Tipps Nacional Asuncion Cerro Porteno Division Professional Apertura 06/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Considering these data, as well as the recent and historical performance of these two teams, my prediction would be “Cerro Porteno to win the match.”

1. Recent Performance: Cerro Porteno has a superior recent performance with a 60% win rate in their last away matches compared to only 40% for Nacional Asuncion at home.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Cerro Porteno has a significantly better defensive potential than Nacional Asuncion, as they concede on average only 0.8 goals per match compared to Nacional Asuncion’s 2 goals. This means that Cerro Porteno is more capable of withstanding the attacks from the opposing team.

3. Match History: Based on Cerro Porteno’s recent away matches, there have been mostly victories, indicating a clear trend of good performances on the road.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. Both teams have shown strong offensive performances in their recent matches, with Nacional Asuncion scoring 8 goals in 5 games and Cerro Porteno scoring 11 goals in the same five matches, averaging well above 2.5 goals per game.

2. Euro Porteno has a strong tendency to be involved in high-scoring matches, as evidenced by the 12 goals conceded in its last 5 away matches.

3. Nacional Asuncion’s last five home matches have produced an average of 2.4 goals per game, demonstrating significant offensive potential, which should give us at least 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent match statistics show a high offensive output from both Nacional Asuncion and Cerro Porteno. Nacional Asuncion has scored 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Cerro Porteno has scored 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. Both Nacional Asuncion and Cerro Porteno have leaky defenses, conceding more goals than they have scored. Nacional Asuncion has conceded 10 goals in 5 home matches, while Cerro Porteno has conceded 12 goals in 5 away matches.
3. Based on historical goal-scoring averages, Nacional Asuncion averages 2.4 goals per game at home, and Cerro Porteno averages 1.8 goals per game away. These numbers strongly suggest that both teams are likely to score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Nacional Asuncion 2-2 Cerro Porteno

1. Nacional Asuncion has a steady home performance, with an 86% offensive capacity and 71% defensive capacity. Moreover, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 10 in their last 5 home matches, which strengthens the likelihood of a 2-goal score from their side.

2. Cerro Porteno has a good away performance, notably with a 64% offensive capacity and 29% defensive capacity. In their last 5 away matches, they have scored 11 goals and conceded 12, suggesting they are likely to score 2 goals.

3. Considering the previous match scores of both teams, we observe a trend of close results (e.g. Nacional Asuncion 2 – 2 Racing Montevideo and Alianza Lima 1 – 1 Cerro Porteno). This trend increases the probability of a match ending with a 2-2 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nacional Asuncion has shown a mixed performance at home, winning and drawing 40% of the time in the last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 10. On the other hand, Cerro Porteno has had a better performance away, winning 60% of the time and drawing 20% of the time. They have scored 11 goals but also conceded 12.

Nacional Asuncion has an average of 2.4 goals per home match, with an offensive potential of 86%. Their defense is not impressive with a potential of only 71%, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. In comparison, Cerro Porteno has an average of 1.8 goals per match and a stronger defense, conceding only 0.8 goals, with a defensive potential of 29%.

The forecast for the match is challenging with the absence of probability for a win, draw, or loss for each team. One thing to note is the high likelihood of fewer than 3.5 or 4.5 goals in the match, with a certainty of 100%.

Both teams have not always shined in their recent matches, so the match could be very close. However, given Cerro Porteno’s better away performance compared to Nacional Asuncion’s home performance, Cerro Porteno might have a slight advantage.

The potential number of goals

Nacional Asuncion has a mixed home record with 40% wins and 40% draws. Their attack is effective, scoring 8 goals, but their defense is weak, conceding 10 goals. Their offensive potential is high at 86%, while their defensive potential is only 71%.

On the other hand, Cerro Porteno has better away performances with 60% wins and 20% draws. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 12, indicating a potentially weak defense. Their offensive potential is less impressive at 64%, but their defensive potential is strong at 29%.

Based on their recent performance, it is likely that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored in the match – a prediction supported by a 100% success probability. Similarly, there is a strong chance that both teams will not score, with a success probability of 100%.

However, predictions based on the match winner or specific goal number were not possible, suggesting a high level of uncertainty for this match.

Recent results of Nacional Asuncion at home and Cerro Porteno away show a trend towards a competitive match with potentially high scores.

In conclusion, this match could be tight and unpredictable, with the number of goals likely to be below 3.5.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the thorough analysis of recent performances, match statistics, and the offensive and defensive potential of Nacional Asuncion and Cerro Porteno indicates that the safest bets for this match would be that Cerro Porteno will win, there will be over 2.5 goals, and both teams will score. It also seems likely that the exact final score will be 2-2. However, due to the variability and inherent uncertainty of sports betting, these predictions should always be approached with caution. While considering the analyses provided, bettors are encouraged to take into account a range of other factors and use their own judgment before making a betting decision.