Tipps Monaco Barcelona UEFA Champions League 19/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Barcelona wins the match

1. Barcelona’s recent performance history: Barcelona has won 80% of its last 5 away matches, indicating strong form and an ability to get results even when playing away.
2. Monaco’s defensive weakness: In their last 5 home matches, Monaco has conceded 5 goals, while Barcelona averages 3.4 goals per away match. This suggests that Monaco’s defense may struggle to resist Barcelona’s attack.
3. Probability odds: Barcelona has a success probability of 47.89%, which is the highest rate among the three options (Monaco win, draw, Barcelona win). This suggests that bookmakers see Barcelona as the team most likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Barcelona has a strong offensive potential: Looking at Barcelona’s last five away matches, the team has scored an average of 3.4 goals per game. With an offensive potential of 121%, they are likely capable of scoring more than a few goals.

2. Monaco’s weak defense: In their last five home matches, Monaco has conceded an average of 0.2 goals per game. Their defensive potential of only 7% indicates they may struggle to contain Barcelona’s attacks.

3. Goal scoring history in both teams’ matches: Taking into account goals scored and conceded in the teams’ recent matches, there is usually a total of over 2.5 goals. There is a 63.38% likelihood that over 2.5 goals will be scored in the upcoming match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Monaco has an offensive potential of 71% at home, which means they are very likely to score at least one goal against Barcelona.
2. Barcelona, when playing away, has a slightly weak defense with a defensive potential of 29%, which increases the likelihood that Monaco may score.
3. In the recent past, when playing away, Barcelona has always managed to score goals, as evidenced by the scores of their previous matches. At the same time, Monaco, in their previous home matches, has managed to score in most cases.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Monaco wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Monaco 1-2 Barcelona

1. In their last 5 respective matches, Monaco has shown a poor performance at home with only a 20% win rate, while Barcelona has excelled away from home with an 80% win rate. Additionally, Barcelona has a higher offensive potential than Monaco, averaging 3.4 goals per away match compared to Monaco’s 2 goals at home.

2. The odds of Barcelona winning are higher at 47.89% compared to Monaco’s 28.87%. This indicates that Barcelona has higher chances of winning than Monaco.

3. Considering the goals scored and conceded in their recent matches, Monaco has scored at least 1 goal in their last home matches, while Barcelona has scored at least 2 goals in their away matches. The exact score of 1-2 is therefore very plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Monaco, at home, struggles to secure victory. In 5 matches, they have only won once (20%), scoring 4 goals. A defense with problems having conceded 5 goals.
Barcelona, on the road, is more convincing. 80% win rate in 5 games, scoring 12 goals. However, they also concede, having let in 13 goals.
Monaco can rely on an offensive potential of 71%, but only 7% in defense.
Barcelona, on the other hand, is powerful in attack – with an offensive potential of 121%. Their defense also holds up, with a 29% potential.
Based on these figures, the bet “Barcelona wins the match” offers a probable return of 47.89% at odds of 1.85.
However, one could also consider a draw or a Monaco win with a probability of 52.11% (odds at 2.03).
Another option would be the bet “over 2.5 goals in the match.” The success probability is 63.38% (odds at 1.62).
In conclusion, Barcelona seems to have the upper hand, but Monaco will not disappoint. A game with twists and turns, likely with over 2.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Monaco has had a mixed performance at home, with only one win in their last 5 matches and a goal difference of 4 goals for and 5 against. On average, they score 2 goals per home match but also only concede 0.2 goals, showing a solid defense.

On the other hand, Barcelona is a formidable opponent away from home. They have won 4 out of their last 5 away matches, scoring an impressive total of 12 goals against 13. They average 3.4 goals per away match and concede only 0.8.

Barcelona has a 47.89% probability of winning this match compared to Monaco’s 28.87%. However, the probability of a draw or Monaco winning is 52.11%, while the probability of a draw or Barcelona winning is 71.13%.

The match has a high probability of being high-scoring. There is an 81.69% probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals, and 63.38% for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams scoring also has a success probability of 66.9%.

Recent meetings show that Monaco has struggled to score in multiple matches, while Barcelona remains an offensive team. Therefore, the trend would lean towards a colorful match with at least 2.5 goals, and a likely victory for Barcelona.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Champions League match between Monaco and Barcelona promises to be rich in goals and actions given Barcelona’s powerful offense and Monaco’s potential counter-attacks. Barcelona, with its impressive away win rate, is the favorite for this match. However, considering Monaco’s strong home performance, betting on a draw or a Monaco victory could be an interesting value.

Overall, the “over 2.5 goals” bet seems to be the wisest choice for this match given the historical offensive performances of both teams. Bettors should also consider the “both teams to score” bet due to Monaco’s offensive potential at home and Barcelona’s slightly weak defense away.

In essence, while Barcelona is the favorite to win this match, Monaco could put up a fight and offer surprises. It is crucial for bettors to consider these factors in order to make informed bets and achieve the best possible return on investment.