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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Monterrey Toluca
Tipps Monterrey Toluca Liga MX 01/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
My prediction for this match is “Draw or Monterrey wins the match”.
1. Translate directly into English: “1. Performance in recent matches: Monterrey has a better home performance with 80% of matches not lost (20% wins and 60% draws). Toluca has a win rate of only 20% away, giving Monterrey an advantage.”
2. Translate directly into English: “2. Offensive and defensive potential: Monterrey has a balanced offensive and defensive potential at 50% each. Toluca has a higher offensive potential at 71%, but their defensive potential is the same as Monterrey’s, which could result in more goals conceded.”
3. Translate directly into English: “3. Provided probabilities: The forecast ‘Draw or Monterrey wins the match’ has a success probability of 66.84% according to the odds, which is higher than other possible scenarios. This seems to indicate that Monterrey has a good chance of winning or drawing.”
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”
1. Recent statistics show a strong offensive trend from Toluca away from home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match. This offensive capability could help increase the total number of goals in the match.
2. Monterrey tends to be defensively vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. This weakness could be exploited by Toluca’s attack, leading to a total of over 2.5 goals.
3. Taking into consideration the probabilities for different match outcomes and the number of goals scored, the forecast of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success rate of 59.07%. Furthermore, this forecast is supported by the recent scores of both teams, which have often resulted in a total of goals exceeding 2.5 per match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. The previous match statistics show that both teams have a good ability to score goals against their respective opponents. Monterrey has scored in 60% of their last 5 home matches, while Toluca has scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches.
2. The statistics also suggest that both teams have a weak defensive potential. Monterrey has conceded goals in 80% of their last 5 home matches, while Toluca has conceded goals in 100% of their last 5 away matches.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is higher (63.73%) compared to the probability of both teams not scoring (36.27%). This is a strong indication that the match could see goals from both sides.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw – 3.60
1. The first argument for a draw bet is based on recent statistics, specifically Monterrey’s home record. These results show that Monterrey has drawn in 60% of cases, indicating a strong trend towards balance in their home matches.
2. On the other hand, Toluca tends to draw in 40% of their away matches and, despite having a superior offensive efficiency, they also concede many goals, often leading to balanced games.
3. The third argument stems from evaluating the match result probabilities against the odds offered. The ‘draw’ option has odds of 3.60 with a calculated probability of 24.35%. Therefore, this bet has value based on the odds/probability ratio, suggesting a higher potential return compared to other possible outcomes.
Bet on the exact result
Monterrey 1-1 Toluca.
1. Monterrey has a 60% draw rate at home, which is quite high and corresponds to a 1-1 scoreline, which is a common result in a draw scenario.
2. The offensive and defensive performances of Monterrey and Toluca are consistent with a 1-1 scoreline. Monterrey has scored an average of 1.4 goals per home match and conceded 1.4 as well, while Toluca has scored an average of 2 goals and conceded 1.4 in their away matches.
3. The recent home games of Monterrey and away games of Toluca have shown a trend towards close scores, including several 1-1 results, further supporting the likelihood of such a prediction for the upcoming match.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Monterrey at home shows a low win rate of 20%. However, 60% of their matches end in a draw. The given scores are rather low: 3 goals scored, 4 goals conceded.
Toluca, on the other hand, has won and lost also at 20%. Their draws stand at 40% with 7 goals scored but 12 conceded. There is work to be done in defense.
On average, Monterrey scores and concedes 1.4 goals per match at home. The offensive and defensive potential is average, at 50%.
Toluca is more offensive, with an average of 2 goals scored per match. Their defense remains the same as Monterrey, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
Prediction? Monterrey’s win probability is at 42.49%, with odds at 2.05. Toluca is at 33.16% and their odds are at 3.40. The draw prediction is at 24.35% with odds at 3.60.
Good news for goal fans, the match is expected to see plenty of shots. Over 1.5 goals in the match have a probability of 83.42%.
Finally, regarding both teams scoring, the probability is 63.73%. A game to watch for goal enthusiasts.
The potential number of goals
Monterrey, at home, has an average performance with a 20% win rate and an average of 1.4 goals scored. On the other hand, Toluca, away, has scored 7 goals in 5 matches, indicating an interesting offensive potential.
