Tipps Nõmme United Trans Narva Meistriliiga 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Trans Narva wins the match.

1. Trans Narva has a better performance away from home in their last 5 matches, with 40% wins and 40% draws, compared to Nõmme United who has only 20% home wins.
2. The offensive potential of Trans Narva is significantly higher than that of Nõmme United (71% vs. 36%). This is confirmed by the average goals scored per match, as Trans Narva scores an average of 2 goals per away match compared to just 1 for Nõmme United at home.
3. The defensive potential of Trans Narva is also superior to that of Nõmme United. Indeed, Trans Narva concedes on average only one goal per away match while Nõmme United concedes almost 3 at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Score History: The score history suggests that both teams have a high average of goals in their recent matches, whether at home or away. For Nõmme United at home, recent scores include 2-2, 1-1, 0-1, 9-0, and 0-4. On the other hand, Trans Narva’s away scores include 0-1, 3-1, 0-0, 2-2, and 1-4. These results indicate that there have been more than 2.5 goals in most matches.

2. Offensive and Defensive Statistics: Nõmme United has shown a relatively strong attack but a weak defense at home, with an average of 1 goal scored per match and 2.8 goals conceded. Similarly, Trans Narva demonstrates a strong attack and a moderate defense away, with an average of 2 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded. Such performances suggest many possible goals.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Nõmme United’s offensive potential at home is at 36%, while their defenses are weak at 100%. For Trans Narva away, their offensive potential is strong at 71%, while their defenses are relatively weaker at 36%. This gives us a good indication that there is likely to be more than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have a strong offensive performance: Nõmme United has scored at least 1 goal in each of their last 5 home matches, and Trans Narva has averaged 2 goals per match in their last 5 away matches.

2. The defenses of both teams have shown signs of weakness: Nõmme United has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per home match, while Trans Narva has conceded 1 goal on average in their last 5 away matches.

3. The history of clashes between these two teams shows that they score goals in most of their matches. The last five home matches of Nõmme United have seen a total of 12 goals scored (an average of 2.4 goals per match), while the last five away trips of Trans Narva have produced a total of 8 goals scored (an average of 1.6 goals per match).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Trans Narva wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Nõmme United 1-2 Trans Narva

1. The recent home performance of Nõmme United shows that they tend to score one goal per game on average and concede much more. Therefore, Nõmme United scoring 1 goal can be justified by this trend.
2. On its recent away games, Trans Narva scores an average of 2 goals per match. This statistic justifies the prediction of 2 goals in favor of Trans Narva.
3. Nõmme United’s defensive performance is currently very weak with a 100% rate, suggesting they are likely to concede goals. Similarly, with a 71% offensive potential for Trans Narva, it is highly probable that they will be able to score at least two goals.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their last 5 home matches, Nõmme United has had a mixed performance, with only 1 win and 2 draws. They have scored 12 goals but conceded 16, which is a concerning aspect.

As for Trans Narva, in their last 5 away outings, they have won 2 matches and drawn 2 others. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, showing a fairly stable performance.

Nõmme United has a home offensive potential of only 36%, averaging 1 goal per match. Defensively, they are under pressure, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match.

Trans Narva boasts an away offensive potential of 71%, averaging 2 goals per match. Their defensive performance is reasonable, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

The probabilities of a win, draw, or over 1.5 goals in the match are all undetermined. It’s a match with an uncertain outcome.

However, two indicators suggest a low-scoring match: under 3.5 goals and under 4.5 goals both have a 100% probability of success. Furthermore, it’s highly likely that both teams will not score in this match.

In conclusion, this implies that Trans Narva may have a slight advantage, considering their away performance compared to Nõmme United’s home performance. However, the match could be low-scoring.

The potential number of goals

Nõmme United has had a poor home performance recently, with only a 20% win rate. Their defense is lacking, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match.
On the other hand, Trans Narva has been stronger away from home, winning 40% of their recent matches. They have a solid offensive rate at 71% with two goals per match and a sturdy defense.
Based on these data, Trans Narva seems to have a slight edge for this match. However, Nõmme United has previously surprised by scoring 9 goals in a single match.
The probability of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals or fewer than 4.5 goals in the match is high at 100%. This could be due to the recent performances of both teams.
Both teams are unlikely to score, as Nõmme United’s scoring record is often low and Trans Narva’s defense is solid.
In conclusion, it appears that Trans Narva is the favorite in this match with a likely score of under 4.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on a detailed analysis of the recent performances of both teams, we recommend betting on a victory for Trans Narva. Their superior offensive and defensive performances away from home, combined with Nõmme United’s weakness at home, justify this prediction. We also anticipate a total number of goals over 2.5, reflecting Trans Narva’s strong offensive potential and Nõmme United’s leaky defense. However, as both teams tend to score in most of their matches, a bet on both teams to score could also be considered. For a value bet, a victory for Trans Narva seems like an attractive option. Finally, the most likely exact score appears to be a 2-1 win for Trans Narva. Nevertheless, football is unpredictable and despite these analyses, anything can happen during the match. Good luck with your bets!