Tipps Monterrey Club Queretaro Liga MX 21/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Monterrey wins the match

1. Monterrey has a higher probability of winning the match at 66.14% compared to Queretaro at 16.93%, despite their poor recent home record.
2. Monterrey has a defensive potential of 50% at home, compared to Queretaro’s defensive potential away which is 64%. This suggests that Monterrey could concede fewer goals.
3. Queretaro tends to concede more goals on average when playing away (1.8 goals per match) compared to Monterrey who concedes fewer goals on average when playing at home (1.4 goals per match).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Based on their respective last 5 matches, Monterrey and Queretaro both have an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. This is a relatively low average, which could suggest a low-scoring game.

2. In their last 5 home matches, Monterrey has only conceded 5 goals and scored 8 goals, while Queretaro has scored 7 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away matches. These statistics indicate that both teams tend to play low-scoring games.

3. Looking at the bookmakers’ odds, under 2.5 goals in the match have odds of 2.05, suggesting that the bookmakers also expect a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have a strong offensive potential, with Monterrey scoring 5 goals at home in their last 5 matches and Queretaro scoring 7 goals away in their last 5 matches, showing that both teams are capable of scoring goals.

2. Both teams also have a weak defensive potential, conceding 8 and 9 goals respectively in their last 5 matches, increasing the chances of each team conceding a goal in their encounter.

3. The probability percentage for both teams to score is 52.91%, higher than the probability of them not scoring (47.09%). This indicates that the statistics suggest a high probability of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Monterrey 1-1 Queretaro

1. Match History: Several of Monterrey’s recent home matches and Querétaro’s away matches have ended in a draw or with a close score. Considering their recent performances, a 1-1 draw seems like a plausible outcome.

2. Goal Average: Each team scores and concedes roughly the same number of goals per match (0.8 and 1.4 for Monterrey, 0.8 and 1.8 for Querétaro). A 1-1 score is not only plausible based on previous matches, but also supported by these statistics.

3. Success Probabilities: Despite Monterrey having a higher probability of winning the match, the percentage for a draw is not negligible. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is estimated at around 53%, making a 1-1 score prediction realistic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Monterrey is struggling at home, with no wins in the last 5 matches and a higher average of goals conceded than goals scored. Their offensive potential is low at 29%.

Queretaro shows better performance away from home, winning 40% of matches but conceding an average of 1.8 goals, giving them a defensive potential of 64%.

The probabilities suggest Monterrey has a 66.14% chance of winning, despite recent poor home form. A draw or Monterrey win has a probability of 83.07%.

There is a 79.37% chance the match will see over 1.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is 52.91%.

Considering recent performances, a bet on Monterrey to win or a draw with over 1.5 goals seems like a prudent choice.

The potential number of goals

Monterrey has not won any of their last 5 home matches, with a 60% draw rate. During this period, they have scored 5 goals and conceded 8, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match. Their offensive and defensive performance stands at 29% and 50% respectively.

On the other hand, Queretaro has won 40% of their last 5 away matches, with a 20% draw rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match. Their offensive and defensive performance is at 29% and 64% respectively.

Based on the probabilities, Monterrey is more likely to win the match with a success rate of 66.14%, followed by a draw and Queretaro’s victory, both with a 16.93% probability.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a higher probability of 79.37% for over 1.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals in the match have odds of 2.05, while over 2.5 goals have a success probability of 56.61%. As for both teams scoring, there is a 52.91% chance for a yes and 47.09% for a no.

Combining all this information, we can expect a close match, with Monterrey having a higher likelihood of winning, but not without goals from Queretaro.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Liga MX match between Monterrey and Queretaro promises to be full of suspense. With Monterrey having a strong probability of winning despite their recent poor home performance, and Queretaro showing better form away, the match could swing in several ways. However, statistical analysis suggests it will be a low-scoring game, with a strong likelihood of both teams scoring. For bettors, the wisest prediction might be to bet on Monterrey to win or a draw, with under 2.5 goals in the match and both teams to score. Yet, the most intriguing betting value seems to be on a draw, offering a potentially high return on investment.