Tipps Napoli Atalanta Serie A 03/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Naples wins the match”

1. Statistically, Napoli has been very strong at home in their recent matches, with a 100% win rate. This level of home performance gives Napoli a solid advantage.

2. In terms of defensive performance, Napoli is very solid. They have only conceded 0.2 goals per match on average at home, making them a tough team to beat, especially against Atalanta Bergamo who have conceded on average 0.4 goals per match away.

3. The calculated probability of Napoli winning the match is 41.12%, which is higher than the probabilities of a draw (28.43%) and Atalanta Bergamo winning (30.46%). This statistical prediction reinforces the idea that Napoli is more likely to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Both teams show great offensive efficiency: Napoli have scored 13 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Atalanta have scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. These numbers indicate a high probability of seeing over 2.5 goals during the match.
2. The offensive potential of both teams is also very high compared to their defensive potential. Napoli have an offensive potential of 64% against only 7% defensive potential, while Atalanta have an offensive potential of 107% against 14% defensive potential. Thus, both teams are more effective in attack than in defense, which increases the likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.
3. Finally, the probability of success for the prediction “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 55.33%. This percentage, combined with the offensive performances of both teams, strongly supports the logic behind this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Match history: Statistics show that in the last 5 matches when Naples plays at home, they have always managed to score and have conceded 14 goals. Similarly, Atalanta has also managed to score in all their away matches and conceded 9 goals, suggesting that both teams have notable offensive and defensive abilities.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Furthermore, the average goals scored and conceded by the teams clearly indicate that they have strong attacks as well as weak defenses (Naples averages 1.8 goals scored per home match and Atalanta impressively scores 3 goals per away match).

3. Betting statistics: Betting statistics also indicate that there is a higher probability (59.39%) of both teams scoring in the match. Therefore, we can expect both teams to score due to the observed trends in previous matches and their offensive performance.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 3.75

Bet on the exact result

Sure! The translation in English is: Naples 2-2 Atalanta Bergame

1. There is a high probability (76.65%) of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match, indicating a likely score above 1-1. Therefore, a 2-2 score is quite plausible.
2. Both teams have a strong likelihood of scoring, with a probability of 59.39%. Combined with the strong offensive potential of Atalanta Bergamo (107%) and Napoli (64%), a 2-2 score would be logically within expectations.
3. Napoli, playing at home, has an impressive record of victories (100% in the last 5 matches), however, they also tend to concede goals (14 goals conceded in the last 5 home matches). This, combined with Atalanta’s strong average of goals scored away from home (3 goals per match on average), could justify predicting a 2-2 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Naples is in good form at home, winning all of their last 5 matches with 13 goals scored. However, Naples has conceded 14 goals, indicating a rather weak defense. Atalanta has only won 40% of their last 5 away games, scoring 7 times but conceding 9 goals. Naples has a higher probability of winning at 41.12%, but a draw is also possible at 28.43%. Atalanta has a lower chance of winning at 30.46%. A match with over 1.5 goals seems likely at 76.65%. Both teams have a probability of scoring at 59.39%. Based on this data, Naples seems to be a logical favorite despite their frail defense. A high-scoring match appears to be on the cards.

The potential number of goals

Naples is unstoppable at home, with 5 wins in 5 matches. They are a defensive wall, conceding an average of 0.2 goals per match. Atalanta is average away from home, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They score an average of 3 goals and concede 0.4 goals per match.

There are expected to be goals, according to the statistics. Over 1.5 goals in the match have a probability of 76.65% and over 2.5 goals have a probability of 55.33%. The likelihood of both teams scoring is high at 59.39%.

Naples has the highest probability of winning the match at 41.12%, but a draw also has a chance at 28.43%. Atalanta has a 30.46% chance of winning.

Based on this data, Naples has a slight edge, but both teams are attacking, and the possibility of each scoring at least one goal is high. It promises to be an exciting match with plenty of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical data suggests that the match between Naples and Atalanta Bergamo is likely to be high-scoring, with a favorable trend for Naples to win given their excellent home performance. However, a draw is also possible, considering Atalanta’s strong away offensive power and Naples’ tendency to concede goals at home.

It is advisable to bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match,” supported by both teams’ high offensive success rates despite relatively weak defenses. “Both teams to score” also seems like a safe option.

A more risky bet could be the exact score of 2-2, reflecting the offensive and defensive performances of both teams as well as the potential value bet on a draw result.

These insights are provided as a guide, and bettors are always recommended to conduct their own research and consider various factors before placing their bets. Past performances are never a guarantee of future results in sports betting.