Tipps Mirandes FC Cartagena LaLiga 2 26/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Mirandes wins the match

1. Home statistics for Mirandes: Recent statistics show that Mirandes has a strong performance at home. They have won 60% of their last 5 home matches, and in the last 5 matches, they have scored more goals than they have conceded. Additionally, their defensive potential at home is slightly higher than their offensive potential.

2. Away statistics for FC Cartagena: FC Cartagena has a fairly poor record away from home, winning only 40% of their last 5 away matches, and conceding on average more goals than they score. Furthermore, their defensive potential away from home is lower than their offensive performances, which is an advantage for Mirandes.

3. Probability of success: Based on a mathematical model, Mirandes has a 57.53% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than FC Cartagena’s win probability (13.98%). Therefore, it is more likely that Mirandes will win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The average goal profiles of both teams are low: Mirandes scores an average of 0.8 goals per home match, and FC Cartagena also scores an average of 0.8 goals away. This suggests that their attacks are not very prolific and could contribute to a lower total of goals.

2. Defensive statistics also point to a low total number of goals: Mirandes concedes an average of 1 goal per home match, while FC Cartagena concedes an average of 1.6 goals away. These data also suggest the possibility of a low total number of goals in the match.

3. FC Cartagena’s last two away matches have had a total of less than 2.5 goals, and 3 out of the last 5 home matches for Mirandes have also had a total of less than 2.5 goals. The recent performance of each team shows a trend that supports a low total of goals for their upcoming match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Based on Mirandes’ last five home matches, they have a strong defensive potential by conceding only one goal per match on average, indicating that they are strong enough to prevent the opposing team from scoring.

2. FC Cartagena has a low scoring ability when playing away, averaging only 0.8 goals per match. Their offensive performance is weak, reducing the likelihood of them scoring against Mirandes.

3. Analyzing FC Cartagena’s last five away matches, they lose in 60% of cases. Therefore, the probability of FC Cartagena not scoring in this match is higher.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Mirandes 1-1 FC Cartagena

1. Head-to-head record: At home, Mirandes has won 60% of matches and drawn 20%, while FC Cartagena has had no draws in away games. This gives an initial indication of a tight match where both teams could score a goal.

2. Goal average: Both teams have a similar average of 0.8 goals scored per match. Coupled with the fact that Mirandes has conceded 4 goals at home and FC Cartagena has conceded 6 goals away, this could point to a 1-1 result.

3. Bookmakers’ predictions: The odds indicate a higher probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match (85.48% success rate), suggesting that the score could remain low, further supporting the 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Here is the situation for the match between Mirandes and FC Cartagena. Home field advantage, Mirandes stands out at home with a 60% win rate and a goal ratio of 4. Cartagena, on the other hand, is slightly behind on the road with a 40% win rate and having scored 5 goals.

Offensively, Mirandes at home scores 0.8 goals per match. Their defense is quite solid, conceding only 1 goal on average. Cartagena on the road also scores 0.8 goals per match, but their defensive game needs improvement, conceding 1.6 goals on average.

In terms of predictions, Mirandes has a higher probability of winning at 57.53% compared to Cartagena at 13.98%. They have an equal probability of both teams scoring in the match at 51.61%.

In recent matches, Mirandes has shown good performances at home, with notable wins against Eibar, Huesca, and Albacete. FC Cartagena, on the other hand, has not had recent success on the road, with losses against Cordoba and Tenerife, despite two rather close wins against Racing Santander and Eldense.

In conclusion, the advantage seems to be in favor of Mirandes for this match. However, the potential of Cartagena should not be underestimated, as they can surprise. For a safe bet, I recommend “Draw or Mirandes to win the match” with a high probability of success at 86.02%.

The potential number of goals

Mirandes shows strength at home with a 60% win rate, while Cartagena struggles with a 40% win rate away. Both teams score and concede around 0.8 and 1 goal per match, respectively. Cartagena’s offensive and defensive potential shows vulnerabilities at 29% and 57%.

The probabilities favor Mirandes (57.53%) for the win, or a draw (28.49%). There’s a 71.51% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match. For over 3.5 goals, the chances drop to 15%.

Both teams have scored in 51.61% of cases. Mirandes’ previous home results are strong, while Cartagena has more losses away.

Therefore, a Mirandes win with over 1.5 goals seems likely. However, sports are unpredictable, so this is an estimate based on statistics and not a guarantee.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, in light of the statistics and analysis, it appears that Mirandes has a distinct advantage in this match due to their strong home performance compared to FC Cartagena’s away record. However, in sports, nothing is ever certain and the slightest change in circumstances could shift the results one way or the other. It is therefore important to note that all predictions are made based on past and current performances and do not guarantee future results. However, for a safer bet, “Draw or Mirandes wins the match” seems like a sensible choice. As for the exact score, a 1-1 result could be possible considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams. Overall, there seems to be a high probability of fewer than 2.5 goals and a possibility that both teams will not score during the match.