Tipps Moldova Andorra UEFA Nations League 10/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Modavie wins the match”

1. Recent statistics favor Modavia. Indeed, in their last 5 home matches, Modavia has won 60% of the games and managed to secure a draw in 20% of the cases. Furthermore, Modavia has shown a strong offensive performance with 7 goals scored.

2. Andorra has shown weakness when playing as the away team. In their last 5 away matches, Andorra has not won any game nor secured any draws. Additionally, the team has conceded a goal without scoring any. This indicates a weak offensive and defensive potential.

3. The calculated probabilities also give an advantage to Modavia. There is a probability of 77.89% that Modavia will win the match. This probability is significantly higher than the probabilities of a draw (16.84%) and Andorra’s victory (5.26%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Andorra’s offensive potential for away matches is very low (7%), with an average of 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 away matches. Therefore, it is unlikely that they will contribute much to the total goals.

2. Moldova has a strong defense at home, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals, which decreases the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

3. However, the odds of less than 2.5 goals in the match are high (low odds: 1.45), indicating that bookmakers also predict a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Andorra’s Away Performance: In their last 5 away matches, Andorra has failed to score any goals, indicating a lack of offensive strength when playing away from home.

2. Moldova’s Home Performance: Moldova has shown some defensive strength at home, conceding only 1.2 goals on average per match.

3. Match History: Based on the recent home matches of Moldova and the away matches of Andorra, most games have not seen both teams score. In fact, Andorra has failed to score in their last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Modavie 2-0 Andorra”

1. Performance history: In their last 5 matches, Moldova has shown superior performance especially at home with a 60% win rate, while Andorra has lost all their away matches without scoring any goals.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Moldova has a 71% offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match, compared to Andorra’s mere 7% offensive potential away. Furthermore, while Moldova has a defensive potential of 43%, Andorra struggles more defensively with a potential of 79%, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match.

3. Win probabilities: The probabilities heavily favor Moldova with a win probability of 77.89%. Moreover, the very high probability that fewer than 4.5 goals will be scored during the match (109.47%) supports the idea of a 2-0 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Modavia, in its recent home matches, has won 60% of its games with an average of 2 goals per match. On the other hand, Andorra has neither won nor drawn on the road, with an average of 0.2 goals per match. Modavia seems to have a clear advantage.

Modavia has a 77.89% probability of winning, with odds of 1.46, while Andorra has only a 5.26% chance of winning, with odds of 9.25. The figures highlight Modavia’s superior offensive potential with 71% compared to only 7% for Andorra.

Moreover, over 1.5 goals in the match are expected with a 63.16% probability and odds of 1.55. Less than 3.5 goals in the match have a high probability of 96.84%, indicating a potentially low-scoring game.

In its recent home matches, Modavia has shown its strength, especially against San Marino and Malta. Andorra, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, as evidenced by losses against Spain and Bolivia.

In conclusion, the trend suggests a likely victory for Modavia with a goal count that could be less than 3.5.

The potential number of goals

Modavie has a good home record with a 60% win rate. They have scored 7 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game. They have conceded 8 goals, so their defense needs to be monitored.

Andorra struggles away from home, with no wins or draws in their last 5 matches. They have not scored any goals and have conceded only one.

Modavie has an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 43%. In contrast, Andorra has only 7% offensive potential and 79% in defense.

Regarding the prediction, Modavie’s victory is predominant with a probability of 77.89% (odds of 1.46). A draw or a Modavie win is interesting (94.74% probability, odds of 1.06).

The goal study suggests a low-scoring match: less than 3.5 goals in the match has a probability of 96.84% (odds of 1.14).

Finally, the probability of both teams not scoring is 61.05% (odds of 1.36).

In conclusion, Modavie is the favorite, especially due to their home performances. Few goals are expected, especially from Andorra. An interesting prediction would be to bet on a Modavie win with less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics and information gathered, it is quite clear that Modavia is the favorite to win the upcoming match against Andorra. Past results, home performances, and the advantage of playing on their turf make Modavia the safest choice for a bet. Andorra’s lack of success in their away games further reinforces the idea that Modavia will likely come out on top.

As for the total goals scored, the analysis suggests a match with less than 2.5 goals, highlighting Andorra’s limited offensive potential and a solid defense by Modavia at home.

Finally, the probabilities point to an exact score of 2-0 in favor of Modavia, which would be in line with the past performances of both teams.

Therefore, it is recommended to bet on a win for Modavia with less than 3.5 goals in the match. However, as with all sports betting, it is important to bet responsibly while considering the inherent risk. We hope this analysis will help you make the best possible choice for your bet. Good luck!