Tipps Nõmme United Vaprus Meistriliiga 19/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and data provided, it is difficult to predict a winner. However, considering the recent performances of both teams, Vaprus has slightly better chances despite their mixed results away from home. Therefore, my prediction would be “Vaprus to win the match”. However, considering Nõmme United’s high draw rate at home, another possibility would be “Draw or Vaprus to win the match”.

1. Vaprus has a slightly better performance than Nõmme United in terms of goals scored and conceded. Vaprus scores an average of 1.2 goals per match and concedes an average of 2.6 goals per match, while Nõmme United scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and concedes an average of 4.4 goals per match. So, even though Vaprus is playing away, they have both an offensive and defensive advantage.

2. In the last 5 home matches of Nõmme United, they have not won any match and have drawn in 60% of the cases. This shows their poor performance at home, which favors Vaprus despite their away performance.

3. The high draw rate of Nõmme United at home could also play into Vaprus’ favor. Since Nõmme United has had a draw in 60% of the cases, there is a probability that Vaprus will not lose the match, justifying the prediction of “Draw or Vaprus to win the match”.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Nõmme United has shown weak offensive performance at home with an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 matches, while Vaprus has an average of 1.2 goals per match away.
2. Both teams have strong defense capabilities: Nõmme United concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match at home, while Vaprus concedes an average of 0.4 goals per match away in their respective last 5 matches.
3. Looking at the last 10 matches of each team, scores have rarely exceeded 2.5 goals, with many matches ending in either 0-1 or 1-1.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No.

1. Recent home statistics of Nõmme United show a lack of offensive strength with only 3 goals scored in their last 5 matches, including none in their last two games. This low offensive potential (21%) suggests that they will struggle to score against Vaprus.

2. On the other hand, Vaprus has only scored 2 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating a similarly limited scoring ability, especially considering their below-average offensive potential of 43%.

3. Lastly, the statistic that in Nõmme United’s last 5 home matches, the total goals never exceeded 4.5, with a 100% success probability for “Under 4.5 goals in the match,” strengthens the prediction that both teams will struggle to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams do not score

Bet on the exact result

Nõmme United 1-1 Vaprus.

1. Historical score trends: In Nõmme United’s last five home matches, the team has drawn twice with a score of 1-1, highlighting their tendency to reach this score at home.

2. Defensive performance of both teams: Vaprus has conceded two goals in five away matches, averaging 0.4 goals per match. Nõmme United has scored 3 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 0.6 goals per match, suggesting the possibility that they may score a goal against Vaprus.

3. Vaprus’ weak offensive performance away: Vaprus has only scored 2 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 0.4 goals per match, which could indicate a difficulty in scoring more than one goal in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nõmme United is struggling at home, without a win in their last 5 matches but with draws in 60% of cases. Vaprus, on the other hand, has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.

Nõmme United has scored a total of 3 goals in their recent home matches, conceding 4, averaging 0.6 goals scored per match against 4.4 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is estimated at 21% while their defensive potential is at 157%.

Vaprus isn’t in top form either, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per away match and conceding 2.6 goals, with an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 93%.

Regarding the likelihood of a Nõmme United win, a Vaprus win, or a draw, no success probabilities were provided. The same goes for bets on the number of goals scored in the match.

However, the match seems to indicate that there will likely be less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals in total, according to the 100% success probabilities. Additionally, there is a 100% probability that at most one team will score a goal.

Recent performances of Nõmme United at home show a struggle to win or even score, with results like 0 – 4 against Flora Tallinn and Trans Narva. Vaprus also faces difficulties away, suffering defeats against the same team Flora Tallinn with scores of 3 – 0 and FC Levadia Tallinn with 3 – 1.

In conclusion, statistics suggest this match may have a small number of goals and it’s unlikely that both teams will score.

The potential number of goals

Nõmme United struggles at home. In their last 5 matches, they haven’t won any. They have scored only 3 goals and conceded 4. Their offensive potential is weak at 21%, while their defense is stronger at 157%.

On the Vaprus side, they have one win in their last 5 away matches. Not impressive, but better than Nõmme. Their offensive potential is 43%, higher than Nõmme. The defense, at 93%, remains concerning.

Both Nõmme and Vaprus are struggling to score. The match is likely to be tight. There is a 100% chance of having less than 3.5 goals in the match, maybe even fewer than 4.5 goals.

Predicting the winner is impossible, the data doesn’t allow it. However, one thing is certain, there is a 100% chance that both teams won’t score.

In conclusion, the Nõmme United vs Vaprus match on October 19, 2024, in the Meistriliiga is likely to be defensive with few goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

By analyzing the recent performances and statistics of Nõmme United and Vaprus, two clear trends stand out. Firstly, both teams struggle to score goals, and secondly, they both have a strong tendency to play defensively. Therefore, the match between Nõmme United and Vaprus on October 19, 2024 in the Meistriliiga is likely to be dominated by defense, with a very high probability of fewer than 3.5 goals scored or even fewer than 4.5 goals.

Nõmme United, despite having the home advantage, struggles to score and win matches, which gives more weight to a potential Vaprus win or a draw. However, it is important to note that Vaprus’ away performances have not been significantly more successful, so a draw is also a perfectly plausible outcome.

Ultimately, even though specific data to predict a clear winner is lacking, the defensive trend and the low expected number of goals offer a range of interesting betting options for this match.

It is advisable to check the odds offered by different bookmakers before making a decision, but based on the analysis, the safest bets seem to be “Under 2.5 goals”, “Both teams to score: No”, and “Draw or Vaprus wins”. The suggested value bet is “Both teams do not score”, due to the offensive weaknesses of both sides. The predicted exact score of 1-1 could also be a bold bet to consider if the odds offered are attractive.