Furthermore, Monterrey has conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home matches while Toluca has conceded 12 away. This shows that both teams have defensive issues.
The probability of Monterrey winning the match is 42.49% with odds of 2.05, while the probability of Toluca winning is 33.16% with odds of 3.40.
The probabilities of having over 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match are 83.42% and 59.07% respectively. This is due to Toluca’s offensive capability and Monterrey’s defensive vulnerability.
In Monterrey’s last five home matches, three ended with both teams scoring: this represents a 63.73% success probability.
Given these statistics and both teams’ past performances, it is quite likely to have a match with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring. Additionally, even though Toluca appears more offensive, Monterrey has a higher chance of winning at home according to the statistics.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, although Toluca’s team has demonstrated an impressive offense in their away games, Monterrey seems to have the advantage of playing at home for this match. Monterrey’s recent statistics, including their rate of unbeaten home matches, suggest that they have a good chance of at least securing a draw, if not winning the match. Additionally, Monterrey’s defensive weakness, as well as Toluca’s offense, indicate that there will likely be more than 2.5 goals in this match. Furthermore, statistics also suggest that it is likely that both teams will score in this match. Finally, with odds of 3.60 corresponding to a probability of 24.35%, betting on a draw seems to be an interesting “value bet.”
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Monterrey against Toluca on 01/09/2024
1. Translate directly into English: “1. Performance in recent matches: Monterrey has a better home performance with 80% of matches not lost (20% wins and 60% draws). Toluca has a win rate of only 20% away, giving Monterrey an advantage.”
2. Translate directly into English: “2. Offensive and defensive potential: Monterrey has a balanced offensive and defensive potential at 50% each. Toluca has a higher offensive potential at 71%, but their defensive potential is the same as Monterrey’s, which could result in more goals conceded.”
3. Translate directly into English: “3. Provided probabilities: The forecast ‘Draw or Monterrey wins the match’ has a success probability of 66.84% according to the odds, which is higher than other possible scenarios. This seems to indicate that Monterrey has a good chance of winning or drawing.”
Live Match: Get all the details about the Monterrey vs Toluca match!
To not miss anything from the Monterrey vs Toluca match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 01/09/2024 in the Liga MX live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Monterrey vs Toluca
Lineups Monterrey
Lineups Toluca
Match Highlights Monterrey vs Toluca on 01/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Monterrey vs Toluca match on 01/09/2024 at Estadio BBVA stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Monterrey and Toluca
All statistics for the match between Monterrey and Toluca will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Monterrey against Toluca!
Form state of Monterrey in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Monterrey has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Monterrey has a form rating of %.
Form state of Toluca in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Toluca has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Toluca has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Monterrey against Toluca!
Average goals scored by Monterrey in the current season.
Goals scored by Monterrey in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Monterrey
Monterrey has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Monterrey in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Monterrey
Monterrey has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Toluca in the current season
Goals scored by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Toluca
Toluca has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Toluca
Toluca has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Monterrey and Toluca, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Monterrey vs Toluca: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Recent statistics show a strong offensive trend from Toluca away from home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match. This offensive capability could help increase the total number of goals in the match.
2. Monterrey tends to be defensively vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. This weakness could be exploited by Toluca’s attack, leading to a total of over 2.5 goals.
3. Taking into consideration the probabilities for different match outcomes and the number of goals scored, the forecast of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success rate of 59.07%. Furthermore, this forecast is supported by the recent scores of both teams, which have often resulted in a total of goals exceeding 2.5 per match.
Forecast results from winflix for Monterrey and Toluca!
The last 5 winning predictions für Monterrey
The last 5 winning predictions für Toluca
How do I find the best forecast for Monterrey Toluca?
Finding a forecast for the Monterrey Toluca match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Monterrey Toluca on 01/09/2024 in Estadio BBVA are the team's past performance in the Liga MX, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Monterrey at home and Toluca away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 01/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Monterrey and Toluca on 01/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga MX, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Monterrey and Toluca, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Monterrey and the away win rate of Toluca, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 01/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Monterrey and Toluca can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 01/09/2024 at Estadio BBVA.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Monterrey and Toluca, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Monterrey or Toluca on 01/09/2024.
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