Tipps Monterrey Mazatlán Liga MX 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Monterrey wins the match.

1. Monterrey has a good home record, even though wins are not frequent, they manage to secure draws in 60% of the cases, showing that they are hard to beat on their turf.
2. Monterrey’s offensive potential at home is higher than that of Mazatlán away, with 57% and 50% respectively. Monterrey, therefore, has a higher probability of scoring goals.
3. The calculated probability of Monterrey winning is significantly higher (72.77%) compared to that of Mazatlán (9.42%), indicating that the statistics clearly favor Monterrey for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics for Monterrey at home and Mazatlán away suggest they have a significant offensive potential, averaging 1.6 goals and 1.4 goals per match respectively.
2. The defense of both teams also leaves something to be desired, with Monterrey conceding an average of 1.2 goals at home and Mazatlán conceding 1.0 goal away, indicating the possibility of multiple goals in the match.
3. The odds also indicate a 58.64% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, suggesting that bookmakers are anticipating a high-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Recent goal statistics: In their last 5 matches, Monterrey has scored 4 goals while Mazatlán has scored 7 goals, showing that both teams have recent scoring ability.

2. Average goals per match: At home, Monterrey averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, while away, Mazatlán averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. Once again, these statistics demonstrate that both teams have the potential to score goals in this match.

3. Defensive weakness: Monterrey has conceded 8 goals in 5 home matches, indicating a certain defensive weakness. Similarly, Mazatlán has conceded 7 goals in 5 away matches, also suggesting a probable defensive vulnerability.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – Odds: 4.33

Bet on the exact result

Monterrey 1-1 Mazatlán

1. Recent home match history of Monterrey and away match history of Mazatlán: Monterrey has a solid draw history (60% in 5 home matches) while Mazatlán also has a strong draw history (40% in 5 away matches), reinforcing the likelihood of a draw.

2. Goal performances: The average goals scored by Monterrey at home and Mazatlán away are 1.6 and 1.4 per match respectively. This suggests that both teams can score in this match, leading to a possible 1-1 scoreline. Furthermore, the 50.79% both teams to score rate strengthens this argument.

3. Betting probabilities: The draw bet has a success probability of 17.8%. Combined with the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match being 79.58%, the prediction of a 1-1 score seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

At home, Monterrey’s form is mixed, winning in 20% of cases and drawing in 60% of cases. They have scored a rather low 4 goals but have conceded 8 goals. Their offensive potential is 57% and defensive potential is 43%.

When away, Mazatlán wins 40% of the time and gets a draw 40% of the time as well. They have scored as many goals as they have conceded, which is 7 goals. Their offensive potential is 50% and defensive potential is 36%.

Based on these data, Monterrey has a 72.77% chance of winning and the match has a 79.58% chance of having over 1.5 goals.

The probability of both teams scoring is very balanced, at 50.79%.

Monterrey’s last 5 home matches offer a varied picture with a significant win against Queretaro, but a disappointing loss against Cruz Azul. Mazatlán away has had success, notably against DC United and Nashville SC.

A prediction based on these statistics and recent performances could be that Monterrey is more likely to win with over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

The Monterrey – Mazatlán match could reveal some surprises. Monterrey has only won one out of five matches at home, with a leaky defense that has conceded eight goals. On the other hand, Mazatlán wins 40% of their away matches and has a balanced record, with seven goals scored and seven conceded.

Mazatlán appears stronger defensively, conceding one goal per match. Monterrey has a higher offensive potential (57%) but is more vulnerable in defense (43%).

The probability of Monterrey winning seems dominant at 72.77% compared to 9.42% for Mazatlán. A draw is unlikely (17.8%).

Predicting the number of goals could be interesting. Over 1.5 goals in the match has a probability of 79.58%. Under 3.5 goals seems likely with odds of 1.44, suggesting a relatively closed match.

Regarding both teams, they have an almost equal probability of scoring (50.79%) or not scoring (49.21%), indicating a closely contested match.

The recent home matches of Monterrey and away matches of Mazatlán have shown close scores, often with just one goal difference. A tight match could be on the cards.

In conclusion, Monterrey seems to have the edge, but the match could be closer than the odds suggest, especially given Mazatlán’s strong defensive performances away from home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, statistical analysis, recent team performance, and current form suggest a victory for the local team Monterrey, although a draw seems to offer an interesting value bet. The match is expected to be lively with a high probability of seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. The most likely outcome is considered to be a 1-1 score. However, it is crucial to keep in mind that uncertainty is a factor not to be overlooked in sports betting. Therefore, these predictions should be approached with caution.