Tipps Nagoya Grampus Kyoto Sanga J1 League 26/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Nagoya Grampus wins the match

1. Home Performance of Nagoya Grampus: Their home performance is superior to that of Kyoto Sanga away. Indeed, Nagoya Grampus wins 40% of their home matches and draws in 40% of cases, while Kyoto Sanga only wins 20% of their away matches and never draws.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Nagoya Grampus has better offensive and defensive potential when playing at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceding 1.2 goals. In contrast, Kyoto Sanga has a weak offensive potential, scoring only 0.6 goals on average when playing away and conceding 3.2 goals.

3. Probability Statistics: Statistics indicate that Nagoya Grampus has a success probability of 41.49% to win the match, nearly double that of Kyoto Sanga at only 21.28%. This implies that luck is on the side of Nagoya Grampus.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics show that Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga have a relatively low record of goals scored and conceded over their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 and 0.6 goals scored per match respectively.
2. Kyoto Sanga’s offensive potential is particularly weak away from home, with only 21% efficiency. Nagoya Grampus also have a defensive potential of 43%, suggesting they are capable of containing opposing attacks.
3. Previous match results between these two teams show a low number of goals scored, indicating a trend towards low-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Kyoto Sanga’s statistics show a lack of offensive strength in their away matches, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored per game. This strongly indicates that Kyoto Sanga may not score in this match.

2. Nagoya Grampus has a 43% home defensive potential, which, combined with the opponent’s offensive weakness, reinforces the idea that Kyoto Sanga may struggle to score in this match.

3. In their last 5 home matches, Nagoya Grampus remained scoreless 40% of the time, suggesting that they may also not score in this match. This makes it plausible that either team may not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 3.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kyoto Sanga

1. Nagoya Grampus has a better home performance than Kyoto Sanga on the road. In fact, Nagoya Grampus has won 40% of their last 5 home games and only lost 20%, while Kyoto Sanga has only won 20% of their away games and lost 80%. Even though Nagoya Grampus is not at their best at home, their performances are still better than Kyoto Sanga’s on the road.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams heavily favors Nagoya Grampus. While Nagoya Grampus has averaged 1.6 goals scored per home game and conceded an average of 1.2, Kyoto Sanga has a lower average of 0.6 goals scored away and concedes a high average of 3.2 goals.

3. The probabilities of the various match outcomes established by the bookmakers are more favorable for a Nagoya Grampus win or a draw than for a Kyoto Sanga win. Specifically, there is a 41.49% probability of Nagoya Grampus winning the match and a 78.72% probability of them not losing (either a draw or a win).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Let’s analyze the Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga match!

Nagoya Grampus at home is efficient, winning 40% of the time, with a goal balance of 5 scored and 5 conceded.

Kyoto Sanga, away from home, is struggling. They only win 20% of their matches, with a deficit of goals, scoring only 4 and conceding 5.

Nagoya’s offensive potential at home is 57%, while their defense is slightly weaker at 43%. On the other hand, Kyoto has a low away offensive potential of 21% and a leaky defense, conceding a high 114% of goals.

In terms of prediction, Nagoya is the most likely to win, with a probability of 41.49% and odds of 2.00. The draw has a probability of 37.23% and odds of 3.30. Kyoto has only a 21.28% chance of winning, but higher odds at 3.75.

When analyzing goals, there is a higher chance of seeing at least 1.5 goals in the match (65.96% probability).

Looking at their recent performances, Nagoya has won two of their last five home matches. Kyoto, on the other hand, has only won once in their last five outings.

In conclusion, Nagoya appears to be the favorite to win this match.

The potential number of goals

Nagoya Grampus has an average performance at home, with wins and draws at 40%. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals, which is 5. Kyoto Sanga struggles away from home, with only a 20% win rate and no draws. They have scored 4 goals but conceded 5.

Nagoya Grampus has an offensive potential of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per home match. They concede an average of 1.2 goals. On the other hand, Kyoto Sanga struggles away from home with an offensive potential of 21% and conceding 3.2 goals per match.

The probability of Nagoya Grampus winning the match is 41.49% (2.00 odds), while the draw is at 37.23% (3.30 odds). Kyoto Sanga has only a 21.28% chance of winning (3.75 odds).

The bet “draw or Nagoya Grampus win” has a success rate of 78.72% (1.25 odds), which seems more promising. Additionally, the probability of seeing less than 3.5 goals in the match is high at 84.04% (1.20 odds).

Nagoya Grampus’ past performances at home have been mixed. They beat FC Tokyo 3-1 but lost to Gamba Osaka and Vissel Kobe. However, they managed to defeat Cerezo Osaka and drew against Avispa Fukuoka. Similarly, Kyoto Sanga has suffered away defeats against Urawa Red Diamonds, FC Tokyo, and Kashima Antlers but managed to beat Vissel Kobe and draw against Azul Claro Numazu.

It seems that Nagoya Grampus has an advantage in this match, with a stronger offensive and defensive potential at home. However, football is unpredictable, and anything can happen.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the previous analyses, it is reasonable to predict that Nagoya Grampus is likely to win against Kyoto Sanga. Nagoya Grampus have superior home performances compared to Kyoto Sanga’s away record. Additionally, Nagoya Grampus have a higher offensive and defensive potential, increasing their chances of winning the match. However, despite Nagoya Grampus having a better overall record, it is important to consider that football involves a great deal of uncertainty and unpredictability. Therefore, a bet on “under 3.5 goals in the match” also presents an interesting value bet, as statistics show a trend towards low-scoring games between the two teams. For those interested in exact score betting, a 2-0 score in favor of Nagoya Grampus seems plausible. Each bettor, however, should consider these elements based on their own personal risk assessment.