Tipps Mirandes Valladolid Segunda División 04/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Valladolid wins the match.”

1. Valladolid has a higher success probability with 37.89% compared to 30.53% for Mirandes. Therefore, they are more likely to win the match.
2. In their last 5 away games, Valladolid has shown strong offensive performance with an average of 1.4 goals per match and solid defense with an average of 0 goals conceded. This could favor Valladolid in this match against Mirandes.
3. Valladolid has been able to win or draw in 60% of cases in their recent away matches, while Mirandes at home has had 40% wins and 40% draws, indicating better performance by Valladolid in recent games.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show a relatively low average of goals per match for both teams: Mirandes has an average of 1.2 goals per match at home and Valladolid has an average of 1.4 goals per match away. This indicates a moderate offensive potential for both teams.

2. Both teams have demonstrated solid defense in their recent matches, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match for Mirandes at home and 0 goals conceded per match for Valladolid away. These numbers suggest a low-scoring match.

3. Recent matches of Mirandes at home and Valladolid away have generally produced a number of goals below 2.5. This pattern is consistent with the idea of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal statistics: In their respective last 5 matches, Mirandes has scored 6 goals and conceded 9 goals, while Valladolid has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals. These numbers show that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals, which could lead to a scenario where both teams score during the match.

2. Recent home and away performances: Mirandes has an average of 1.2 goals scored per match at home and has also conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match. On the other hand, Valladolid has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match away and has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. These statistics reinforce the idea that both teams have a good potential to score during the match.

3. Previous matches: Looking at the previous meetings of both teams, it is clear that both Mirandes and Valladolid score and concede goals in their matches. This means they have shown an ability to score while also leaving openings for the opposition, increasing the chances of both teams scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Mirandes 1-2 Valladolid

1. Recent overall away performances of Valladolid are slightly better than those of Mirandes at home. Valladolid has won 40% of their last matches with an average score of 1.4 goals per game, while Mirandes only wins in 40% of cases with an average score of 1.2 goals per game.

2. Statistics show that Valladolid has a solid defense, conceding an average of 0 goals per game in their away matches, while Mirandes concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game at home. This gives an advantage to Valladolid.

3. The odds indicate a higher probability (37.89%) for a Valladolid win compared to a Mirandes win (30.53%). Furthermore, the option “draw or Valladolid wins the match” has a success probability of 69.47%, suggesting that bets are in favor of Valladolid.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Mirandes shows a mixed performance at home, with a 40% win and draw rate. They have an average offensive record of 1.2 goals per match, but also concede 1.2 goals on average.

Valladolid, playing away, has a 40% win rate and scores an average of 1.4 goals per match. They have managed to keep a clean sheet, showcasing impressive defensive efficiency.

The probabilities suggest that Valladolid is more likely to win the match with 37.89%. However, a draw or a Mirandes victory is also plausible with a probability of 62.11%.

It is worth noting that both teams have a high probability of scoring at 46.84%, but a slightly higher likelihood indicates that both teams will not score, at 53.16%.

As for the number of goals in the match, it is more likely to have fewer than 3.5 goals in the match with a probability of 87.89%.

Lastly, recent matches show that Mirandes has struggled to keep a clean sheet at home, while Valladolid has scored in most of their away matches.

In summary, this match looks to be closely contested and could be decided by fine margins, with a slight edge for Valladolid.

The potential number of goals

Mirandes has won 40% of their home matches and scored 6 goals. They have conceded 9 goals. Their offensive potential is 43% and their defensive potential is also 43%. Valladolid, playing away, has won 40% of their matches and scored 7 goals. They have conceded 8 goals, with an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 0%.

According to the statistics, there is a 37.89% chance of Valladolid winning the match, with odds of 2.25. A draw has odds of 3.10 with a 31.58% chance.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 69.47% chance of more than 1.5 goals being scored with odds of 1.47. There is also a 43.16% chance of more than 2.5 goals in the match with odds of 2.45.

Finally, there is a 46.84% chance of both teams scoring, with odds of 2.05. If both teams do not score, the odds are 1.72 with a 53.16% chance.

Mirandes’ recent home matches have shown a mixed performance, while Valladolid has displayed an impressive offensive performance on the road.

Based on this data, a tight match with a limited number of goals seems likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of recent statistical data and the home and away performances of both teams, it appears that the match between Mirandes and Valladolid will be closely contested, but with a slight advantage for Valladolid due to their impressive offensive and defensive performances in their recent away games. Bettors should consider a wager on a Valladolid victory, with an expected goal total of less than 2.5 for this match. However, there is also a real possibility of both teams scoring, making it another interesting betting option. Finally, a value bet could be placed on an overall score of more than 3.5 goals, although less likely, the high odds indicate an opportunity to win big in a higher-risk situation. Bettors should stay vigilant and make informed betting decisions based on the teams’ current form and developments leading up to the match date.