Tipps Moldova Cyprus Matchs amicaux 08/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for the football match between Moldova and Cyprus is: Draw or Moldova wins the match.

1. According to the latest statistics, Moldova has a better performance at home than Cyprus does away. Moldova has won 20% of its last 5 home matches and drawn 20% of the time, while Cyprus has not won any of its last 5 away matches and only drawn 20% of the time.

2. Moldova’s offensive performances at home are slightly better than Cyprus’s away from home. On average, Moldova scores 0.8 goals per match at home, while Cyprus only scores 0.6 goals per match away. Both teams also have a similar defensive index, with a potential of 64%, which could increase the likelihood of a draw or a Moldova win, with a success rate of 78.57%.

3. By analyzing the respective match histories of Moldova and Cyprus, it can be observed that Moldova has managed to score in its home matches even against formidable opponents like Poland, whereas Cyprus has struggled to score away, suffering heavy defeats against Georgia and Spain. This could indicate a potentially better performance by Moldova at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The low offensive performance of both teams: Over their respective last 5 matches, Moldova has scored an average of 0.8 goals per game while Cyprus has scored 0.6 goals per game, indicating a lack of offensive power from both teams.

2. Probability calculations support this prediction: Bets on “Under 2.5 goals in the match” have a higher likelihood of success than those on “Over 2.5 goals in the match.” In other words, it is more probable that the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals.

3. Head-to-head history: The scores of Moldova’s recent home matches and Cyprus’s away matches show a general trend towards relatively low scores. These matches have often resulted in fewer than 2.5 goals, further reinforcing the prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Moldova has managed to score at least once in 80% of the cases (4 out of 5 matches). This indicates a certain consistency in Moldova’s ability to score at home.
2. Despite not winning any of their last 5 away matches, Cyprus managed to score in two of these five matches. Therefore, there is a possibility for Cyprus to score a goal even when playing away.
3. The defensive statistics of these two teams are not very reassuring as Moldova and Cyprus concede an average of 1.8 and 1.8 goals per match, respectively. This suggests the probability that both teams could concede a goal during this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Modavia 1-1 Cyprus.

1. Recent performance statistics of both teams show a trend towards low scores. Modavia has averaged 0.8 goals per match at home, while Cyprus has averaged 0.6 goals away. This implies that a low-scoring draw is quite likely.

2. The probability of Modavia drawing at home is 20%, and the probability of Cyprus drawing away is also 20%. This reinforces the idea that a 1-1 draw is a plausible scenario for this match.

3. Data on the offensive and defensive potential of both teams suggest they are fairly evenly matched, with an offensive potential of 29% for Modavia and 21% for Cyprus, and a defensive potential of 64% for both teams. This indicates that the teams are likely to cancel each other out, leading to a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Modavie has a mixed record at home: 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. They score few goals but concede a lot with an average of 1.8 goals per match.

Cyprus away from home has zero wins, one draw, and 4 losses! Their offensive performances are weak, with only 0.6 goals per match. Their defense is not brilliant either, conceding 1.8 goals per match.

Statistics favor Modavie to win with a 47.02% chance. A draw is also possible with a 31.55% probability.

A low-scoring match is expected. There is a 72.02% success probability for over 1.5 goals in the match. However, it should be noted that there is only a 40.48% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.

Both teams struggle to score. However, the probability of both teams scoring is slightly higher (51.79%) than that of one or both teams not scoring (48.21%).

In conclusion, this match is likely to favor Modavie, but with a low score. Both teams facing offensive difficulties, a bet on under 2.5 goals could be wise.

The potential number of goals

Modavia is not in top form, with only a 20% home win rate. Their defense is weak, having conceded 10 goals in 5 matches. But they have still managed to score 5 times.

Cyprus is not performing any better away, with no wins and only a 20% draw rate. With 6 goals conceded and only 3 scored, both their offense and defense should be tested.

On average, Modavia has a 29% offensive potential and 64% defensive potential. Cyprus offers a similar potential with 21% offensive and 64% defensive capabilities.

The prediction states that Modavia has a 47.02% chance of winning, compared to 21.43% for Cyprus. The odds are 2.10 for Modavia and 3.30 for Cyprus.

There is a 72.02% probability that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.40.

Both teams have a similar chance of scoring, at 51.79% for “yes” and 48.21% for “no”. The odds are 1.95 for “yes” and 1.80 for “no”.

Looking at their recent matches, we can see that Modavia managed to score against Poland and Albania. Cyprus struggled to score, except in the match against Armenia.

In summary, a difficult match to predict. But with higher chances for Modavia, and a possibility of having more than 1.5 goals in the game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match appears to be a tough and potentially close encounter between two teams that have shown weak to moderate performances in terms of offense and defense. Considering the statistics and current forms of Moldova and Cyprus, it seems more likely that the game will end in a Moldova win or a draw, with a total of goals under 2.5.

In terms of betting, a bet on under 2.5 goals in the match seems to be a safe option, given the teams’ mixed offensive performances. Therefore, an exact score of 1-1 could also provide interesting value for bettors. However, despite the limited offense, the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match is slightly higher, which could be another betting option to consider.

It is advisable for bettors to carefully consider these factors before placing their bets, and of course, it is important to bet responsibly. Football matches are often unpredictable, and while these predictions are based on data and statistics, nothing is ever guaranteed in the world of football.