Tipps Moldova Ukraine Matchs amicaux 11/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Ukraine wins the match”

1. According to statistics, Ukraine has a higher estimated probability of winning at 53.57%, which is significantly greater than Moldova’s win probability assessed at 21.43%.

2. Ukraine has shown better performances in their last 5 away games with a win rate of 40% compared to Moldova’s 20% at home. Furthermore, Ukraine has scored more goals in these matches (7 compared to 5 for Moldova), showcasing a stronger offensive capability.

3. In their recent away games, Ukraine has displayed similar offensive and defensive potentials (36%), whereas Moldova has shown a higher offensive potential (50%) than defensive (43%) when playing at home. This might suggest that Ukraine, with a more balanced performance in attack and defense, is more likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The goal history in the last 5 matches of Moldova and Ukraine suggests a potential outcome of over 2.5 goals. Moldova has scored 5 goals and conceded 10 goals at home, while Ukraine has scored 7 and conceded 9 away.

2. The average number of goals per match for both teams indicates a potentially high-scoring encounter. Moldova averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded at home, while Ukraine averages 1 goal scored and conceded away.

3. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 52.55% according to the odds. This is a sufficient indication that the match could have over 2.5 goals, reinforced by the fact that both teams to score has a probability of 53.06%.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Performance history: Recent match histories of Moldova and Ukraine show a trend of both teams scoring in their respective matches, even when they do not win.
2. Match statistics: Both teams have shown significant offensive potential in their recent matches, with Moldova averaging 1.4 goals per home match and Ukraine scoring 1 goal per away match.
3. Offensive and defensive potential: Moldova has a 50% offensive potential and Ukraine has a 36% offensive potential. This means it is more likely that both teams will score during the match. Additionally, their defensive potential is not high enough to prevent the other team from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

“North Macedonia 1-2 Ukraine”

1. The performance of Ukraine away from home is superior to that of Moldova at home, with a win rate of 40% compared to 20%. This increases the probability of Ukraine winning the match.

2. The goal statistics align with the prediction. Moldova averages 1.4 goals per game at home, while Ukraine averages 1 goal scored per game away. Additionally, Moldova concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game at home, while Ukraine concedes 1 goal per game on average away. This also suggests a likely final score of 1-2.

3. Recently, both teams have shown the ability to score and concede goals, as evidenced by their recent matches. Therefore, a 1-2 scoreline, where both teams score, is consistent with their recent performances.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Moldova, struggling at home, have a 20% win rate and 20% draws. In numbers, 5 goals scored and 10 conceded.
Ukraine on the road has a better record. They hold a 40% win rate and 20% draws, scoring 7 times and conceding 9 goals.
Moldova has an offensive strength of 1.4 goals per match and a defensive weakness of 1.2.
Ukraine both scores and concedes 1 goal on average, reflecting a 36% efficiency in both aspects.
The predictions favor Ukraine, with odds of 1.72. A draw is at 3.75, while a Moldova victory is at 4.75.
Over 1.5 goals have a 78.06% probability with odds of 1.22, indicating a potentially lively match.
Under 2.5 goals offer odds of 2.05.
Over 2.5 goals have a 52.55% probability with odds of 1.75.
It is likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 53.06% and odds of 1.72, compared to 2.05 for the opposite.
In conclusion, Ukraine appears to be in better form with a 40% win rate. A match with over 2.5 goals could be a good prediction.

The potential number of goals

Moldova, on the field, has only won 20% of its recent matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. Defensive average: 1.2 goals conceded per match. Meanwhile, Ukraine has a 40% win rate away from home, with an average of 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded per match.

Moldova’s recent scores are varied. They had a victory against Poland (3-2), but suffered a defeat against Romania (0-5). Ukraine’s performances away from home have been more solid, with victories against Bosnia-Herzegovina (2-1) and Malta (3-1) among others.

The prediction favors Ukraine with a 53.57% chance of winning, with odds of 1.72. A draw or Ukraine winning has a 78.57% chance of success with odds of 1.18.

The goal of less than 1.5 goals in the match is unlikely with odds of 4.00, but over 1.5 goals have a high probability of 78.06% at 1.22. There is also about a 73.47% chance of seeing less than 3.5 goals during the match.

Both teams have a 53.06% chance of scoring, with odds of 1.72. This is a key piece of information to consider for betting purposes.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Moldova and Ukraine promises to be lively. According to the statistics presented, Ukraine appears to have the edge, with a higher probability of winning, a more balanced performance in attack and defense, and superior goal rates. However, the possibility of a draw should not be overlooked, which can offer interesting betting value. The history of scores also suggests a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, providing attractive betting options. Ultimately, the concrete choice of bets will depend on the level of risk each bettor is willing to take. As always in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed, but evaluating statistical trends can help make an informed decision.