Tipps Nagoya Grampus Albirex Niigata J1 League 18/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Nagoya Grampus wins the match.

1. Nagoya Grampus shows a strong performance at home, with a win in 40% of cases and a draw in 60% of cases in their last 5 matches. This trend indicates they are less likely to lose at home.
2. The defensive potential of Nagoya Grampus at home is higher (57%) compared to Albirex Niigata’s away defense (21%). This indicates that Nagoya Grampus is less likely to concede goals.
3. The calculated probabilities favor a draw or a win for Nagoya Grampus, with a combined probability of 69.74%, which is higher than Albirex Niigata’s win probability (30.26%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Over the last 5 home matches of Nagoya Grampus, they have scored an average of 1 goal per match and conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. This suggests that their matches are not very high-scoring.
2. As for Albirex Niigata, their away matches are also not very attack-minded with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match and only 0.6 goals conceded per match.
3. The odds also indicate a high probability (85.13%) for less than 3.5 goals in the match, suggesting that bets are leaning towards a match with fewer than 3 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Nagoya Grampus has scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches, while Albirex Niigata has also scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches. This offensive consistency from both teams suggests that they are both likely to score in their encounter.

2. Nagoya Grampus’s home offensive potential is 36%, while Albirex Niigata’s away offensive potential is 64%. These figures indicate a trend for both teams to score goals, especially for Albirex Niigata, which shows a quite high offensive performance when playing away.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 50.77%. This rate is slightly higher than the opposite probability (49.23%). These probabilities confirm that the “Both teams to score: Yes” option is a plausible betting hypothesis.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Albirex Niigata wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Albirex Niigata

1. Nagoya Grampus’s home record: Taking into account Nagoya Grampus’s last five home matches, the team has not had particularly high offensive performance but scores an average of 1 goal per match. This is generally in line with our expectations for a 1-1 scoreline.

2. Albirex Niigata’s away performance: Albirex Niigata, despite a winning performance away from home, also has a similar goal-scoring average to Nagoya Grampus. Furthermore, Niigata tends to concede goals away from home, reinforcing the idea of a potential 1-1 result.

3. Probability of a draw: The odds also suggest that the match could end in a draw, with a probability of 30.26% according to the provided odds. Considering the rates of goals scored and conceded by both teams, a 1-1 scoreline is entirely plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nagoya Grampus has shown inconsistent performance at home, with a 40% win rate and 60% draws. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches.

Albirex Niigata has displayed significant strength in their away games, winning 60% of their matches with no draws. They have scored and conceded 4 goals in their last 5 matches.

In terms of overall performance, Nagoya Grampus has an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 57%. On the other hand, Albirex stands out with an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 21%.

The probability of Nagoya Grampus winning is 39.49%. In contrast, Albirex Niigata has a 30.26% chance of winning. Statistics suggest a match with under 3.5 goals (85.13% probability).

Both teams have around a 50% chance of scoring.

Based on these factors, a reasonable prediction would be a match with under 3.5 goals where either Nagoya wins or the match ends in a draw.

The potential number of goals

Nagoya Grampus struggles at home. With 4 goals scored and 5 conceded, their defense is showing signs of weakness. Their home win rate is 40%.

On the other hand, Albirex Niigata is strong away. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 4 with a 60% win rate. They have an offensive potential of 64%, higher than Nagoya.

The probability of Nagoya Grampus winning is 39.49%. But the probability of a draw or Albirex Niigata winning is 60.51%.

The match is more likely to end with over 1.5 goals (69.23%) and under 3.5 goals (85.13%). There is close to a 50/50 chance of both teams scoring.

Previous performances of both teams support this analysis. Nagoya Grampus’ home matches often have low scores, while Albirex Niigata often wins away.

Based on this, Albirex Niigata seems to have the upper hand. But football is unpredictable, anything can happen.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

The showdown between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata promises to be interesting and full of twists. Statistics highlight Nagoya Grampus’ strong home performance, which, while not making them the favorite, suggests they are less likely to lose. The analysis also leans towards a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, and the possibility of both teams scoring, although this remains uncertain.

Another intriguing aspect to consider is Albirex Niigata’s greater attacking potential away from home, as well as their chances of securing a victory that could result in higher profitability for bettors.

Furthermore, a precise score of 1-1 between the two teams seems like a plausible bet, given their respective goal-scoring and conceding records.

Ultimately, this encounter provides numerous opportunities for bettors, from choosing the winner to the number of goals scored, as well as both teams scoring. Each bet comes with its own risks and advantages, so it’s essential for bettors to make well-informed decisions based on rigorous statistical analysis, the teams’ recent form, and other relevant factors.