Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Modena wins the match.

1. Modena has shown a strong performance at home by achieving a draw in 60% of cases. This, combined with the fact that Sudtirol has only won 20% of its previous away matches, increases the likelihood of the match ending in a draw or with a Modena victory.

2. When comparing the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, Modena seems to have a defensive advantage with 36% compared to Sudtirol’s 14%. Additionally, although Sudtirol has a better offensive potential, its success rate in away matches gives it lower chances of winning.

3. Based on the odds, the draw or a Modena victory has a success probability of 100%, which is much more favorable than the other odds presented. This shows that bookmakers also believe that the prediction “draw or Modena wins the match” is the most likely.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The recent performances of both teams suggest a low offensive output. In the last 5 matches, Modena has scored an average of 0.8 goals per game and Sudtirol 0.6 goals. This results in an average total of less than 2 goals per game, significantly below 2.5.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams also support a prediction of less than 2.5 goals. Modena concedes an average of 1 goal per game while Sudtirol concedes an average of 0.4 goals, showcasing a strong defensive potential that could limit the number of goals.

3. The recent head-to-head match history between the two teams indicates a tendency for low scores. The last matches of Modena at home and Sudtirol away often result in scores of less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Low scoring history: Both teams have shown a tendency for relatively low goal-scoring in their recent matches, with an average of 0.6 goals per game for Modena and 0.8 goals per game for Sudtirol in their last five matches respectively.

2. Strong defensive performances: Modena’s defense appears to be solid, having conceded only 4 goals at home in their last 5 matches. Similarly, Sudtirol has only conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating a competent defensive performance.

3. Draw trend: Modena has drawn in 60% of their recent home matches, while Sudtirol has drawn in 40% of their recent away matches. This may indicate a potential stalemate where neither team manages to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Modena 1-1 Sudtirol

1. Modena’s home statistics show a significant number of draws (60%) and a balanced ratio between goals scored and conceded (4 each). This suggests that Modena may hold Sudtirol to a draw.

2. Sudtirol’s offensive potential in away matches is 29% with an average of 0.8 goals per game. This indicates a possibility of scoring a goal in this match, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

3. The odds indicate a 100% probability of a draw at 3.20, emphasizing the strong likelihood that both teams will neutralize each other in this encounter, consistent with a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Modena has been struggling at home lately, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals, but unfortunately conceded the same amount.

On the other hand, Sudtirol is not much more successful away from home, with only one win in their last 5 games. They have managed to score one more goal than Modena, but have also conceded more goals.

In terms of offense, Modena averages 0.6 goals per match, compared to 0.8 for Sudtirol. However, Modena concedes more goals per match than Sudtirol, a statistic that could work against the home team.

The odds suggest a draw as the most likely outcome, with odds of 3.20. The probability of either Modena or Sudtirol winning is estimated at 0%.

It is also likely that the match will end with less than 1.5 goals, given the average number of goals scored by both teams. On the other hand, more than 2.5 goals have a probability of 0%.

Both teams have a 50% chance of scoring each, with odds of 2.25. However, there is a 50% chance that both teams will not score, an attractive odds.

In conclusion, the statistics indicate a tight match, leaning towards a draw and potentially few goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Modena, at home, has not won in the last 5 matches and has shown a lack of offensive strength with only 4 goals scored. Their defensive capability is limited, having conceded 4 goals.

Sudtirol, won one match out of 5 away games, scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals. Their offensive potential is slightly better than Modena’s, but defensively, they are weak.

The match could end in a draw, a prediction supported by a probability of 100% and odds of 3.20.

The offensive potential of both teams suggests less than 2.5 goals in the match.

The probability of both teams scoring is 50%, indicated by Modena’s recent score of 1-3 against Catanzaro and Sudtirol’s 2-2 draw with Catanzaro.

Therefore, the key information is that the match is likely to be evenly matched, with a low score of less than 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Based on a detailed analysis of various factors, such as the recent performances of both teams, offensive and defensive statistics, and bookmakers’ odds, it appears that this match presents several favorable betting opportunities for punters.

The main prediction suggests the likelihood of a draw or a Modena win, with a potentially low number of goals, under 2.5 in total. This is supported by the recent history of both teams as well as their weak offensive performances and solid defenses.

Regarding the “Both Teams to Score” bet, statistics suggest the answer is “No,” based on both teams’ history of low scoring, combined with their strong defensive displays.

Another interesting bet to consider is the draw, offering considerable value.

Lastly, the projected exact score is a 1-1 draw. This prediction is based on odds, Sudtirol’s offensive potential, and Modena’s solid defense.

In conclusion, this match appears to be a closely contested affair, likely resulting in a low-scoring draw. As always, while statistics and odds provide significant insights, it is essential to remember that in football, nothing is guaranteed.