Tipps Nacional Asuncion Libertad Asuncion Division Professional Apertura 18/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Libertad Asuncion wins the match

1. Recent Performance: Libertad Asuncion has a higher winning rate than Nacional Asuncion in their respective last 5 matches (60% compared to 20%). Libertad Asuncion also has a greater ability to score goals, with 7 goals scored compared to just 4 for Nacional Asuncion.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Libertad Asuncion has a higher average of goals scored per match (1.4) and a higher offensive potential (50%) than Nacional Asuncion. Furthermore, Libertad Asuncion has a higher defensive potential, conceding on average only 0.6 goals per match compared to Nacional Asuncion’s 2.

3. Previous Away Results: Libertad Asuncion has won the majority of their away matches, indicating that they are capable of performing well and winning even in challenging conditions. This trend is encouraged by their recent victory against Club Nacional and General Caballero team.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Nacional Asuncion’s home statistics show a low offensive potential with an average of 1 goal per match and an offensive efficiency of 36%. Additionally, Nacional Asuncion has only scored 4 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating a struggle to score many goals.

2. Libertad Asuncion’s defensive performances are rather good, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per away match, which limits the goal-scoring potential of Nacional Asuncion.

3. Recent matches involving Nacional Asuncion and Libertad Asuncion have rarely seen a total of over 2.5 goals. Therefore, based on current statistics, there is a strong likelihood that this match will follow this trend.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Nacional Asuncion appears to have a solid defense at home, conceding an average of only 2 goals per match, which could indicate that they might be able to avoid conceding a goal to Libertad Asuncion.

2. Statistics show a potential offensive weakness for Nacional Asuncion. They have only scored 4 goals in total in their last 5 home matches. Facing the efficient defense of Libertad Asuncion, who have conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per match away, could further limit their chances of scoring.

3. Overall statistics show that the offensive potential of Nacional Asuncion is only 36%, while Libertad Asuncion, although higher, is 50%. This relatively low offensive potential of both teams suggests a low number of goals, making a scenario where both teams do not score likely.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Libertad Asuncion wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Libertad Asuncion.

1. Nacional Asuncion, despite their mixed performances, have managed to maintain an average of 1 goal per home match. Additionally, they have drawn in 60% of their last 5 home games, indicating a ability to resist their opponent.
2. Libertad Asuncion is a stronger team in terms of winning away games, with a 60% win rate. However, their average offensive contribution of 1.4 goals per game coupled with a defensive potential of 21% suggests that they are likely not to score more than one goal against Nacional Asuncion.
3. By analyzing Nacional Asuncion’s recent home matches and Libertad Asuncion’s away matches, there seems to be a trend towards a total number of goals around 2, making the predicted score of 1-1 plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nacional Asuncion has had a mixed home form with only one win (20%) and 3 draws (60%) in the last 5 matches. Perfectly even in goals with 4 scored and 4 conceded.

Libertad Asuncion is in better form away from home, with 3 wins (60%) and one draw (20%). However, they have conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (7).

Offensively, Nacional Asuncion averages one goal per home match, with a scoring potential of 36%. The defense is more solid, conceding an average of 2 goals per match (71% potential).

Libertad Asuncion is more offensive away from home, scoring 1.4 goals per match (50% potential). Their defense is solid, conceding only 0.6 goals per match (21% potential).

The probabilities suggest there are no clear favorites for the match. A low number of goals is expected, with a 100% probability of seeing less than 3.5 and less than 4.5 goals.

However, it is expected that both teams will not score (100% probability).

Recent matches: Nacional Asuncion has alternated between draws and losses, with a solitary win against Atletico Nacional. Libertad Asuncion has a better record, winning three recent matches.

Based on these factors, Libertad Asuncion seems to have a slight advantage for this match.

The potential number of goals

Nacional Asuncion has only won 20% of their last home matches, with an average of one goal scored per game. Their home matches have seen an average of three goals, with Nacional conceding two goals per match. Their defensive performance at home is evident through their 71% defensive potential.

Libertad Asuncion has had strong performances in their recent away matches, winning 60% of them. Their offensive potential away from home is at 50%, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match. Furthermore, they have only conceded 0.6 goals per match away, showing a defensive potential of 21%.

Looking at past scores, Nacional Asuncion has had a series of winless home matches, including a 3-2 loss against Argentinos Juniors and a 1-1 draw against Sportivo Ameliano. Libertad Asuncion, on the other hand, has had favorable results away recently, with 2-0 wins against General Caballero and 2-1 against SOL DE America.

Analyzing the history and current performances gives an indication of the possible match outcome, however, sports betting remains uncertain and odds have not been established yet for this specific match. It seems, though, that Libertad Asuncion may have an advantage given their recent away performances. The total number of goals could potentially be less than 3.5, given Nacional’s defensive performance and goal-scoring averages.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on detailed and thorough analysis, the predictions suggest a certain advantage for Libertad Asuncion in the upcoming match against Nacional Asuncion. This conclusion is based on their higher win rate, ability to score more goals, and solid performance even in challenging conditions. It is also likely that the total number of goals will be under 2.5 given Nacional Asuncion’s limited offensive potential and Libertad Asuncion’s strong defensive performances. A possible scenario is also that both teams may not score. However, it is important to note that sports betting always involves a degree of uncertainty and risk. It is therefore recommended for bettors to consider all factors, to remain cautious, and to manage their betting capital wisely. Finally, it is essential to remember that sports betting should be seen as a form of entertainment and not as a guaranteed source of income.