of 100%. This strengthens the idea that Millwall could win the match 1-0.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Millwall has been struggling in recent home matches, with only a 40% win rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8.

Plymouth, on the other hand, is having a tough time away from home with no recent wins and only 1 goal scored against 2 goals conceded.

Millwall has an attacking strength of 36% with an average of 1 goal per match. Their defense is solid at 29% with less than one goal conceded per game.

When playing away, Plymouth also scores an average of 1 goal with an attacking strength of 36%. However, their defense is more vulnerable at 64% with nearly 2 goals conceded per game.

The match is expected to be tight, but Millwall seems to be in better shape. Plymouth struggles defensively and may find it hard to score.

In terms of goals, it seems that the match will not exceed 4 goals, with a 100% probability for less than 3.5 and 4.5 total goals. Both teams are unlikely to score as well, with a 100% probability.

Based on recent history, a draw or a Millwall win seems likely. However, it is advised to proceed with caution as there is no probability figure available for a final prediction.

The potential number of goals

Based on the statistics, Millwall has shown a strong performance at home, with a win or draw in 80% of cases, scoring 7 goals in 5 matches. This indicates a fairly good offensive ability with a slight defensive vulnerability.

On the other hand, Plymouth seems to struggle away from home, having lost the majority of their matches and scoring only 1 goal in their last 5 away matches. Their defense is a bit stronger, conceding only 2 goals, but their offensive capability is weak.

Looking at the defensive and offensive data, it appears that Millwall has the advantage with a higher offensive and defensive potential than Plymouth.

However, the game could be more defensive based on the goal probability data. Both teams have a high probability of fewer than 3.5 goals and a 100% probability of both teams not scoring.

So, based on these numbers, I would be tempted to say that Millwall has a favorable chance of winning this match, but there may be few goals scored overall.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, with a strong home performance, a lower rate of goals conceded compared to Plymouth, and a recent history of victories, Millwall appears to be in a better position to win the match against Plymouth. However, the match could be closely contested, with a low total number of goals likely, as indicated by the betting option ‘Under 2.5 goals.’ It is also probable that Plymouth may struggle to score, given their poor away performance, which could result in a potential exact score of 1-0 in favor of Millwall. Therefore, bettors may consider Millwall to win, under 2.5 goals in the match, and Millwall winning 1-0 as betting options. However, as always, while these predictions are based on historical data, the game remains unpredictable, and it is essential to bet responsibly.