Tipps Modena Catanzaro Serie B 12/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Catanzaro wins the match.

1. Recent Team Performance: Catanzaro has won 60% of their recent away matches and drawn in the remaining 40%, showing a solid performance. On the other hand, Modena has not won any of their last 5 home matches and has drawn in 40% of the cases.

2. Average Score: Catanzaro averages 1.2 goals per away match and concedes an average of 0.8 goals, demonstrating better defensive and offensive mastery compared to Modena, who scores 0.8 goals per home match and concedes 1.2 goals.

3. Defensive Quality: Catanzaro’s defensive potential is superior to that of Modena. Catanzaro has a defensive potential of 29%, while Modena has a defensive potential of 43%, indicating that Catanzaro is less likely to concede goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Modena’s home performances: Modena is severely lacking in offensive efficiency at home, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. Furthermore, they have not won any of their last 5 home matches, clearly indicating a lack of home performance.

2. Catanzaro’s away performances: Despite performing well away from home, Catanzaro is not very effective at scoring goals, with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Therefore, there is less chance that they will score enough goals to reach the 2.5 goals threshold.

3. Goal statistics: By looking at the match history of both teams, we can see that the number of goals tends to be below 2.5. Additionally, the offensive and defensive potential of both teams also suggests a total of goals below 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Catanzaro’s offensive performance: With an average of 1.2 goals scored per match away in their last 5 matches, Catanzaro has a strong likelihood of scoring a goal in the match against Modena.

2. Modena’s defensive vulnerability: With an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match at home in their last 5 matches, Modena’s defense appears weak and suggests they could concede at least one goal.

3. Head-to-head history: In their respective last matches, both at home for Modena and away for Catanzaro, each team has scored in the majority of cases, indicating that it is very likely that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Catanzaro wins the game.

Bet on the exact result

Modena 1-1 Catanzaro

1. The percentage of draws at home for Modena (40%) and away for Catanzaro (40%) indicates a notable tendency for a draw result between these two teams.
2. The data on average goals show that Modena scores and concedes 0.8 and 1.2 goals per home match respectively, while Catanzaro scores and concedes 1.2 and 0.8 goals per away match respectively. These numbers also suggest a potential 1-1 result.
3. The recent match history of Modena at home and Catanzaro away shows several 1-1 results (Modena 1 – 1 Bari, Modena 1 – 1 Cosenza, Brescia 1 – 1 Catanzaro, Spezia 1 – 1 Catanzaro), which is consistent with this prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Modena struggles at home, with no wins in their last 5 matches, including 40% draws. They have only scored 4 goals and conceded 5.

On the other hand, Catanzaro is in good form away from home, with a 60% win rate, 40% draws, and an average of 1.2 goals scored per match against 0.8 conceded.

Modena only has a 29% attacking potential compared to Catanzaro’s 43%, and is significantly weaker defensively.

The predictions favor Modena with a 44.39% probability of winning, compared to 29.41% for Catanzaro. A draw is possible at 26.2%.

A match with over 1.5 goals is likely at 67.38%. The scenario of under 3.5 goals is even more probable at 83.42%.

Based on recent matches, Modena struggles to win at home while Catanzaro is able to secure wins on the road.

There is a 51.34% probability that both teams will score.

The numbers suggest a tight match, with Modena having a slight chance of winning or drawing, but a surprise win from Catanzaro should not be ruled out.

The potential number of goals

Modena, in 5 home matches, has not won but has drawn 40% of the time. With only 4 goals scored and 5 conceded, their offensive rate is 29% and defensive rate is 43%.

On the other hand, Catanzaro has won 60% of their 5 away matches and drawn 40% of the time. 8 goals scored and 9 conceded give Catanzaro an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 29%.

The prediction favors Modena with a probability of 44.39% compared to 29.41% for Catanzaro. However, the draw has a probability of 26.2%.

In the total number of goals, the prediction leans towards less than 3.5 goals with a probability of 83.42%.

These statistics suggest a match that may not be very spectacular in terms of goals, with a higher probability of victory for Modena or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Serie B match between Modena and Catanzaro is likely to be tight and not very high-scoring. Modena’s recent home performances do not inspire confidence with no wins in their last 5 matches and a poor offensive display. However, the odds favor this team, although the margin is slim. On the other hand, Catanzaro, who has been performing fairly well away from home, could cause an upset despite less favorable odds. Statistics suggest a match with less than 2.5 goals, with a possibility of both teams scoring at least once. In terms of value bets, betting on a Catanzaro victory seems appealing. Regardless, it is advised for bettors to consider these statistics and information, as well as other factors such as pre-match news, injuries to key players, and weather conditions.