Tipps Monterrey Atlas Liga MX 03/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Monterrey wins the match.

1. The history of the last matches: Monterrey has shown a fairly positive performance at home, with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. In comparison, Atlas has only won once in their last 5 away games.

2. Offensive and defensive performances: Monterrey has displayed a better offensive performance with an average of 1.2 goals scored per home match, compared to Atlas’s average of 0.8 goals away. Additionally, both Monterrey and Atlas have an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match, giving Monterrey the edge at home.

3. Success probabilities: Monterrey has the highest success probability at 56.54%, compared to 17.8% for Atlas. This prediction is supported by the fact that the probability of the match ending in a draw or Monterrey win is 82.2%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics of these teams show a tendency towards high-scoring matches in terms of goals. Monterrey has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Atlas has scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. These numbers suggest a high probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals scored in this match.

2. In terms of average goals scored and conceded per match, they sum up to exceed 2.5 in both cases. Monterrey scores and concedes 1.2 goals per match respectively, while Atlas scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per away match. This means that one should expect an average of over 2.5 goals scored in this match.

3. The calculated probabilities for this match also show a tendency towards a high-scoring game. Specifically, the probability of scoring over 2.5 goals in the match being 50.26% (higher than for under 2.5 goals) supports the prediction of over 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. The statistics from the last matches show that both teams tend to score and concede goals. Monterrey has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 in 5 home matches, while Atlas has scored 5 goals and conceded 7 in 5 away matches.

2. The analysis of the offensive and defensive potential shows that both teams have a relatively high potential to score and concede goals. Monterrey has a 43% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential at home. Atlas has a 29% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential away.

3. Both teams have scored in their respective last matches. The last 5 home matches of Monterrey have resulted in 4 matches with goals on both sides. Similarly, for Atlas away, 3 of their last 5 matches have seen goals on both sides.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Over 1.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Monterrey 1-1 Atlas

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are similar: Monterrey scores and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Atlas scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 1.2 goals away. This suggests a balanced match that could end in a draw.
2. The recent results of both teams point towards low scores and draws: In their last 5 home matches, Monterrey has drawn twice, and on the Atlas side, there has been 1 draw in their last 5 away matches.
3. The odds indicate a higher probability of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, the probabilities of a draw or each team scoring are quite high, supporting the potential for a 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Monterrey has a mixed record at home with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. The team averages 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match. Despite a 43% offensive and defensive potential, Monterrey has defeated strong teams like Tigres UANL and FC Juarez.

On the other hand, Atlas struggles away from home with only 1 win in 5 matches, along with 1 draw and 3 losses. The team scores fewer goals (0.8 per match) and concedes more (1.2 per match). Their 3-2 victory against Guadalajara stands out, though.

Based on the probabilities, Monterrey is the favorite with a 56.54% chance of winning (1.68). A draw is possible at 25.65% (3.75), as well as an Atlas victory, less likely but possible at 17.8% (5.00).

In terms of goals, there is a 75.39% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match (1.30). Furthermore, there is a 52.36% probability (1.90) that both teams will score during the game.

In summary, Monterrey seems better equipped to win this match, but a close game with a moderate number of goals seems likely.

The potential number of goals

Monterrey shows home solidity with a victory in 40% of recent cases. However, they have an average offensive and defensive record of 1.2 goals per match. They win their matches with a probability of 56.54%.

On the other hand, Atlas struggles away from home. They only win 20% of the time and score fewer goals with an average of 0.8 per match. Their probability of winning is only 17.8%.

Statistically, it is more likely that Monterrey will win the match or it will end in a draw (82.2%).

The probabilities also suggest a match with over 1.5 goals (75.39%). Less than 3.5 goals seem very likely at 77.49%.

Recent performances of both teams suggest both teams will score (52.36%).

Based on these statistics, the forecast favors Monterrey.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, based on recent statistics, team performances, and calculated probabilities, our prediction favors Monterrey to win the match with a success probability of 56.54%. However, the outcome is not guaranteed, and a draw or an Atlas victory are still possible.

In terms of goal numbers, over 1.5 goals are highly likely with a probability of 75.39%. Both teams also tend to score and concede goals, so the hypothesis of both teams scoring has a favorable probability of 52.36%.

It is important to remember that sports betting involves uncertainty and chance, and despite analysis and calculated probabilities, the final result can still hold surprises. It is therefore advised to bet responsibly.