Tipps Montreal Impact Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer 30/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Philadelphia Union wins the match.

1. Performance of Philadelphia Union: Despite Philadelphia Union only having a 20% away win percentage, their ability to draw with opponents at a rate of 40% demonstrates their resilience. Additionally, they have managed to score as many goals as they have conceded, showing a certain level of determination.

2. Offensive and defensive potential of Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union has slightly higher offensive and defensive potential compared to Montreal Impact (64% to 63% in offensive potential, and 79% to 71% in defensive potential). This may indicate better consistency and the ability to create scoring opportunities while effectively managing defense.

3. Betting statistics favor Philadelphia Union: With a 42.7% probability of a Philadelphia Union win compared to 40.45% for a Montreal Impact win according to bookmakers, the odds slightly favor Philadelphia Union.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive and defensive trends of both teams are strong, with an offensive potential of 64% for both and a defensive potential of 71% for Montreal and 79% for Philadelphia. This means that both teams have shown they can score and concede goals regularly.
2. The recent statistics of both teams show that they have a combined average score of 3.8 goals per game (Montreal with an average of 1.8 goals per game and Philadelphia with an average of 2 goals per game). This figure is significantly higher than 2.5 goals, which reinforces the prognosis.
3. Philadelphia’s recent away results show a pattern of high-scoring matches, with two of their last five matches having at least 7 goals. There is a good chance they will once again contribute to a high-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Offensive performance for both teams: Both teams have shown strong offensive performances in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match, resulting in a total of 7 goals for Montreal Impact and 8 for Philadelphia Union.

2. Lack of solid defenses: Both teams have conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 matches. Montreal Impact has conceded 9 goals, while Philadelphia Union has conceded 8.

3. Recent match results: Recent matches indicate that both teams have been able to score frequently, with only a few exceptions where they failed to score. They have a high likelihood of scoring in their upcoming matchups.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Montreal Impact 1-2 Philadelphia Union

1. The recent away performance of Philadelphia Union has been better than Montreal Impact’s home performance. Philadelphia Union has scored 8 goals and conceded the same number in their last 5 away matches, while Montreal Impact has scored 7 goals and conceded 9 in their last 5 home matches.

2. Over the last five matches, the offensive and defensive potential of both teams is similar, with Philadelphia Union slightly superior in terms of defensive performances (79% compared to 71% for Montreal). This statistic suggests that Philadelphia Union could be capable of scoring more goals against Montreal Impact in this encounter.

3. The odds also indicate that Philadelphia Union has a slightly better chance of winning the match with a probability of 42.7% compared to 40.45% for Montreal Impact. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring during the match is 64.04%, which supports the predicted score of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

On the Montreal Impact’s field, the results are shaky with only one win in the last 5 home matches. Their opponents have managed to score 9 goals while the Impact has scored 7 times. On the other hand, Philadelphia Union hasn’t shined either in their away games with only one victory in the last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding the same.

Comparing their average goals scored/conceded, both the Impact and the Union have the same offensive power with 1.8 goals per match, but the Union defends less effectively with an average of 2.2 goals conceded compared to 2 for Montreal Impact.

According to the probabilities, it seems that this match is evenly poised, with a 40.45% chance of Montreal winning against 42.7% for a Philadelphia Union victory. A draw is also possible but less likely (16.85%).

We can expect a match with at least 1.5 goals (probability of 84.27%) and probably more than 2.5 goals (64.04%). Both teams also seem capable of scoring during the match (64.04%).

Based on these numbers and the history of both teams, an intense and closely contested match seems to be on the horizon with a slight advantage for Philadelphia Union but surprises are entirely possible.

The potential number of goals

Montreal Impact, in their home matches, have a low win rate of 20% with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. They also concede an average of 2 goals per match. Their offensive potential is 64% and their defensive potential is 71%.

Philadelphia Union, when playing away, show similar performances. They also win in 20% of cases, with the same average of 1.8 goals scored. However, they concede more goals, averaging 2.2 per match. Their offensive potential is 64%, but their defensive potential is 79%.

The prediction favors Philadelphia Union slightly with a success probability of 42.7%. A draw is unlikely with only a 16.85% chance.

The match could see plenty of goals. In fact, there is an 84.27% probability of having more than 1.5 goals. Similarly, both teams have a 64.04% chance each of scoring at least 1 goal during the match.

In summary, this match could provide good betting opportunities, especially on the number of goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the match between Montreal Impact and Philadelphia Union looks to be a close one. The information presented suggests that both teams have relatively equal chances of scoring at least one goal. However, Philadelphia Union seems slightly favored in this encounter, particularly due to their recent form and offensive and defensive potential.

Furthermore, given the offensive potential of both teams, this match could be high-scoring, providing interesting opportunities for “Over/Under” bets. Additionally, a “BTTS” (Both Teams To Score) bet seems predictable considering the recent offensive performances of both teams.

Despite Philadelphia Union’s slight advantage, a bet on a draw is considered a value bet due to its high odds, making it potentially very profitable despite the risk involved.

Finally, the bold prediction of a 1-2 score in favor of Philadelphia Union is a daring bet. However, given the recent performances of both teams, this outcome could materialize.

In conclusion, the safest play here would be to bet on over 2.5 goals in this match and/or both teams to score. Nevertheless, bettors are encouraged to place their wagers based on their own analysis and risk tolerance.