Tipps Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare J1 League 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Nagoya Grampus wins the match.”

1. Nagoya Grampus has a home-field advantage, having won or drawn in 80% of its last 5 home matches, contrasting with Shonan Bellmare’s away form of not winning a single match in its last 5 outings.

2. When comparing offensive and defensive performances, Nagoya Grampus shows superior performances, with an offensive potential of 71% compared to Shonan Bellmare’s 43%, as well as a stronger defensive potential.

3. Probability statistics indicate a higher chance of Nagoya Grampus winning the match with a probability of 46.37%, compared to Shonan Bellmare’s 25.14% probability of winning.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show that Nagoya Grampus has an average of 2 goals scored per home match and Shonan Bellmare has an average of 1.2 goals scored away in their last 5 matches. These numbers suggest that the total number of goals scored in the match could be under 2.5.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams also reveal a low average of goals conceded. Nagoya Grampus concedes an average of 1 goal per home match and Shonan Bellmare concedes an average of 1.6 goals away. This further supports the hypothesis that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Lastly, the average performance of both teams in their recent matches shows that Shonan Bellmare has not won a single time away while Nagoya Grampus has a 40% win rate at home. This lack of offensive performance from Shonan Bellmare, combined with the defensive potential of Nagoya Grampus, adds even more weight to the idea that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Offensive statistics: With an average of 2 goals scored per home match for Nagoya Grampus and 1.2 goals for Shonan Bellmare away, both teams show good offensive capabilities.

2. Defensive statistics: Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses in their recent matches, conceding an average of 1 goal per home match for Nagoya Grampus and 1.6 goals for Shonan Bellmare away.

3. Recent form: The recent matches of both teams have seen a recurrence of goals from both sides. In their last 5 matches, Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare have both scored and conceded goals, indicating a trend towards both teams scoring in matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Shonan Bellmare

1. Nagoya Grampus has won the home match in 40% of its last 5 matches, demonstrating a decent home performance. They also average 2 goals per home match, which aligns with the score prediction.
2. Shonan Bellmare has not won any of its last 5 away matches, only managing to draw in 20% of cases. Although they have been able to score an average of 1.2 goals per away match, matching the score prediction, their defensive performance is weak, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.
3. The overall statistics also support this prediction. There is a 90.5% success probability for fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, suggesting a potential score of 2-1. Additionally, both teams to score has a 46.37% success probability, further indicating the proposed score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nagoya Grampus shows strength at home with a 40% win rate and just as many draws. They have scored 6 goals, averaging 2 goals per match. However, their defense is weak, having conceded 7 goals.

Shonan Bellmare struggles away from home, with no recent victories. They score few goals, averaging 1.2 goals per match, but concede more at 1.6 goals.

The probability of Nagoya winning is 46.37%, with odds of 2.05, quite high. A draw is also possible, with a probability of 28.49%.

The odds favor fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, highlighting Shonan’s limited offensive power. However, both teams often score, with a probability of 46.37%.

In conclusion, it’s more likely a win for Nagoya, a draw, or fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Nagoya Grampus has a decent home record, winning 40% of their last 5 matches with a promising attack, averaging 2 goals per game. However, their defense has some weaknesses, conceding 7 goals.

Shonan Bellmare is struggling away from home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and scoring fewer goals than Nagoya, averaging 1.2 goals per game.

The match between these two teams looks tight. Predictions favor Nagoya Grampus to win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw is also likely at 28.49%, while Shonan Bellmare is predicted to win in only 25.14% of cases.

In terms of goals, there is a 67.04% probability of more than 1.5 goals in this match. Less than 2.5 goals is also quite probable based on the statistics.

Furthermore, both teams have almost equal probabilities of scoring, with 46.37% for Grampus and 53.63% for Shonan Bellmare.

Based on these statistics, a close score considering the past performances of both teams is conceivable. A safer bet would be to wager on under 2.5 goals, with either Nagoya Grampus winning or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

The match between Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare looks interesting considering the statistics and recent performances of both teams. Nagoya Grampus, playing at home, has a clear advantage, especially due to their superior offensive and defensive potential. On the other hand, Shonan Bellmare struggles away from home, with no wins in their last 5 away games.

For this match, numerous suggestive data points towards a Nagoya Grampus victory. It’s also highly likely that the match will see less than 2.5 goals, given the offensive and defensive performances of each team. However, a bet on both teams to score could be interesting, considering recent trends.

Another potentially profitable bet could be on over 2.5 goals. This prediction is based on the offensive capabilities of both teams and their sometimes faltering defenses.

A bet on the exact score, favoring Nagoya Grampus with a 2-1 victory, remains a bold choice but is justified by the current performances of both teams and their effective attacks.

Overall, Nagoya Grampus seems to have the edge. However, given the inherent uncertainties in football matches, bettors are encouraged to consider all factors before placing their bets. Also, always remember to bet responsibly.