Tipps Nacional Benfica B Segunda Liga 22/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Nacional wins the match.

1. Nacional has a better home performance than Benfica B away. In their last 5 matches, Nacional has won 80% of their home games, while Benfica B has only won 40% of their away games.

2. Nacional has a higher offensive potential. On average, Nacional scores 1.2 goals per home match, while Benfica B only scores 0.6 goals per away match. This gives Nacional an offensive advantage.

3. The odds are also in favor of Nacional. The forecast gives Nacional a success probability of 52.36%, the highest of the three possible outcomes (Nacional win, draw, Benfica B win).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Nacional’s home statistics over their last 5 matches show they have scored 11 goals in total, averaging more than 2 goals per game. The team also boasts a high offensive potential of 43%.

2. Benfica B’s away statistics from their last 5 matches reveal they have conceded 9 goals, averaging nearly 2 goals per game. This indicates a vulnerable defense that could allow Nacional’s attackers to score.

3. The success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is calculated at 57.59%, which is significant, demonstrating that the data and recent forms of both teams support this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Nacional’s offensive output: In their last 5 home matches, Nacional has shown a strong offensive performance, scoring 11 goals (an average of 2.2 goals per match). This ability to find the back of the net could help them score against Benfica B.

2. Benfica B’s defense: In Benfica B’s last 5 away matches, they have conceded 9 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per match). This vulnerable defense could create opportunities for Nacional to score.

3. Benfica B’s recent performances: Looking at Benfica B’s last 5 away matches, they have managed to score 6 goals (an average of 1.2 goals per match). Despite a modest offensive performance, they maintain a constant threat that could push Nacional to concede a goal in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Nacional 2-1 Benfica B.

1. The statistics from the last matches show that Nacional has a strong performance at home with a victory in 80% of cases and a total of 11 goals scored, indicating a solid offensive potential. Furthermore, Nacional’s recent home matches have often had a scoreline of 2-1, which aligns with the prediction.

2. The statistics for Benfica B indicate a defensive weakness in their away matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. This unfavorable trend for Benfica B is a favorable factor for the 2-1 prediction in favor of Nacional.

3. The probabilities indicate that Nacional has a 52.36% chance of winning the match, which is higher than the chances of a draw or a Benfica B victory. Additionally, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is high at 83.25%, in line with the predicted score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nacional has a strong home record, winning 80% of their last 5 matches with a total of 11 goals scored. However, they conceded 12 goals during this time, indicating a vulnerable home defense.

Benfica B, away from home, has a mediocre performance with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They scored 6 goals in these matches but conceded 9 goals, suggesting a weak defense.

Based on the statistics, Nacional is favored to win the match with a probability of 52.36%. The draw or Nacional win option is also significant with a probability of 80.63%.

In terms of goals, it is more likely that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 83.25%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 58.64%.

These data suggest that Nacional has an advantage in this match, and a high score is likely. However, as always in betting, caution is advised due to the unpredictable nature of football.

The potential number of goals

Nacional appears to be strong at home, with an 80% win rate. Their offensive (43%) and defensive (29%) power is also respectable. However, the numbers sometimes show a fragile defense as they have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches.

On the other hand, Benfica B has mixed results away from home, with only a 40% win rate and a less efficient attack (21%). Their defense seems to struggle, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match.

On paper, Nacional seems to have the advantage, with a 52.36% chance of winning compared to 19.37% for Benfica B. The odds offered are 1.80 and 4.00, respectively.

The probability of a draw or a Nacional win is 80.63%, offering a safe betting option at 1.18.

As for goals, a match with over 1.5 goals is highly likely, with an 83.25% chance. The odds for this are 1.25.

Finally, it seems likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 58.64% and odds of 1.70.

I recommend considering the options “Draw or Nacional win” or “over 1.5 goals” for the bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, we recommend betting in favor of Nacional based on current data. Their home performance and offensive strength make them a preferred choice for the 1X2 bet. Additionally, statistics suggest that it is highly likely that over 2.5 goals will be scored in the match, adding value to this bet. The “both teams to score” option also seems to be a safe bet considering the defensive vulnerability of both teams. As for the exact score, a 2-1 result in favor of Nacional appears to be the most promising, although any bet on the exact score carries higher risks. As always, it is important to bet responsibly and take into account the constant fluctuations in team performances.