Tipps Nantes Rennes Ligue 1 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Rennes wins the match.

1. The highest probability of success for the match is in favor of Rennes – at 45.29%, indicating a better anticipated performance compared to Nantes.

2. Rennes’ recent away performance is superior to Nantes’ home performance. Although Rennes has only won one of their last five away matches, Nantes has not won any of their last five home matches.

3. Rennes’ defensive potential, 43%, is significantly higher than Nantes’, 36%, meaning they have a better chance of thwarting opponent’s offensives and scoring goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Nantes has a low offensive potential at home, scoring an average of only 1 goal per match and a defensive potential of 64%, highlighting a weak goal-scoring formation when they play at home.
2. The Rennes team also has a low offensive potential away from home, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per match and a defensive potential of 43%, meaning they do not contribute much to the total score when playing away from home.
3. By examining the match history, Nantes’ home matches and Rennes’ away matches have generally seen less than 2.5 goals, showing a consistent trend towards lower scores.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The data shows that Nantes has scored in all of their last 5 home matches, even though they haven’t managed to win, indicating a consistent offensive presence at home.
2. Rennes, although less successful away from home, has managed to score in the majority of their last 5 matches away, proving they are capable of breaking through the opponent’s defense.
3. The success probabilities indicate that “Both teams to score” has a probability of 55.88%, suggesting a significant trend towards a match where both teams can score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Nantes 1 – 1 Rennes

1. Recent home form for Nantes indicates a trend towards draws, with a total of 2 goals scored and 3 goals conceded, suggesting they are likely to score 1 goal and concede 1, corresponding to a 1-1 scoreline.

2. Away from home, Rennes has won 20% of its matches and drawn in 20% of cases, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6 goals in 5 matches. This suggests a trend of scoring 1 goal per away match.

3. Based on the probabilities of match results and number of goals, a draw with under 2.5 goals in the match is the most likely outcome. The prediction of 1-1 aligns with these parameters.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Nantes is showing worrying form at home, with no wins in the last 5 matches, but 5 draws. Their offensive power is weak with only 2 goals scored. It comes as no surprise that Rennes appears as the favorite.

Rennes is more convincing away, even though their last 5 matches show mixed results. They won 1 match and drew 1, with 5 goals scored. Not brilliant, but better than Nantes.

Nantes’s offensive potential is weak (36%) against a Rennes defense that is not always solid, but still superior (43%). We shouldn’t expect a goal fest from their side.

Rennes has a 45.29% chance of winning, higher than Nantes at 26.47%. The numbers are in favor of Rennes, but a draw is still possible at 28.24%.

The data suggests a low score. The bet “under 2.5 goals in the match” is worth considering at odds of 1.75. Even safer, the “under 3.5 goals” scenario at 1.28 seems wise.

In short, Rennes’s victory seems more likely, but a goal avalanche is unlikely. It’s a match that could be decided by a few details or a offensive spark. Think about your bets, but bet with caution!

The potential number of goals

Nantes has not won a single home match in their last 5 games, although they managed to secure a draw each time. The Nantes team scored 2 goals and conceded 3, highlighting an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%.

On the other hand, Rennes have won 20% of their away matches, with a total of 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their offensive potential is at 21% and defensive at 43%.

The probability of Nantes winning at home is 26.47% with odds of 3.05, while Rennes have a 45.29% chance of winning with odds of 2.38. The chances of a draw are slightly higher at 28.24% with odds of 3.25.

There is a 76.47% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, with odds at 1.36. However, it should be noted that 92.35% of matches end with fewer than 3.5 goals, supporting a more defensive betting option.

Additionally, there is a 55.88% probability that both teams will score, even though in recent matches Nantes at home and Rennes away have struggled to find the back of the net.

Despite Nantes’ recent difficulties, the option of a draw or a Nantes win has a success probability of 54.71% with odds of 1.60, which could be an interesting bet hinting at a potential turnaround for Nantes.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Based on the recent statistics of both teams and their respective performances at home and away, it appears highly likely that the Nantes-Rennes match will be tight and low-scoring. The prediction leans towards Rennes, showing a potential win although not a dominant one. However, a draw could also be a possible outcome given Nantes’ ability to hold their ground at home.

The Over/Under bet suggests fewer than 2.5 goals for this match, reflecting the rather disappointing offensive displays of both teams recently. As for the BTTS bet, it is likely that both teams will score at least once despite their offensive struggles.

In terms of value betting, the draw seems to be an attractive option despite the prediction favoring Rennes. Regarding the exact score, the prediction points towards a 1-1 draw, aligning with recent trends and the offensive challenges of both teams.

Lastly, it is important to note that these forecasts are based on past statistics and recent performances, but other factors such as injuries, suspensions, and team motivation should always be considered before placing bets. Remember to always bet responsibly.